MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – April 13th, 2015
Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: The two main games we’ll have to keep any eye on in terms of rain are ATL-MIA and LAA-TEX. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Chris Iannetta (LAA) – The Angels bats are in the best spot of any team today with a team total likely to settle in at 4.5, but with the money odds indicating it’s close to being bumped up to 5. They’ll face Ross Detwiler who is great against LHBs. Unfortunately for Detwiler, the only left handed bat he may see is leadoff man Kole Calhoun. The rest of the lineup will be right handers, and Detwiler has allowed a .341 wOBA to RHBs since 2012 with a really low 13.7 K percentage. He got roughed up in his first outing of the year, walking as many as he struck out en route to five earned runs in just 4.1 IP. Iannetta’s spot in the lineup (likely seventh) dings his value but on a short slate, he’s still the prime value play target, especially on FanDuel where he is near minimum price. Iannetta has demonstrated both patience (15.8 BB rate) and power (.183 ISO) against LHP the last few seasons, leaving him with a healthy 136 wRC+ against it.
Stephen Vogt (OAK) – Opposing pitcher Scott Feldman turned in a quality first start and has back to back sub-4.00 ERAs, but it doesn’t mean we are buying into him at all. He’s pedestrian at best and that’s evidenced by his inability to miss bats. Feldman posted a very poor 14.0 K percentage last season, achieving swinging strikes just 6.1 percent of the time. Not much changed in his first outing, aside from the result, as he generated swinging strikes on only 6.8 percent of his pitches. With Oakland getting a nice park shift, their team is in the second most favorable spot tonight. I prefer Iannetta to Vogt, but if Vogt sneaks his way into the top five or six lineup spots, he will represent the better value on DraftKings.