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4/21 MLB DFS: Kipnis breaks free from The Cell

4/21 MLB DFS: Kipnis breaks free from The Cell
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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4/21 MLB DFS: Kipnis breaks free from The Cell

Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: No major issues tonight. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Value Play:

Derek Norris (SD) – Norris is the chalk play at catcher once again and given the lack of opportunity cost, I don’t see much reason to look elsewhere in cash games. The affordable Norris is in a great lineup spot for a catcher (second), has an impressive 150 wRC+ against LHP for his career, faces a pitcher with poor splits (Matzek’s .362 wOBA allowed to RHBs since 2012 is highest of any SP in action today) and above all else, sees a massive park shift playing in Coors Field. He’ll likely be so highly owned that there’s merit to fading him in GPPs, but for cash games simply slotting in Norris to start your roster is a positive expected value (+EV) move over the long run.

Additional catcher notes: Carlos Santana (CLE) is a viable option for cash games where he still holds catcher eligibility (more on him below). Russell Martin (TOR) doesn’t have the platoon edge but should hold a top five or six lineup spot for a strong Blue Jays offense at home. In tournaments, you can look towards Buster Posey (SF) (absolutely mashes LHP but low expected team success), Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) (much better hitter from the left side and Jerome Williams is awful) and Alex Avila (DET) (cheap and Nathan Eovaldi struggles with LHBs).

First Base

Top Play: Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) (a good value and mammoth upside as he’s at home and Nick Martinez is quite frankly awful but there are similar values at lower price tags more conducive to a well-rounded cash game roster tonight)

Value Plays:

Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) – Opposing pitcher Bud Norris has actually been very good against same handed batters the last several years (held them to a .302 wOBA and .83 HR/9). However, Encarnacion’s tag has simply fallen to the point where he’s a value even if the matchup doesn’t line up perfectly. He’s just the eighth highest priced 1B on FanDuel and 15th on DraftKings. At this price, he’s viable at home. Even though the individual matchup with the starting pitcher isn’t great, the Blue Jays have a high team total of 4.5 and are at home in the Rogers Centre, which is conducive to right handed power. The only concern here is Encarnacion’s batted ball data (high GB and IFFB rates). While I wouldn’t overreact to such a small sample just yet, it’s easy enough to take a cheaper player with similar value, meaning my exposure to Encarnacion will likely come in tournaments.

Carlos Santana/Brandon Moss (CLE) – The Cleveland LHBs may have the best matchup of any group of hitters tonight, and that’s saying something considering there’s a game in Coors. Cleveland will take on Hector Noesi who has a career 5.15 ERA and ZiPS projected 5.91 ERA. Noesi has a below average K rate and is extremely HR prone (1.42 allowed per nine for his career). Versus LHBs since 2012 he has yielded a .343 wOBA and 1.65 HR/9. Outside of the big upside that simply facing Noesi provides, the Cleveland hitters will benefit from a strong uptick in park factor and double digit mph winds blowing out to right field. Moss has the advantage early on as his HR upside against Noesi is mammoth, but Santana winds up a similar overall value when you factor in the guaranteed platoon edge when the game gets into the bullpen.

Adam Lind (MIL) – We’ve picked on Jason Marquis quite a bit through his first two starts and there’s not much reason to stop now. While most pitchers regress towards a HR/FB rate around 9-10 percent, I think Marquis is an exception. He has a career 12.7 HR/FB rate and has allowed a HR/FB rate of greater than 15 percent in three of his previous four MLB seasons, including 18.2 and 20.7 percent in his last two MLB seasons (both came with over 100 IP). In fact, since 2012 Marquis has allowed a .387 wOBA and mammoth 1.97 HR/9 to LHBs. Lind is off to a solid start this season (encouraging plate discipline numbers early on) and will be in a great lineup spot for a Brewers team worth targeting today, despite injury issues. Lind has a career .369 wOBA and .217 ISO against RHP.

Lucas Duda (NYM) – On most sites I’ll lean to the upside of the aforementioned value plays, but on DraftKings, where pricing is a bit tougher overall, Duda is hard to ignore at $3,600. It’s tough to find a hitter of his caliber and lineup spot at that price point. Then you throw in the platoon edge and a date with Trevor Cahill, and you’ve got yourself a great source of salary cap relief without having to sacrifice much value/upside.

