3/7 CBB DFS: Target Abdourin Gabriel Olaseni
Welcome to Saturdays’s edition of DCoop328’s CBB Daily Plays. This article will break down the best plays at each price range (based on Fanduel pricing). This will be followed by price-adjusted cash game rankings showing the best 50/50 and head to head plays for today’s slate.
Sir’Dominic Pointer (St. John’s, Guard) – Pointer comes into this matchup steaming hot. Pointer is the only player in college basketball to score 40 or more Fanduel points in six of his last seven games. The reason for Pointer’s huge production is a result of his 5th and 6th ranked steal/block rates in the Big East. Pointer gets a mediocre matchup against Villanova, but his recent defensive play makes Pointer matchup proof. It should also be noted that Villanova falls outside of the top 100 teams in the country in lowest block and steal rates allowed, which should mesh well with Pointer’s defensive prowess.
Jarell Martin (LSU, Forward) – The LSU and Arkansas game should easily be the highest scoring game of the day (sixth and ninth ranked teams in adjusted tempo). Unluckily for us many of these players are overpriced due to their usually high scoring affairs. Jarrell Martin is one of the few players who have turned their game up a notch as of recent making him a nice play. In a game where LSU is predicted to score 76 points you should expect Martin to score at least 25 as he ranks 18th out of 97 qualified players in the conference in usage rate.
D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera (Georgetown, Guard) – The Georgetown guard is playing his best basketball of the season leading into the Big East Tournament. Smith-Rivera takes over 25% of Georgetown’s shots, top 10 in the Big East. To add to Smith-Rivera’s scoring he has begun to rack up points in peripheral categories, averaging eight rebounds and four assists over his last four games. D’Vauntes will likely be matched up on one of the worst defensive guards Sterling Gibbs. Seton Hall as a team isn’t all that great defensively either, ranking 112th in adjusted defense. Expect a big game out of the Hoya’s leading scorer.
Mid-Priced Plays ($6000-$8500)
Jarrod Uthoff (Iowa, Forward) – Look down Jarrod Uthoff’s Fanduel game logs. In the past seven games he has not gone higher than 33.4 or lower than 27 fantasy points. His 30-point average is about 4x value, over his threshold. His EXTREME consistency makes him an elite cash game play.
Rashad Madden (Arkansas, Guard) – Arkansas’ point guard gets to play in the high scoring Arkansas-LSU game. With the increase in possessions Madden should be able to rack up a very high number of peripheral stats (seventh in the conference in assist rate, middle of the pack in steal and usage rates). Madden’s low price with his guaranteed minutes in this up-tempo game gives him an extremely high floor of about 25 fantasy points (4x value).
Low Priced Values ($4500-$6000)
Jonathon Holton (West Virginia, Forward) – Today is loaded with low-priced values, which allows studs to be in play. Holton is the first of these strong salary cap relief options. He is simply way underpriced due to his recent minutes bump from about 20 minutes per game to 34 minutes per game over his last three contests. With the increased minutes, Holton has put up 20 fantasy points in his last three games, which should continue today.
Abodunrin Gabriel Olaseni (Iowa, Forward) – The Iowa center draws the ultimate narrative street game. Gabe draws his first start of the season for the Hawkeyes while his parents from Africa are traveling to America for the first time to watch him play basketball. This would not be too exciting except for the fact that Olesani has an extremely high usage rate when on the floor. In fact, his 23.1 usage rate is tied for the team lead. On top of that, he’s fourth in the conference in block rate, first in offensive rebounding rate and 22nd in defensive rebounding rate. Olesani is a much better center than underclassmen Woodbury and should play his most minutes of the year today. Olesani makes a fine cash game play and has HUGE upside for GPPs. I honestly would not be surprised if the $5,200 player puts up a 25/15/5 line.
Vic Law (Northwestern, Forward) – The Northwestern small forward’s minutes have slightly increased each game since February 18th. They have risen all the way up to 38 minutes in his last game (a season high). Vic is still priced as a 20 minute per game player. With his minutes uptick Vic Law should easily hit value despite a relatively subpar matchup against Iowa (52nd in adjusted defense and 210th in adjusted tempo).
Nigel Johnson (Kansas State, Guard) – Kansas State starting point guard Jevon Thomas is out for today’s game allowing Nigel Johnson to start. The Wildcats have no other capable point guards on their roster, so it would not be surprising if the near min-priced guard approaches 40 minutes. If you do not play Johnson today you will be way behind the pack. On top of the upside in minutes, Johnson has been fairly capable when on the floor as he’s ninth in the conference in assist rate (Thomas was fifth).
*Advanced Stats courtesy of Kenpom.com
Price Adjusted Cash Game Rankings
- Nigel Johnson
- D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera
- Rashad Madden
- Kendal Yancy
- Denzel Valentine
- Travis Trice
- Keith Hornsby
- Michael Qualls
- Phil Greene IV
- Isaiah Cousins
- Jonathon Holton
- Jared Uthoff
- Abodunrin Gabriel-Olesani
- Vic Law
- Sir’Dominic Pointer
- Jarell Martin
- Jamel Artis
- Rakeem Christmas
- Alex Olah
- Bobby Portis