3/1 CBB DFS Picks: Commodore Core
With only 12 days until Selection Sunday, we welcome you to DCoop328’s 3/1 CBB DFS Picks. Today we will break down the top plays at each price range (based on FanDuel pricing).
Brandon Ingram (Duke, Forward) The Duke team as a whole is coming off a rough game against Pittsburgh, where they scored a season low 62 points. Duke gets their remedy today, Wake Forest, the second fastest in pace and second worst defensive team in the ACC. Ingram, an extremely versatile player, will have to either be guarded by one of Wake Forest’s slow big men or by one of their undersized SG/SFs. Either way, Ingram should be able to dominate this game from an offensive standpoint through either three point jumpers, drives, or post ups. Ingram also gives a nice defensive upside as a result of his 3.6 block rate.
D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera (Georgetown, Guard) DSR is finally starting to play to the best of his ability late in his senior year, averaging 21 points per game over his last three games. DSR also brings an elite 28.6 assist rate into play as well, having the ball in his hands more than nearly any other player in the Big East. Georgetown faces Marquette, a team that loves to run the floor (71st national rank in adjusted tempo), which should give DSR five to 10 more possessions to run the Hoya offense.
Cinmeon Bowers (Auburn, Forward) Since the departure of Kareem Canty, Auburn’s most utilized player, Cinmeon Bowers usage has been through the roof. The 6’7 250 pound forward has played the “Ben Simmons point forward” role for Auburn, allowing for upside in all three offensive categories. Cinmeon’s price still has not adjusted to the Canty departure – and even with a mediocre matchup against Texas A&M – Cinmeon is an elite forward play. An added bonus for DFS players is that Cinmeon is a hustle type players that goes for all loose balls, rebounds, and steals, making him extremely fun to watch and sweat during DFS contests.
Other Top Plays: Damian Jones, Grayson Allen, Josh Hart
Mid Range Plays ($6000-$8000)
Luke Kornet (Vanderbilt, Forward) Vanderbilt is arguably the tallest team in the nation, running out two seven footers in the starting lineup. Conversely, Tennessee is one of the smallest, routinely running out a lineup with a 6’4 player at the center position. As a result of the matchup against Vanderbilt, 6’9 Kyle Alexander will likely get some run at center for the Volunteers, but he will be matched up with true center, Damian Jones. At power forward, Kornet gets a huge mismatch against 6’4 Armani Moore, 6’4 Admiral Schofield, and 6’4 Robert Hubbs III. Luke Kornet at 7’1 will dominate his defenders both scoring and on the offensive glass, likely to the tune of an easy double-double. With the third ranked block percentage, Kornet also provides great defensive value.
Danuel House (Texas A&M, Forward) House has to be the player I have written up most this season and he continues to be underpriced. House takes 27.7% of Texas A&M’s shots and holds a 24.7 usage rate, both top 20 in the SEC. House gets a matchup against a dreadful Auburn defense that ranks 12th in the SEC in defensive efficiency, while playing at the second fastest tempo. As usual, House makes an extremely safe cash game forward play.
TJ Dunans (Auburn, Guard)- Dunans has missed nearly the entire season for Auburn due to a knee injury, but when he has played, he’s been extremely effective both for the Tigers and for DFS purposes. Dunans loves to drive to the basket and dish, possessing a top-line 24.8 assist rate, but his true value comes from his defensive statistics. With a 4.3 block rate and 2.6 steal rate, you can expect Dunans to provide at least three to four defensive statistics in nearly every game, building in six to eight extra fantasy points to every stat line.
Matthew Fisher-Davis (Vanderbilt, Forward) Fisher-Davis, since joining the starting lineup, has been an extremely consistent performer, averaging nearly 18 points per game to go along with six rebounds per game. In addition, Fisher-Davis is another beneficiary of Vanderbilt’s matchup, facing undersized Tennessee. 6’6 Fisher-Davis plays the two for the Commodores and will face off against one of Tennessee’s undersized 6’1-6’2 guards.
Other Top Plays: Troy Williams, Jordan Woodard, Ryan Rosburg, Tim Quarterman
Value Plays ($4500-$6000)
Mike Gesell (Iowa, Guard) Gesell is an interesting case study this season. He began the year hot, being priced in the mid-to-high $7000 range. He then went cold and his priced dropped down to a low point of $5100. Since the price drop, Gesell has been an extremely consistent performer running the point for the Hawkeyes (34.0 assist rate). He’s now well on his way to moving into the $7000 range. In his last game against Indiana, just under three weeks ago, Gesell routinely blew by larger Indiana guards, putting up 24 points and six assists. In a great head-to-head matchup Gesell is a very safe cash game option.
Jeff Roberson (Vanderbilt, Forward)- Roberson is the final beneficiary of the matchup against undersized Tennessee (anyone noticing a theme here?). Tennessee ranks last in the SEC in offensive rebounds allowed and Roberson (along with Fisher-Davis and Kornet) should be able to clean up on the glass. Roberson, similarly to Fisher-Davis, has recently cemented consistent minutes, playing over 34 in three of his last four games. As a result of the mammoth size difference, playing multiple Vandy forwards on tonight’s slate is almost a must.
Tremaine Isabell/Jalyn Patterson (Missouri/LSU, Guard) Missouri and LSU matchup against each other in what should be the fastest paced game of the day. Both Isabell and Patterson are getting the nod due to normal starters being out. For Isabell, starting guard Wes Clark was dismissed from the team and for Patterson, starting guard Keith Hornsby is out with injury. Isabell is the more offensively dominant and safer player of the two, but if you are looking for salary relief, both should burn 30-35 minutes in the fastest paced game of the day.
Other Top Plays: Vince Edwards, Luke Kennard, Isaiah Briscoe,
Good luck today everybody and as always if you have any questions hit me up in the forums or on twitter @dcoop328dfs.
* statistics courtesy of kenpom.com