2/28 CBB DFS Picks: Knight this Bishop
With only 15 days until Selection Sunday we welcome you to DCoop328’s 2/28 CBB DFS Picks. Today we will break down the top plays at each price range (based on DraftKings pricing).
Michael Carrera (South Carolina, Forward) After three extremely underwhelming seasons, Carrera has shined during his senior campaign. Carrera has stepped up and became the team’s second offensive option, boasting a 25.7 usage rate. But Carrera’s real value comes through his peripheral stats. Carrera ranks 4th in the SEC in rebounding rate, and 13th in block percentage. Carrera and the Gamecocks get a matchup against a mid-paced Mississippi State Bulldog team that has allowed small forwards to dominate all season. Carrera will own a huge strength advantage in his matchups against smaller guards, Quindary Weatherspoon and Fred Thomas.
Michael Gbinijie (Syracuse, Guard) Gbinijie is Syracuse’s highest utilized player, both in terms of usage and shots. Gbinjie also holds the ACCs 7th ranked assist rate to go along with the 4th ranked steal percentage. Gbinjie, although 6’7, runs the point for the Orange. He draws a matchup against Cat Barber, a great offensive player, but who is notorious for being lackadaisical and disinterested on the defensive end. For any NBA guys, this matchup is very comparable to a matchup against James Harden. Gbinije also gets an amazing team matchup against North Carolina State, who recently surpassed Wake Forest for having the worst defense in the ACC.
Marcus Georges-Hunt (Georgia Tech, Guard) Georges-Hunt draws a matchup against the worst power conference team in college basketball. Boston College is horrendous in every aspect of the game, leading to a 0-15 conference record. Georgia Tech should have no trouble routing BC and Georges-Hunt should play a huge role in this. MGH has led Tech in usage with a 25.0 usage rate, while getting to the line more than any other player in the ACC. For new DFS CBB players, you may worry that MGH will not get his normal allotment of minutes in a potential blowout, but in college, coaches generally do not bench their starters until around two minutes left in the game. In a great matchup, Marcus-Georges Hunt makes an extremely safe cash game play.
Other Top Plays: Jakob Poetl, D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera, Chinanu Onuaku
Mid-Range Plays ($5500-$7500)
Abdul-Malik Abu (North Carolina State, Forward) If you’ve paid any attention to Syracuse over the past few years, then you should know that their patented Jim Boeheim zone defense is very conducive to offensive rebounds. Countless big men have gone off against the Orange with huge upside from rebound/layup correlation points. Syracuse’s rebounding woes falls into good hands with Abu, the third ranked offensive rebounder in the ACC. As long as Abu can stay out of foul trouble he has realistic twenty rebound upside.
Quindary Weatherspoon (Missisippi State, Guard) Weatherspoon really burst onto the scene at the beginning of conference play, with a huge game against Tennessee. The freshman has lead the Bulldogs in shots attempted since the new year, also ranking inside the top 25 in both steals and blocks in the SEC, giving him upside in tournaments. Weatherspoon should continue his hot scoring against an up-tempo South Carolina team.
Malachi Richardson (Syracuse, Guard)- Along with other Syracuse starters, Richardson is basically guaranteed to play 35 minutes thanks to the DFS conducive coaching of Jim Boeheim. Malachi has been Cuse’s second option all season long from an offensive standpoint and with a great matchup against NC State, (as stated above, worst defense in ACC) Malachi has a chance for a breakout offensive performance.
Kellen Dunham (Butler, Forward) Dunham is one of the best pure scorers in all of college basketball. If Dunham could get a few peripheral statistics he would easily be an elite level stud, but Dunham rarely goes over 10 total peripheral statistics in a game. Butler is projected to score 75 points and Dunham should put up 20-25 real life points, hitting 4x value on points scored alone. Any peripheral statistics for Dunham will be added bonuses that will allow him to put up a big score.
Other Top Plays: Sindarius Thornwell, Craig Sword, Tre Demps, Dennis Clifford, Tyler Roberson, Alonzo Trier
Value Plays ($3000-$5500)
Bishop Daniels (Rutgers, Guard) Since the suspension to “do-it-all” point guard, Corey Sanders, Bishop Daniels has performed nicely. Daniels has stepped into the starting lineup and gone over 20 fantasy points in all three games since the suspension (averaging 13 points, 5 assists, and two steals per game over the stretch). Daniels gets a date with Northwestern – a team that plays at a slow pace, but routinely allows huge games to opposing guards. Teammate Mike Williams also benefits from the Corey Sanders suspension and is usable in all formats.
Tomasz Gielo (Mississippi, Forward)- Tomasz Gielo has continued his consistent minute streak for far longer than I initially expected. I now have officially accepted that Gielo is a main cog of the Mississippi offense and is going to play upwards of 32 minutes each game. With increased minutes comes increased shots, which have been aplenty for Gielo in recent games. Gielo has taken eight or more shots in each of his last nine games. The majority of these shots have come from behind the arc, an area where Gielo shoots over 40%. Gielo also provides requisite peripheral stats reflected in his 11.5 rebounding rate, and 13.5 assist rate. Regardless of matchup, with consistent minutes at a sub $6000 price, Gielo makes a great cheap option across all formats.
Davon Reed (Miami, Guard) After a rough game against UNC, Davon Reed stepped up in a big way, scoring 21 of Miami’s 61 points against #3 Virginia. Reed has hit his 5x value threshold in five of his last six games and is just flat out underpriced for his recent production. Reed gets a tough matchup against Louisville, but as shown against arguably the best defensive team in the nation in Virginia, Reed has the ability to go off against anybody.
Jonathan Laurent (Rutgers, Forward) At a $4200 price tag there is absolutely no reason Laurent should not be in your cash game lineups. Since the Sanders suspension, Laurent has played 35+ minutes all three games, scoring an average of 32 fantasy points per game, just under 8x value. Laurent is a skilled scorer and a great defensive rebounder and comes at a $3000 discount. Today’s slate looks like a slate to stack a Rutgers team who has been terrible this season. Stacking Rutgers just makes me cringe, but with all of their players underpriced; it looks to be the right way to go. Laurent and the rest of the Scarlet Nights make for interesting fades in tournaments as they will likely be among the highest owned players of the day.
Other Top Plays: Jessie Govan, Adam Smith, Mike Williams, Kamari Murphy
*statistics courtesy of kenpom.com