Daily Fantasy Rundown –January 6th, 2014
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.
Short Slate Disclaimer:
Nights when the schedule typically ranges from two to four games we refer to as a short slate and that will result in heavy overlap around the industry. The more overlap there is, the smaller the margin for error and the more variance that is introduced into the results. We understand that the appeal of Daily Fantasy is the ability to start fresh each day, but we recommend either avoiding most short slates altogether or playing a significantly reduced portion of your bankroll.
Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks
Line: Bucks +4.5
Pace rankings: Phoenix 4th, Milwaukee 13th
Total team defensive efficiency: Phoenix 19th, Milwaukee 6th
Defensive efficiency ranks by position
Against point guards: Phoenix 12th, Milwaukee 2nd
Against shooting guards: Phoenix 11th, Milwaukee 23rd
Against small forwards: Phoenix 27th, Milwaukee 12th
Against power forwards: Phoenix 2nd, Milwaukee 9th
Against centers: Phoenix 30th, Milwaukee 13th
Rebounding rate rank: Phoenix 25th, Milwaukee 20th
Turnover ratio (from least to most): Phoenix 16th, Milwaukee 29th
Brandon Knight (MIL) – With Kendall Marshall out of the starting lineup recently, both Knight’s playing time and offensive responsibilities are secure. The only other threat to the top point guard spot is Goran Dragic, and Knight simply has more offensive responsibility. In similar playing time, Knight has a 26.9 usage rate and 27.6 assist rate, both marks easily higher than Dragic’s 21.8 usage rate and 19.5 assist rate. There’s also additional value in Knight playing a Phoenix team that runs at a much quicker pace than the league average (fourth in the NBA). He’s an easy choice to lock in at point guard, and Knight and Tim Duncan (below) are the two guys you want to start rosters with this evening.