4/26 MLB DFS Picks
Good morning everyone! Sunday baseball is upon us! At first glance, it appears that there won’t be any major weather concerns today and it should be a wonderful day of baseball. Note: Sunday is a great day for managers to give players a day of rest. Since this piece is being written before lineups are out, make sure to double check on your own that all players are in the lineup before inserting them into your lineup.
Today’s pitching slate is less than ideal, leaving us with only a few premium options. The guy that tops the list for me is Lance Lynn. Lynn will get to face a Milwaukee Brewers offense without Jonathan Lucroy and Carlos Gomez. Add in the fact that Milwaukee is without Scooter Gennett and there is essentially only one left-handed bat (Adam Lind) in their lineup. Lynn has been fairly solid each of the last two years, and currently is sporting a 10.38 K/9 this season. While that should regress towards the mean, I still like his strikeout upside today against one of the weaker offenses on the slate.
Don’t forget about Jake Arrieta who had his start from Saturday bumped back to today because of postponement. Arrieta has elite stuff, but is getting a negative park shift, as Great American Ball Park is a home run haven. I think Arrieta is safe enough for cash game play, but he might be better served in your tournament lineups.
Chris Archer is the next best option on my list today. Archer has been a stud so far this season and has great strikeout upside. He’ll face a potent Blue Jays offense, but one that is primarily right-handed and might still be without Jose Bautista. If Bautista is out of this lineup, Archer gets a huge bump. There is not much else to choose from today, so I like Archer in both cash games and GPPs.
Both Carlos Carrasco and Drew Pomeranz should also be on your radar today. Carrasco carries elite upside every time he takes the bump, but he also has to deal with the Detroit Tigers offense. Pomeranz gets the Houston Astros in a huge negative park shift. Pomeranz has a 9.0 K/9 and the Astros lead the league with a 24.1K% offensively. I expect you’ll see Pomeranz as the most popular cash game pitcher today.
It’s tough to predict who will have the start in Colorado today, but if Buster Posey goes, he’ll be the top play against left-hander Tyler Matzek. Posey has a career .243 ISO against left-handers and he gets a huge favorable park shift playing in Coors. If Hector Sanchez gets the start in his place, I’d also like him as a punt play. There isn’t much else out there at catcher today, so look towards whoever the Rockies use (Mike McKenry or Nick Hundley) to provide salary relief and a premium park factor.
It’s obligatory that I mention everyone from the game in Colorado, so Justin Morneau finds his way into this section. I should also point out that Paul Goldschmidt gets a left-handed pitcher today. Goldy carries a career .288 ISO against left-handers and although Francisco Liriano is an above-average one, I still like Goldy today. He possess elite tournament upside in a great hitters park.
Second base is routinely a difficult position to fill and the task does not get much easier today. I like Neil Walker who will get to hit from the left-side against Jeremy Hellickson. Walker gets a great park shift in his favor when in Arizona. If Matt Duffy gets a nice lineup spot, he’ll be a solid value play against left-hander Tyler Matzek in Colorado. Also don’t forget about Robinson Cano or Jose Altuve who both have the platoon advantage, but are both in less than ideal hitting environments.
Troy Tulowitzki always tops this list, but this feels like a day where he might not be in the lineup. If that’s the case, you can’t go wrong using Tulo’s replacement, or by punting the position completely, shortstop is an ugly position.
Evan Longoria had four hits for a makeshift Rays lineup yesterday against Daniel Norris, and he’ll face another left-hander today. Longoria has crushed left-handers in his career and I expect him to feast on Buehrle today. In other worlds, Kyle Seager gets a nice matchup with Kyle Gibson tonight, but the park is less than ideal; and the same goes for Adrian Beltre, who has yet to be the Adrian Beltre he’s capable of this year.
Outfield is pretty easy today. All of the Colorado left-handed bats (Corey Dickerson, Carlos Gonzalez, Charlie Blackmon) are in play against Tim Lincecum and all of the right-handed bats for the Giants (Justin Maxwell, Angel Pagan) are in play against Tyler Matzek. If you’re looking to pay up but stay away from Coors Field, Mike Trout is an excellent option against Nick Martinez, and you can never go wrong with Giancarlo Stanton against a left-hander.