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3/3 NBA DFS: Mo Williams = Mo Money on Tuesday

3/3 NBA DFS: Mo Williams = Mo Money on Tuesday
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – NBA DFS – March 3rd, 2015

Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”.  Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.

Point Guard

Top Play:

John Wall (WAS) – Wall projects as the top scorer at the point guard position but it’s not a wide gap between he and our top value play (Mo Williams), so he’s not a necessity in cash games. Wall’s price point has come down across the industry as his production has dipped in January and February. His usage rates have held steady but his assist rate regressed after a huge December. The Bulls rank 23rd in defensive efficiency against point guards and funnel a majority of their defense to the pick-and-roll ball handler, forcing the mid-range game. The opportunities for Wall should be there and the price point isn’t restrictive. With a lack of elite options to spend on and an overwhelming amount of value on Tuesday’s slate, I think Wall is a viable option at a relatively thin position.

The Value Play:

Mo Williams (CHA) – When Williams was first traded to Charlotte we anticipated the fit would really boost his value. Charlotte ranks inside the Top Three in play types by the pick-and-roll ball handler and Williams is at his best using picks to free up his shooting. In his time with Minnesota he ranked in the 68th percentile in points per possession as the pick-and-roll ball handler and that play type represented almost 40 percent of his offensive possessions. Throw in a huge minutes boost as the starting point guard in Charlotte and we were confident Williams’ price tag was heading north. The price tag has already risen 20-30 percent on most sites, but we think there is still room for additional value. Williams’ current price point leaves value thresholds in the low thirties, which is a barrier he’s eclipsed in four of his five games with the Hornets. Tonight he gets an elite matchup with the Lakers who rank 30th in defensive efficiency against point guards and rank in the bottom five at defending pick-and-roll ball handlers. Williams is a building block at the point guard position in our cash game lineups.

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