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CFL DFS Week 20: Adams Family Values
benyamen
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This is the end beautiful friend … of our elaborate plans, the end. I can still remember the day I was driving the family home from school six months ago, with a van full of screaming kids and a heart full of the dark hopelessness that inhabits all parents around the end of May. And then a voice came on the radio saying that the CFL had signed a one year partnership with DraftKings to create a CFL offering for DFS. It didn’t stop the egregious noise in the back bench, but it did create a force field of hope that deflected its effects from me for a brief moment in time as I basked in the realization that my dreams had come true. It has been an interesting season learning what the Canadian game plays like for DFS purposes, and despite the difficulties in pricing, availability of players, and prize pools, it has been an awful lot of fun. Thanks to all of you in the Forum and on twitter who have made this a wonderful ride for both Chris and I.

premium_access_now  WEEKLY NFL PROJECTIONS  |  DST  |  KICKERS  |  TARGETS  |  CARRIES  |  RED ZONE  |  HISTORICAL  |  SNAPS  |  DEFENSE

This final week of CFL contests on DraftKings figures to be most likely the weirdest of the bunch given the implications of the playoffs for the playing time of starters on many teams. All of Winnipeg, BC and Edmonton figure to be running out their stars at full strength given then all have playoff seeding to play for. The caveat is this: If Winnipeg wins on Friday Edmonton likely sits their stars, and Winnipeg loses on Friday BC will likely sit their stars. There will be clarity eventually, but until then it’s all a pretty iffy slate. Ottawa and Hamilton on the other hand are in the playoffs and their placements are set regardless of this weeks’ outcomes. I would be surprised if their starters got much, if any, run on the day. On the bottom end of the pile are Montreal, Toronto, and Saskatchewan who may spend significant time playing young reserves as they try to evaluate talent for next season now that this one is lost for them. Much of this was already the case last week when Saskatchewan turned to a rotation at quarterback with Durant and Waters sharing duties. It has already been confirmed that G.J. Kinne will get significant playing time for the Riders. As of Wednesday, there are still two games this weekend that don’t even have announced betting lines. Frankly folks, you’d be foolish to play any cash games this week. Lineup overlap for any reliable options will be massive. Stick to GPP’s like the Season Finale Special, lock in some solid options, and then speculate on some of the uncertain pieces from the other games. I hope to give you the clearest picture I can here, but it’s going to be a weekend where you’ll have to keep a close eye on twitter and the forums to make lineup adjustments as more details become available. WE’RE ON TO THE TOTALS!

PROJECTED TEAM TOTALS

  • Winnipeg – 25.75
  • Ottawa – 25.75
  • Hamilton – 25.25
  • Montreal – 21.75
  • Edmonton –
  • BC – TBD
  • Saskatchewan – TBD
  • Toronto – TBD

QUARTERBACK

Mike Reilly – 11400
Jonathan Jennings – 9700
Matt Nichols – 7800

It seems that this week there’s a good chance that the teams not playing for playoff positioning will be using rotations at the quarterback position. Saskatchewan and Ottawa have already indicated that is the case, and it’s hard to see Hamilton or Toronto risking anything happening to their oft injured starters in a meaningless game. That basically leaves you with Rakeem Cato. I have nothing more to say about him that I haven’t already expounded for the past ten weeks.

Mike Reilly is dreadfully expensive, but he has the highest upside of any quarterback this week. I think it may be more of a John White week given that Toronto has the worst rush defence in the league, but Edmonton does run the second most pass attempts per game in the CFL so Reilly is still a great option against a pretty hopeless Argonauts defence with nothing to play for at the end of a bitterly disappointing season.

The other real option at QB this week is priced much more reasonably and arguably has just as high a ceiling as Reilly, but reaches it much less frequently. Jonathan Jennings has been pretty unpredictable this season with scores ranging from 7 to 40 DK points. On the upside, his 40 point performance did come against this weeks opponent, the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Riders defence has been much improved over the past month, but still has the leagues worst yards per pass defence. In a week where Saskatchewan may be rotating in a number of reserves for evaluation, it’s a good bet that BC will find some big plays in the secondary…

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