Daily Fantasy Rundown –NBA DFS – January 28th, 2015
Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.
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Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook gets a huge bump in usage rate whenever Kevin Durant is off the floor. This season Westbrook has posted a 44.8 percent usage rate with Durant off the floor compared to just 27.8 percent when Durant is on the floor. It’s a 60 percent jump in usage for Westbrook with Durant off the floor which is the situation we’ll see tonight. The Knicks also provide an elite matchup. They rank 27th in defensive efficiency against point guards and 28th in overall defensive efficiency. Blowout risk remains a concern as the Thunder are 9.5 point favorites on the road, but it’s likely Westbrook would be heavily involved if the Thunder are running away with the game. Put aside Westbrook’s disappointing performance on Monday and take solace in the 39.4 percent usage rate he posted. The opportunities will be there without Durant and the price point isn’t accounting for life without Durant. He’s the top play at the position, a top five overall option, and a modest value around the industry.
Next in line:
Kyrie Irving (CLE)/Kyle Lowry (TOR) – Both point guards are on the second night of a back-to-back but find themselves in favorable matchups against fast paced Western Conference opponents. Lowry has the better pure matchup against the Kings who rank 23rd in defensive efficiency against point guards, but he has to accommodate the recent return of DeMar DeRozan. In the last eight games Lowry has posted a usage rate of 24.3 percent compared to 28.8 percent in December when DeRozan missed the entire month. Irving has a slightly more difficult matchup against the Blazers who rank ninth in defensive efficiency against point guards but he has the best individual matchup for his offense in a game the Cavaliers have a team total over 106. I prefer Irving’s ceiling slightly to Lowry though I think Lowry’s floor is a bit more palatable. They rank very closely as the next in line options, but well behind top option Russell Westbrook.