Welcome to the 2019 Wells Fargo Championship Fantasy Golf Picks and Pro-Tip
News and Notes
The 2019 Wells Fargo Championship is hosted by Quail Hollow, a Par 71 that stretched more than 7500 yards long and was 3rd on tour last year in par adjusted distance, en route to playing as the 5th hardest course on tour both in terms of scoring average and DraftKings fantasy scoring. Quail Hollow played host to the 2017 PGA Championship, won by Justin Thomas, in a year where Eagle Point GC hosted the Wells Fargo. Beyond 2017, the course has hosted this event for the entire decade and recently extended another 5 years making it one of the events where some golfers have an established track record.
With fantasy points in the way of birdies and bogeys at a premium this week, placement points will reign supreme for both cash games and tournaments, and securing golfers who finish inside the Top 20 will be critical. Many weeks, that would recommend a more top-heavy approach – and while Rory McIlroy is the clear tournament favorite he’s been priced as such – but this week the field is interesting in that it has top-end talent but generally lacks strong depth options and my preference in a single entry build is to play with a bit more balance to my fantasy lineups.
Going for the Green Wells Fargo Championship Fantasy Golf Picks and Preview
Wells Fargo Championship Course Fit
From a descriptive perspective, the DataGolf historic event data shows that the Wells Fargo Championship emphasizes strokes gained off the tee slightly more than a traditional event, with some of that coming off of SG Approach. I ran some correlations to the 2018 leaderboard and YTD SG stats going into that event and found similar results, even slightly stronger in favor of strokes gained off the tee having a higher correlation to finishing position than the average tour event. While course fit or history bumps, in general, should be small given two golfers that project similarly I’ll be happy to give the edge to the one with stronger off the tee play.
Wells Fargo Championship Course History
Leveraging DataGolf’s course history dashboard supports this to a degree as the top names here include Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose, Tony Finau, and Rickie Fowler, but these are generally the strongest players in the field regardless of metric, and some of the “value plays” include surprising names like Roberto Castro, John Senden, Kevin Na, and Patrick Reed.