2/26 NBA DFS: King James makes sense in cash games on Thursday
Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.
Thursday Night Disclaimer:
Thursdays are typically a day of rest for the NBA and should be a day of rest for you. The schedule typically ranges from two to four games and that will result in heavy overlap around the industry. The more overlap there is, the smaller the margin for error and the more variance that is introduced into the results. We understand that the appeal of Daily Fantasy is the ability to start fresh each day, but we recommend either avoiding Thursday night NBA slates altogether or playing a significantly reduced portion of your bankroll (I’ll personally take the night off from playing tonight with just two games on the schedule).
Short slate approach: I am going to approach today’s analysis a little bit differently since there are only two games on the schedule. I will be doing a game by game preview rather than position by position, something I have done before when we have less than four games on the schedule.
Golden State Warriors AT Cleveland Cavaliers
Line: Cleveland -4.0
Pace rankings: Golden State 1st, Cleveland 24th
Defensive efficiency ranks by position
Against point guards: Golden State 3rd, Cleveland 5th
Against shooting guards: Golden State 6th, Cleveland 15th
Against small forwards: Golden State 5th, Cleveland 16th
Against power forwards: Golden State 16th, Cleveland 22nd
Against centers: Golden State 9th, Cleveland 19th
Rebounding rate rank: Golden State 16th, Cleveland 8th
Turnover ratio (from least to most): Golden State 14th, Cleveland 12th
LeBron James (CLE) – King James is the second overall play this evening (trails only Russell Westbrook). However, due to positional scarcity at small forward, I could argue that James is a bigger priority in cash games than Westbrook. From a raw total perspective, the next in line option to James tonight is P.J. Tucker and James is projected to outscore him by around 30 Fantasy points. The game environment is perfect to deploy James (four point spread, 215 point total) and playing an up-tempo opponent (Golden State is ranked first in pace) should afford him extra possessions, especially since the Cavs tend to play at a slower pace (Cleveland is ranked 24th). If you play cash games tonight, paying for King James is a necessity.