2/20 CBB DFS Plays: A Devil’s Thorn
Welcome to the Saturday’s edition of DCoop328’s 2/20 CBB Daily Plays where we will break down the top plays at each price range (based on FanDuel pricing).
Henry Ellenson (Marquette, Forward)- It’s really a tough day for studs, as the majority of $8000+ players draw difficult defensive matchups. Ellenson may be a little overpriced for my taste, but he gives you a huge upside in GPPs against Depaul, the worst defense in the Big 10. Ellenson is rather inconsistent for a $9900 guy, but has a huge upside, highlighted by scoring 50 fantasy points in two of his last five games. Ellenson makes a great GPP play with monster upside for today’s slate.
Trevon Bluiett (Xavier, Forward)- Bluiett is the definition of a stat sheet stuffer. He ranks in the top 30 in the Big East in usage rate, assist rate, rebounding rate, block percentage, and steal percentage. To be a quality player in all five statitscal categories is crazy. Bluiett is one of the only true five-tool players in college basketball. On a day where studs are hard to come by, Trevon Bluiett makes an elite cash game play.
Other Top Plays: Retin Obasohan, D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera, Grayson Allen
Mid Range Plays ($6000-$8000)
Quindary Weatherspoon (Mississippi State, Guard)- Sitting right below the stud range, Weatherspoon has played like a stud since the turn of the calendar year. Weatherspoon has been as consistent as any guard in the nation, scoring under 24 fantasy points just once in his last ten contests. Weatherspoon, who was initially looked at as a role player alongside super-frosh Malik Newman, is now in charge of the Bulldogs – taking 25% of the teams shots while in the game during conference play. If you are looking for a safe cash game guard, Weatherspoon is definitely your man.
Angel Rodriguez (Miami, Guard)- Today’s game has all the makings of an Angel Rodriguez blow up game. Rodriguez has dominated in past uptempo matchups against teams such as Duke, Wake Forest, and NC State. Today A-Rod faces UNC, the fastest team in the ACC. Angel leads the ACC in assist rate, and in a game projected over 150 points, Angel should have the opportunity to score in double digits as well as dish out double-digit assists. Rodriguez also gives you the added bonus of the third ranked steal rate in the conference, providing for a nice upside in tournaments.
Shep Garner (Penn State, Guard)- Garner is a very consistent point guard that is going to get you 20 fantasy points essentially every game. Today Shep is lucky enough to face Rutgers, who plays with the fastest tempo and possesses the worst defensive efficiency rating in the Big 10. Rutgers also will have to play without their best defensive guard defender, Corey Sanders, due to suspension. Facing Rutgers, Shep Garner is in a great spot to hit value in both cash games and GPPs.
Malik Beasley/Dwayne Bacon (Florida State, Guard/Forward)- I’m going to go back to the well with the two Florida State super-frosh. Honestly, today there is no reason not to have both Beasley and Bacon in all of your FanDuel lineups. The two have combined for nearly 60% of Florida States’ shots, but have both played poorly of late, leading to a price drop. Bacon has gotten into foul trouble in his recent games, causing his minutes and production to fall. FSU faces Virginia Tech, a team with little interior presence, so foul trouble should not be an issue for Bacon today. Beasley is such a talented player, and under $7000, he’s a must play in my book. He gives you 30 real life point upside and should get back to normal against a fading Virginia Tech team.
Other Top Plays: Chinanu Onuaku, Jonathon Motley (if Gathers Out), Bishop Daniels, Joel Berry II, Cody Martin
Value Plays ($4500-$6000)
IJ Ready (Mississippi State, Forward)- The 5’11 Forward… IJ Ready is a point guard, FanDuel has him in the wrong position. Don’t fret, we are actually able to use this mistake to our advantage today. Forward has less options than guard today, and with five player slots, it’s much easier (and more necessary_ to fit in IJ Ready at forward. The Junior point guard has been great recently, taking 19.3% of the Bulldogs shots when in the game, as well as possessing a 27.5 assist rate, good for seventh in the SEC (absurd numbers for a “Forward”). Ready provides great value today at the barren forward position.
Kamari Murphy (Miami, Forward)- Bigs are going to be needed aplenty going up against the tandem of Kennedy Meeks and Brice Johnson. Along with Tonye Jekiri, Murphy is going to have to fill this role. Going against studs like Johnson and Meeks, you may think foul trouble could be an issue for Murphy, but don’t stress, he only fouls on average three times per 40 minutes, outstanding numbers for a power forward. In a game that is likely going to be up and down the court, Murphy who is 9th in the ACC in defensive rebounding should have plenty of chances to get double digit rebounds. Murphy makes a great option today in an extremely up-tempo game.
Derryck Thornton (Duke, Guard)- Last but not least, Derryck Thornton provides outstanding value at $4700. Matt Jones has been officially ruled out for today’s game against Louisville, basically ensuring that Thornton will play 38+ minutes. Thornton is a solid point-per-minute performer, as a result of his 19% shot percentage and 17.4 assist rate. With these predictive statistics, just being on the floor for 38 minutes for an up-tempo team like Duke, Thornton should blow by his 4x value, likely scoring in the mid to upper twenties in fantasy points.
Other Top Plays: Luke Kennard, Andrew Chrabacz, Xavier Rathan-Mayes, Kennedy Meeks
Good luck today everybody and as always if you have any questions hit me up in the forums or on twitter @dcoop328dfs.
* statistics courtesy of kenpom.com