Additional first base notes: The fact of the matter is, on a 15 game slate with some good offensive environments in play and no elite starting pitching options, there are a plethora of different routes that provide upside at 1B. The written up guys are our preferred cash game plays based on price/matchup but Justin Morneau (COL) (platoon edge in Coors and top five lineup spot due to injuries around him), David Ortiz (BOS) (nice low percentage play with upside), Jose Abreu (CHW) (similar reasoning to Encarnacion) and Joey Votto (CIN) (power seems to have returned and Fiers is very fly ball risky) are all tournament playable.

Second Base

Top Play:

Jason Kipnis (CLE) – I feel about Kipnis the way I feel about Norris at catcher – he’s the chalk play but I’m fine riding the chalk in cash games. The opportunity cost is a bit higher (will touch on the alternative options in the notes section), but there’s a fairly large gap in projected value between Kipnis and the rest of the position. I highlighted why this is such a good matchup for Cleveland LHBs in the first base section. Kipnis will benefit from that and hitting second for a Cleveland team with a team total of 4.5. Kipnis is coming off a disappointing year. Perhaps expectations were set too high following the awesome 2013 campaign, but Kipnis is still a 15-30 HR-SB upside player over a full season. His ability to contribute in those categories, the lineup spot, the park factor and the matchup against the opposing pitcher all combine to make him valuable this evening.

Additional second base notes: Jedd Gyorko (SD) is certainly cash game relevant as well. He has the platoon edge in Coors, but make sure he’s in the top six in the order before deploying him in cash games. Brian Dozier (MIN) is a tournament option on DraftKings and a value play alternative on FanDuel. The Twins RHBs in general have upside against the homer prone Jason Vargas, and Dozier in particular has put up a 137 wRC+ against southpaws while carrying HR/SB upside. Tournament options include Dee Gordon (MIA) (great speed upside and poor opposing pitcher, could be used in cash if you happen to have the cap space), Chase Utley (PHI) (HR upside at home versus Dan Haren) and Rougned Odor (TEX) (high team total and platoon edge in a good offensive environment).

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowitzki (COL) – Listing Tulowitzki as the top play isn’t exactly earth shattering. He’s pretty much the top shortstop play every day and that’s especially true when at home. Even at a high price tag, the value in a vacuum is good for Tulowitzki. However, we don’t play these games in a vacuum and unless some really elite punts pop up, my exposure to Tulowitzki will have to come in tournaments or on teams where I’m taking a risk with a cheaper starting pitcher.

Value Play:

Jean Segura (MIL) – Milwaukee has been a thorn in our side all season long and they’ll truly test us today with an elite home matchup against Jason Marquis who is simply really bad. While the Brewers offense as a whole takes a big hit due to injuries (Gomez, Lucroy and Gennett all out), some value has been created as a result of lineup positioning. Jean Segura has been hitting towards the top of the order and is my favorite cash game play at the position. It’s tough to find an affordable shortstop that will get you the desired plate appearances, has speed upside and is on a high projected scoring team (Brewers have a team total of 4.5). Segura fits the bill across the board and is someone we’re expecting to have a bounce back season in general.

Additional shortstop notes: Chris Owings (ARI) is a nice punt option given that the Diamondbacks are at home and Nick Martinez isn’t good (ZiPS projected 4.95 ERA), but unfortunately he probably doesn’t climb up to a good lineup spot. Everth Cabrera (BAL) is a good punt option at DraftKings. He’s real cheap and has led off against LHP. It’s a good park and the Orioles have a decent shot at success against Mark Buehrle. The one issue here is Buehrle is good at holding runners, which may mitigate some of Cabrera’s speed upside. Billy Hamilton (CIN) has so much speed upside day in and day out that he has to be considered a viable option in all formats where he has SS eligibility as the position just lacks the upside he offers. Jose Ramirez (CLE) is purely a punt option for a Cleveland team in a great spot today.

