2/23 CBB DFS Picks: Obi Wan Some Money
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of DCoop328’s CBB DFS Picks. Today we will break down the top plays at each price range (based on DraftKings pricing).
Denzel Valentine (Michigan State, Guard) – No player has been better than Valentine over the last week. Averaging a cool 54 DraftKings points per game over his last four games, I believe tonight he is a better play than his comparably priced counterpart, Ben Simmons. Valentine has a great chance for a triple-double tonight as a result of his 30.2 shot percentage, 44.2 assist rate (second in the nation), and 21.0 rebounding rate. Denzel also gets a tempo boost facing off against Ohio State, the fourth fastest team in the Big 10. Note: Ben Simmons is also a top play with huge upside against Arkansas, but it’s challenging to fit both players into one lineup.
Jaron Blossomgame (Clemson, Forward) – Blossomgame is one of the least talked about studs in college basketball, in part because he plays for a historically bad team. If you put him on a Kansas or a UNC squad, he is easily a top five Wooden Award nominee. Blossomgame has dominated recently, ranking 9th in usage in the ACC to go along with an elite 3.6 block rate. He also gets a nice tempo boost going up against the Yellow Jackets of Georgia Tech.
Quenton DeCosey (Temple, Guard) - DeCosey, after a red-hot stretch, has suffered three games in a row of cold shooting. During those three games, he’s found other ways to get involved, picking up seven rebounds and four assists per game. There is no way DeCosey, one of the top three-point shooters in the nation, is going to stay cold for too much longer. He has a 30-8-5 breakout game coming up soon, an with this selection, we’re attempting to peg him at just the right time. Tonight, Quenton has all of the stars aligning as the Owls face Tulsa, a team that is allowing opponents too shoot 35.4% from behind the arc. They also give Temple a nice tempo boost with a 65.2 adjusted tempo figure.
Mid-Range Plays ($5500-$7500)
Zach Smith (Texas Tech, Forward) – After a season of just being a defensive player, Zach Smith has taken the initiative to become an interior offensive force for the Red Raiders. Smith has the ability to hit value without scoring double-digit real points as a result of his 19.5 rebounding rate and 5.4 block percentage (both statistics good for sixth in the Big 12). Smith has scored double-digit actual points in three of his last four, giving him upside to shatter his 4.5x value threshold.
Pat Birt (Tulsa, Guard) – Pat Birt is the definition of a chucker, which is not great in real life, but it sure is awesome for your fantasy team. DraftKings has been slow to change his price following a minutes bump around the beginning of February. Since that time, Birt has jacked up 35 threes in just five games. That, my friends, is exactly what you’re looking for on a site like DraftKings that awards DFS players with a three point bonus. Birt gets a tough matchup against a slow Temple team, but at $6400 on DraftKings, Birt is a steal.
Tim Quarterman (LSU, Guard)- In a recent interview, LSU coach Johnny Jones said guard Keith Hornsby is probably out against Arkansas. If so, Quarterman should receive some extra run, likely playing between 35-38 minutes. If Hornsby plays Quarterman will play his normal allotment of 30-33 minutes. While Quarterman has recently toned down his ballhog instinct (allowing Ben Simmons to take the majority of the usage), in a game against Arkansas – the fastest team in the SEC – Quarterman makes a great play.
Dennis Clifford (Boston College, Forward) – Boston College is arguably the worst Power 5 team in the nation right now. They recently lost to Wake Forest (2-13 in the ACC) 74-48. The lone bright spot for the Golden Eagles has been 7’0 center, Dennis Clifford, who has rebounded at an elite 20.7 clip, while holding a 25.2 usage rate. Clifford has played thirty minutes in four of his last five games and has generally avoided foul trouble all season. He matches up against an undersized Hokies interior of Kenny Blackshear and Zach Leday. He should be able to dominate on the inside. I’m calling for a double-double.
Ryan Rosburg (Missouri, Forward) – Rosburg, better known as the “YMCA Hooper”, has been magnificent since joining the starting lineup. Since the start of February, Rosburg has possessed Mizzou’s highest usage and defensive rebounding rates, and has been one of the only Tigers’ playing consistent minutes. Rosburg has also been incredibly efficient on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 7th in the SEC in offensive efficiency on the season. Rosburg gets a tempo boost against Mississippi and makes for an extremely safe cash game play.
Other Top Plays: Matt Costello, Jonathon Motley (if Gathers is out), Josh Brown, Malique Trent
Value Plays ($3000-$5500)
Obi Enechionyia (Temple, Forward) – For two the past two seasons in a row, Temple has hid this talented forward on the bench, in favor of lesser options like Daniel Dingle and Jaylen Bond. About a month ago, Obi moved into the starting lineup after an injury to Bond and remained in the lineup alongside Bond once he returned. Until recently, Obi was playing 25-32 minutes per game, but of late, Coach Dunphy has given future stud Enechionyia 37 minutes per game. In the college basketball world this type of burn is regarded as stud-level achieved. In conference play, Obi holds the sixth ranked shooting percentage, while knocking down a cool 41% from three point land. Playing upwards of 35 minutes per game, Obi is a lock in all of my cash and GPP lineups today on DraftKings, especially with a tempo boost against Tulsa.
Tomasz Gielo (Ole Miss, Forward) – Gielo has seen a recent uptick in his minutes coming down the stretch in conference play. When on the court, he is Ole Miss’ second most used player, shooting 22.6% of Ole Miss’ total shots. Gielo is not a great rebounder, but similar to Obi, can shoot the three. The guy is burning the nets up from long range at a 37% clip. Gielo also gets a boost facing Missouri, the worst defense in the SEC.
Chauncey Collins (TCU, Guard) – Collins is one of the only guard values tonight on a rather large slate. He has played over 30 minutes per game in conference play and holds a 21% team shot percentage (#1 for the Horned Frogs). As TCU’s top option, Collins will likely take double digit-shots and dish out 3-4 assists. Collins does not have a huge upside in GPPs, but he is a very safe bet to score 20-25 fantasy points, hitting 4x value.
Other Top Plays: Matthew Fisher-Davis, KeVaughn Allen, Sammy Barnes-Thompkins, Jalyn Patterson (if Hornsby Out)
* statistics courtesy of kenpom.com