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3/25 NBA DFS: All About Kawhi on Wednesday

3/25 NBA DFS: All About Kawhi on Wednesday
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – NBA DFS – March 25th, 2015

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”.  Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.

NOTE: There are so many players listed as questionable on the injury reports today (over 30). I’ve tried my best to cover most of the DFS relevant situations in our analysis and our cheat sheets, but new situations will pop up and I can’t realistically cover every if-then situation in the content while delivering it at a reasonable time. Unfortunately, it’s the state of the DFS NBA season right now. Please make sure to stay tuned to our alerts throughout the day.

Point Guard

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Another day, another Westbrook dilemma. Westbrook keeps churning out 50-60 Fantasy point performances, but the rate of his 70-80 Fantasy point performances has slowed down considerably. The matchup with the Spurs (17th in defensive efficiency against point guards) is fairly neutral on paper, but the likelihood of facing Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard most of the game isn’t favorable. A deep slate has enough value plays to consider Westbrook, but ultimately I think he’s a better fade than play tonight.

Next in line:

John Wall (WAS) – Wall is back at home where he’s shown noticeable splits throughout his career (averaged three more Fantasy points per game at home in his career). The matchup against the Pacers is below average. They rank in the Top Ten in defensive efficiency against point guards and in the bottom ten in pace. However, Wall’s price point is discounted around the industry after an extended road trip. The depth of value at the point guard position makes Wall a bit of an unnecessary spend, but his price offers value. I think he’s more of a secondary value play and fits in nicely as a tournament option.

Value Plays:

Trey Burke (UTA) – This is a situation where opportunity and price point overwhelm talent. Burke isn’t a particularly adept point guard, but he’s the only capable ball handler they have without Gordon Hayward and as a result he’s going to play a lot and have a high usage rate. In the two games without Hayward this season, Burke has posted a usage rate of 31.2 percent. He’s also shot 15.2 percent from the field in those two games. The Blazers defense is designed to funnel mid-range jumpers to the point guard. They allow the highest percentage of play types to the pick-and-roll ball handler in the league. What Burke will do with those opportunities, I don’t know. Perhaps he’ll keep working on his brick house. I do know, that if I can get a 31 percent usage rate and 30 plus minutes on the floor at the cost of a reserve player, I’m going to take my chances.

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