3/2 CBB DFS: Jameel McKay is the top forward value
Welcome to Monday’s edition of DCoop328’s CBB Daily Plays. This article will break down the best plays at each price range (based on FanDuel pricing). This will be followed by price-adjusted cash game rankings showing the best 50/50 and head to head plays for today’s slate.
High Priced Studs ($8500+)
Olivier Hanlan (Guard, Boston College) – If you are going to pay up for a stud, Olivier Hanlan is your man. Hanlan is a pure scorer, ranking 19th in D1 in scoring at 19.6 per game. In the month of February Hanlan averaged 28 points per game, tops in the nation. At his $9,300 price on FanDuel, Hanlan gives you a guaranteed 30 point floor with a huge 50-plus point ceiling. He’ll faced a Virginia Tech team ranked 223rd in the nation in adjusted defense, while the other two studs in this price range, Gbinjie and Christmas, each have extremely tough matchups against Virginia (first in the nation in adjusted defense).
Mid-Priced Plays ($6500-$8500)
Jameel McKay (Forward, Iowa State) – McKay’s minutes have steadily increased since moving into the starting lineup on February 2nd (at least 32 minutes in five of his last six contests). Since that date he has not scored less than 23 Fantasy points. McKay is a rebounding machine, averaging over nine per game since joining the starting lineup. He should have a lot of chances for rebounds playing in a game with the 18th and 42nd fastest tempo teams in the NCAA. McKay makes an elite cash and GPP play.
Taurean Prince (Forward, Baylor) – Prince has been on a hot streak from behind the arc, shooting over 50% over his last four games. With his hot scoring, Prince has produced over 30 Fantasy points four games in a row. He draws a tough matchup against a very slow Texas team, but on a short slate he makes him a great play.
Tashawn Thomas (Forward, Oklahoma) – The Houston transfer has come on strong down the stretch, averaging 30 Fantasy points per game over his last five games. TaShawn draws a good matchup against the 18th fastest team in the nation, Iowa State. In TaShawn’s last matchup against the Cyclones he put up a season high 50 Fantasy points. TaShawn is a great play in all league formats.
Anthony Gill (Forward, Virginia) – Since the Justin Anderson injury, Gill’s role has increased immensely. His minutes have jumped by nearly 10 minutes per game to 27. With the recent minutes increase, Gill is underpriced at $6,600 on FanDuel. He has been a great rebounder his entire career and makes for an extremely safe cash game play.
Low Priced Values ($4500-$6500)
Aaron Brown (Guard, Boston College) – Aaron Brown is Boston College’s second leading scorer. Like Hanlan he averages in the high 30’s in minutes. Brown is at a great discount to Hanlan but they can easily be paired together as combined they account for around 50 percent of Boston College’s total scoring output. The matchup against a well below average Virginia Tech team also helps. At his low price, Aaron Brown is almost guaranteed to make value, making him the safest guard on the board.
Kendal Yancy (Guard, Texas) – The sophomore guard has recently seen a huge playing time increase over the past few weeks. In the past five games Yancy has played over 31 minutes per game, 10 minutes over his season long average. Playing on the terrible Texas team, the talented Yancy has the green light to shoot as much as he wants, giving him the 40 point upside we saw against Iowa State, three games ago. Yancy makes a nice GPP play on both FanDuel and DraftKings given that he’s underpriced but does have a tough matchup against Baylor.
Darion Atkins (Forward, Virginia) – Since the Justin Anderson injury, along with Anthony Gill, Atkins’ minutes have greatly increased. Even with the minutes bump, Atkins has been a very inconsistent performer, but with the lack of value on the board today and with his nice upside, Atkins is a nice GPP play and an acceptable cash play.
Jonathon Motley (Forward, Baylor) – Motley began the season playing as one of Baylor’s top players. As the season went on he lost playing time to Taurean Prince and Royce O’Neale, but over the past week Motley’s minutes have increased back to their peak at 23 per game. The big man has averaged over 15 points per game over this three game stretch. Motley’s production has not been great but the cap relief he offers allows for the rostering of a stud like Olivier Hanlan.
Demarcus Holland (Guard, Texas) – Holland is my min-priced sleeper of the day. In his last game Holland played 35 minutes, and similar playing times would give him nice upside at his low price. Holland has basically done nothing all year in terms of Fantasy output but has averaged 18 Fantasy points per game over his last three contests. When rostering Holland you can expect between 15 and 20 fantasy points, well above his value threshold.
*Adjusted team statistics are from kenpom.com
Price-Adjusted Cash Game Rankings:
- Jameel McKay
- Anthony Gill
- TaShawn Thomas
- Taurean Prince
- Darion Atkins
- Jonathon Motley
- Royce O’Neale
- Rico Gathers
- Dennis Clifford
- Georges Niang
- Aaron Brown
- Olivier Hanlan
- Malcolm Brogdon
- Isaiah Cousins
- Kendal Yancy
- Demarcus Holland
- Adam Smith
- Kenny Chery
- Monte Morris
- Buddy Hield