Welcome to the 2019 CJ Cup DraftKings Fantasy Picks and Pro-Tip,
News and Notes
The 2019 CJ Cup at Nine Bridges will be played as a Par 72 at just under 7200 yards long. With just two events here and no strokes gained data, we are left to speculate as to whether the event will play closer to the version Justin Thomas (-9) or Brooks Koepka (-20) won from a scoring relative to par. If the event plays easier, more balanced rosters become slightly more viable while more challenging events favor top-heavy builds a little bit more. Similarly, easy scoring will create a slightly higher emphasis on putting performance adding a little bit more volatility and randomness to the leaderboard.
While the DataGolf approach generally doesn’t weigh course history heavily, that is especially true at this event given the limited sample size. Of all the courses on tour, course history has shown the lowest predictive value at events like this. Even players with a strong track record here relative to their personal baselines (Smith +1.86, Perez +1.77, Lovemark +1.72) only receive a +0.05 stroke boost once that information is regressed. If course history drives any ownership it should be a solid spot to fade this week.
Here are the players leading into this event with the strongest recent form with their most recent round in parenthesis:
- Justin Thomas 12-12-1-3-4 (9/29)
- Billy Horschel 9-6-21-37-4 (9/22)
- Brooks Koepka 1-30-24-3-CUT (10/6)
- Viktor Hovland 4-11-2-10-11 (9/22)
- Hideki Matsuyama 30-3-9-CUT-16 (10/6)