Welcome to the 2020 Honda Classic Fantasy Picks and Pro-Tip
News and Notes
The 2020 Honda Classic will be played again at PGA National, a Par 70 course that plays to 7,125 yards and was the 5th hardest course on tour last year relative to par. With middle of the road fairway width and par-adjusted distance, the real teeth of the course are the water hazards and quick greens that inject variance into the event. Because of that, we have seen a wide mix of longshot winners (Keith Mitchell, Russell Henley, Michael Thompson) and pure class players (Justin Thomas, Adam Scott, Rory McIlroy) in the last decade. The one thing that hasn’t changed is the winning score typically fluctuates around 10-under par, meaning finish bonuses will be critical for DraftKings and Fanduel scoring.
New to the projections this year is the inclusion of course fit from DataGolf and it is truly a strange course, as nearly every statistical measure is less predictive at PGA National than it is on an average PGA course. Putting matters a bit less, which makes sense given the overall scoring environment is more difficult and the greens are tricky, but I was surprised to see ball-striking also matter less given the presence of water hazards. This suggests a good deal of variance could be seen this week and capitalizing on that with an overall low owned roster construction could be fruitful.
PGA DFS is as much a balance of projection and ownership as it is finding the right plays. These concepts were covered in our PGA DFS Strategy Guide which should be referenced throughout the season as you look to hone in your strategy.