Daily Fantasy Rundown – NBA DFS – February 21st, 2015
Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.
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Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is Star Fantasy Leagues
Russell Westbrook (OKC) – With Kevin Durant ruled out, Russell Westbrook becomes the top play at any position and is primed to hit value despite expensive price tags. His already absurd usage rate of 37.7 climbs to 44.0 with Kevin Durant off the floor, an absolutely astonishing number that has led to about a 10 percent increase in his per minute Fantasy production. With Oklahoma City fighting for the eighth spot in the West and six point road favorites, look for Westbrook to see heavy minutes in addition to controlling the offense. The only thing preventing me from calling Westbrook a must play is my comfort level with Chris Paul and Goran Dragic, but if you’re able to afford it, pairing Paul and Westbrook together may be the winning combination this evening.
Next in line:
Chris Paul (LAC) – With Blake Griffin out, Paul has had to shoulder a heavier workload. On the season both his usage and assist rates rise a couple of points when Griffin is off of the floor. On top of that, Paul has averaged 38.25 minutes per game since Griffin went out with injury (four games), which is a clear bump from his seasonal average of 34.7 minutes. The small increase in volume across the board leaves Paul in a position where an average game puts him right on top his high value thresholds, but he should see an increase in efficiency as well in this matchup. The Clippers face an up tempo Kings team (ninth in the NBA in pace) that ranks 25th in the NBA in defensive efficiency against point guards. More specifically, Paul will be lined up against the young Ray McCallum (assuming Darren Collison remains out). McCallum has a poor 111 career defensive rating, and he’s horrible in isolation (allowing 1.26 points per possession, 3.80 percentile). With Paul’s usage rate up due to Griffin being out, don’t be surprised to see him take advantage of McCallum in isolation often.