Daily Fantasy Rundown – February 1st, 2015
Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.
Short Slate Disclaimer:
Nights when the schedule typically ranges from two to four games we refer to as a short slate and that will result in heavy overlap around the industry. The more overlap there is, the smaller the margin for error and the more variance that is introduced into the results. We understand that the appeal of Daily Fantasy is the ability to start fresh each day, but we recommend either avoiding most short slates altogether or playing a significantly reduced portion of your bankroll.
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics
Line: Celtics -3.5
Pace rankings: Miami 30th, Boston 3rd
Total team defensive efficiency: Miami 20th, Boston 16th
Defensive efficiency ranks by position
Against point guards: Miami 26th, Boston 21st
Against shooting guards: Miami 3rd, Boston 8th
Against small forwards: Miami 14th, Boston 19th
Against power forwards: Miami 2nd, Boston 27th
Against centers: Miami 7th, Boston 25th
Rebounding rate rank: Miami 26th, Boston 19th
Turnover ratio (from least to most): Miami 25th, Boston 12th
Chris Bosh (MIA) – Bosh remains a top play without Dwyane Wade. This season with Wade off the court, Bosh has seen a 30 percent usage rate compared to 27.3 percent with Wade on the court. Now that Hassan Whiteside is the starting center for the Heat, Bosh has switched to his more natural position (power forward) and that’s affected his rebounding rate in a negative way. Regardless, Bosh becomes the focal point of the Heat offense when Wade is out and an average game on FanDuel gets him around his value threshold (averaging 34 FanDuel points this season, needs around 37 FanDuel points to meet value). Focus on the positives and continue to rely on Bosh in both cash games and tournaments this afternoon.