Welcome to the 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic Fantasy Golf Picks and Pro-Tip
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News and Notes
The 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic has moved from the DC area to Detroit this year, where Detroit Golf Club will host an event for the first time. Detroit Golf Club will play as a Par 72 at 7340 yards long making it middle of the road in par adjusted distance. With no extra length to defend the course and water hazards on just one or two holes, the winning score should be in the high-teens and a cutline just under par. With ample birdies opportunities (including some short Par 4s and scoreable Par 5s) getting 6/6 through to the weekend will be paramount.
“It’s a bit early for bold predictions, but the general feeling among some players is that if the expected rain keeps the greens soft, that could add up to prime scoring conditions. Stuard was asked if 20-under on the par-72 layout was possible. “Pretty much, I think,” he said. “That’s what I’m expecting.”
The course seems relatively non-descript, there will be a lot of talk about Donald Ross design courses this week but that feels like a pretty thin angle to me. The biggest angle for me with regards to course fit isn’t about off-the-tee (OTT) or approach (APP) play but rather how riding a hot putter may be a pre-requisite for contenders. Typically at more challenging events (major championships and the like) its the long-game that reigns supreme, whereas at easier events like the AT&T Byron Nelson earlier this year at Trinity Forest we see putting drive a lot of deviation in scoring. At that event earlier this year Strokes Gained Putting (SGP) drove nearly 45 percent of the deviation in scoring. In addition to wanting to weigh LONG TERM putting a bit heavier this week, I also think the heavy emphasis on putting could lead to more short-term randomness on the leaderboard, perhaps lending even more credence to some contrarian stances on your rosters. Users building lineups in our optimizer should be sure to adjust the expected scoring average to reflect easier conditions.
Strongest Recent Form Outright
Reavie 18-14-CUT-3-1
DJ 2-28-2-20-35
Streelman 6-45-31-4-15
Hideki 31-23-16-6-21
Sabbatini 18-5-6-27-43
Strongest Recent Form Relative to Baseline
Max Homa 1-64-27-37-CUT
Dufner 4-CUT-40-7-35
Munoz 38-10-7-11-CUT
Tringale 17-CUT-23-11-MDF
Vaughn Taylor 13-17-58-48-4
There is also some carry over from last week’s field and a few of the notable performances include Sepp Straka (#1 T2G last week in his two rounds), KH Lee (Top 10 T2G and 13th overall), Vaughn Taylor (10th T2G and 4th overall), Ryan Moore (Top 15 in T2G and overall) and Joaquin Niemann (Top 20 T2G and 5th overall).
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