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2020 WGC Mexico Fantasy Picks and Pro-Tip

(AP Photo/Matt York)
2020 WGC Mexico Fantasy Picks and Pro-Tip
DREWBY
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Welcome to the 2020 WGC Mexico Fantasy Picks and Pro-Tip

Access: Finish Probabilities | Projections and Optimizer | Head to Head Research Tool | PGA Betting 

News and Notes

The 2020 WGC Mexico will be played for the third consecutive year at Club de Golf Chapultepec, a Par 71 that stretches 7345 yards long but is played at altitude which makes that distance a bit deceiving. The event is a 70-man no cut event featuring some of the best players in the world, but still plays difficult relative to par, at least for most of the field. Rory McIlroy lapped 99% of the 2019 field shooting -16 to best the next closest bunch by five strokes, but it was Dustin Johnson who truly lapped the field shooting 21-under par.

Beyond DJ and Rory was a bunched leaderboard, but some notable performances include Justin Thomas (3rd T2G), Brooks Koepka (6th T2G), and Tiger Woods (7th T2G). Paul Casey and Sergio Garcia also finished in the non-Rory/DJ cluster but benefited from above average putting performances (certainly not characteristic for Casey).

While putting can always be variant week-to-week, the presence of these names on the T2G leaderboard shows the course rewards many of the traits common among the world’s best – driving distance and elite ball striking. The course fit information below from DataGolf supports this showing the relative importance of different skills over the previous three years.

New to the projections this year is the inclusion of course fit from DataGolf for every player in the field, which you can find above and highlights the importance of second shots and short-game this week relative to other PGATOUR venues. Some of the strongest strokes per round course fit adjustments this week went to Ryan Fox (+0.13), Scott Hend (+0.12), Dustin Johnson (+0.11), Rory McIlroy (+0.10), and Justin Thomas (+0.10), with DJ/JT/Rory also getting course fit adjustments noted above.

PGA DFS is as much a balance of projection and ownership as it is finding the right plays. These concepts were covered in our PGA DFS Strategy Guide which should be referenced throughout the season as you look to hone in your strategy.

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