Daily Fantasy Rundown – NBA DFS – February 3rd, 2015
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.
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Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is Star Fantasy Leagues
Stephen Curry (GS) – Curry is the top overall point guard option on Tuesday and he’s in contention for the top overall play. He faces a Kings defense that ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency against point guards and perhaps most importantly he faces them on the road. Curry is averaging an extra minute per game on the road this season and his scoring responsibility has jumped considerably on the road as well. He’s averaging 17.4 field goal attempts per game on the road compared to 15.9 field goal attempts per game at home. In closer contests, the Warriors lean on their star a bit more. Vegas still projects this game as lopsided (Warriors favored by nine) and point guard is ripe with options tonight so Curry isn’t a necessity, but I think he’s a strong option to target.
Next in line:
Damian Lillard (POR)/Ty Lawson (DEN) – Lillard and Lawson are clearly the next in line options at point guard and I would rank them in that order. The price gaps between the two varies considerably across the industry and I think it’s important to pay attention to them. On sites the gap is small, I strongly prefer Lillard. Utah is the better defensive opponent but their staunch inside defense has forced a lot more perimeter looks of late. Over their last 10 games they’re allowing 20.1 field goal attempts per game to point guards, compared to 18.3 on the season. Lillard has been in a brutal shooting slump (.371 in January) but we expect that to regress over time and it’s brought his price point down a bit. Lawson has the better matchup but the key is the price. On Star Fantasy Leagues he remains priced outrageously but on DraftKings it is settling into a nice range. I’d like Lawson’s matchup even more, if Michael Carter-Williams is out.