Welcome to the 2019 Shriners Open DraftKings Fantasy Picks and Pro-Tip,
News and Notes
Perhaps the most relevant news is that the PGATOUR has a new cut line rule for the 2019-20 season with the cut to T65 and ties after the conclusion of play. For players that make the cut, there will be no more MDF (Made Cut Did Not Finish) which means everybody who makes the cut will be guaranteed two rounds over the weekend. From a fantasy perspective, it isn’t really going to matter that much in tournaments. You will still need the winner and 6/6 through the cut most weeks and particularly in large field GPPs you will still need the majority of your golfers inside of the Top 20. The rule change could benefit balanced rosters * slightly * in a small field or cash format. Regardless, our projections have cut probabilities factored in so that work has been done for you.
The 2019 Shriners Open will be played again at TPC Summerlin which is a 7255 yard Par 71 that ranks 4th on tour in narrowest fairways and 26th in par adjusted distance. The distance can be a bit misleading since it is played at elevation, and overall it is an easy course where a score upwards of 20-under par has been required to win. While the weather has caused more challenging conditions some years (notably 2018 when Cantlay won with a -9) we should expect an overall fantasy-friendly event.
Course Fit and Course History
The chart below shows the strokes gained composition at this event compared to tour averages from DataGolf who powers our fantasy projections.
This event has historically played as a relatively neutral event with putting driving more of a deviation in scoring and SG OTT play a little bit less. This also aligns with the fact that courses and events with lower winning scores reward putting to a greater degree, and courses that are more challenging reward ball striking.
Unlike the previous weeks, we actually have a lot of golfers who have logged 16+ rounds at TPC Summerlin. There are 10 players who have performed at least 0.50 strokes per round better than their baseline at this event and have done it over 16 rounds. Chesson Hadley (+1.04), Kyle Stanley (+1.02), Scott Piercy (+0.92), Jim Furyk (+0.89), Martin Laird (+0.81), and Kevin Streelman (+0.64) are among the players that may receive a small boost from strong course history and an adequate sample size.
Here are the players leading into this event with the strongest recent form with their most recent round in parenthesis:
- Adam Scott 40-5-9-6-17 (9/29)
- Jason Kokrak 6-12-19-14-CUT (9/15)
- Tony Finau 30-4-7-51-10 (9/29)
- Patrick Cantlay 12-12-2-21-40 (9/29)
- Scottie Scheffler 1-11-6-6-16 (9/22)