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4/10 NBA DFS: Westbrook reigns King on Friday

4/10 NBA DFS: Westbrook reigns King on Friday
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – NBA DFS – April 10th, 2015

Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem” and “dinkpiece”.  Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our analysis will help you consistently build winning rosters over the long run.

Point Guard

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook is the top overall play on Friday’s slate. He gets an elite matchup against the Kings who rank 26th in defensive efficiency against point guards. They rank in the bottom quartile (and often bottom decile) in points allowed per possession in transition, against pick-and-roll ball handlers, and in isolation. Westbrook has struggled mightily of late and his price point has come down to a more reasonable level with those struggles. The Thunder are tied for the eighth spot in the Western Conference and they’re coming off two days of rest without another game until Sunday. While there is ample blowout risk in this game (Thunder favored by 13.5), Westbrook should log heavy minutes with the Thunder’s playoff urgency. Based on likely increased efficiency, we project Westbrook to approach his value thresholds in 35 minutes on most sites. With a plethora of cheap options available, he’s a tremendous cash game option.

Value Plays:

Deron Williams (BKN) – Williams, and all the Nets starters, have seen a bump in minutes down the stretch and with that a bump in Fantasy value. Williams is averaging 34 minutes per game in April which is three minutes higher than his seasonal average. He’ll face the Wizards on Friday who rank 10th in defensive efficiency against point guards but will replace John Wall with Ramon Sessions in the starting lineup. Sessions is a below average defender for his career (111 D-Rating) and Williams should be a focal point of the offensive attack. His price is still modest around the industry, but appears softest relative to the rest of the point guards on FanDuel.

Jordan Clarkson (LAL) – Clarkson gets a dream matchup against the Timberwolves who rank 29th in defensive efficiency against point guards, 30th in overall defensive efficiency, and play at the league’s 10th fastest pace. Clarkson’s usage rate has grown considerably as the season has gone on (23.3 percent on the season but 24.8 percent in March and 25.3 percent in April) and he has the potential for a boost in minutes and usage if Jeremy Lin (questionable) is ruled out. I like his price point most on DraftDay where it’s below the average cost of a roster spot, but any site that it’s hovering around the average cost of a roster spot; he’s a strong play.

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