Third Base

Value Plays:

Aramis Ramirez (MIL) – Ramirez has been ice cold to begin the season and the early numbers are disturbing (21.7 K percentage, no walks). There’s some merit to avoiding cold hitters who may be playing through unknown injuries, so don’t feel locked into Ramirez. I’ll personally still take the chance given how favorable his price is and how strong the matchup is against Jason Marquis. Ramirez will be at home and likely slides back into the top five in the order with Jonathan Lucroy out. Using guys like him enables me to get salary cap relief to put towards pitching and outfield options and end up with a very balanced roster.

Trevor Plouffe (MIN) – The best industry wide alternative to Ramirez is Plouffe. He’s second on the Twins in wRC+ since 2012 (128) and has a strong .211 ISO to go with it. The power potential is definitely boosted by a matchup against Jason Vargas who is a low K/GB guy. For his career, Vargas has just a career 37.4 GB rate and 5.90 K/9.

Additional third base notes: Lonnie Chisenhall (CLE) rates really well in our model but didn’t get written up due to a bad lineup spot. I’d consider him an elite tournament option that could be stretched into a cash game punt on sites where he’s discounted meaningfully to the written up options. If he wound up with a top five or six lineup spot, he’d leapfrog Plouffe and Ramirez in our value play rankings. Will Middlebrooks (SD) has big time power upside with the platoon edge in Coors. If he hits fifth again, he’d be a viable cash game option but the price isn’t great for his skill set despite the strong contextual factors. Adrian Beltre (TEX) is off to a slow start, leaving him with a friendly tag. It was likely a small sample size fluke, but Chase Anderson had some extreme reverse splits last season. Feel free to test those in a tournament. Evan Longoria (TB) has really good career splits against LHP, which keeps him in play tonight but his general career path, surrounding offense and park aren’t great. Chase Headley (NYY) could be used in cash games if he winds up with a good lineup spot; Kyle Lobstein is projected to post a 4.50-plus ERA this season by a couple of different projection systems. Some other guys to use in tournaments are Kris Bryant (CHC) (underpriced on some sites given his skill set and huge power upside; using him creates leverage against potential high Liriano ownership in GPPs), Jake Lamb (ARI) (good home park and Nick Martinez has been atrocious against LHBs) and Josh Harrison (PIT) (speed upside, platoon edge, ownership may be low due to park and Travis Wood‘s strong start).

Outfield

Expensive values:

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) – There are no shortage of top outfielders in pretty good spots today but if spending up at the position, Stanton is the guy I want in (assuming at least some discount to Mike Trout). Stanton carries the most HR upside of any hitter on most days and today is no exception as our model has him with the highest HR score. He gets a nice park shift moving from Miami (fourth worst park for right handed HRs last season) to Philadelphia (sixth best). He doesn’t have the platoon edge but opposing pitcher Jerome Williams is not good overall (5.02 ZiPS projected ERA) and has allowed 1.12 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012.

The Padres – This Padres team is a really unfriendly bunch for LHP to face and the outfield is a microcosm of that as it features dangerous RHBs Wil Myers, Matt Kemp and Justin Upton. The latter two have had huge success against LHP for multiple seasons. With the team seeing a massive park shift playing in Coors Field, all three have to be considered for cash games. You may not have to force Coors tonight as much as some nights (some other really bad pitchers in good hitter’s parks), but this group of hitters needs to at least be considered. The top option of the group for me is Matt Kemp. I like his lineup spot (third) best, his HR/SB combination and the absurd numbers against LHP for his career: .334/.396/.559.

Mid-tier values:

Carlos Gonzalez (COL) – Gonzalez quite frankly looked terrible at the plate last night. He used to be money in the bank when healthy but a slow start this year following his worst year performance wise has me wondering if the baseline needs to be re-evaluated. Still, it’s just 12 games into the season and he carries a pretty favorable price tag considering he’ll have the platoon edge in Coors Field. Note that for his career Gonzalez has posted a .436 wOBA and .302 ISO against RHP at home. Corey Dickerson (COL) is dealing with plantar fasciitis (left early last night). If he’s back in the lineup, he’s a GPP option.

Ryan Braun (MIL) – Braun is another slow starter where it’s difficult to tell if we should be concerned (given last season’s poor performance) or pounce on a depressed price tag. I’ll likely do the latter given that Braun enters this season reportedly as healthy as he’s been in a while. And really, the story here is a home matchup against homer prone Jason Marquis. The 36 year old Marquis had a 4.63 ERA (4.30 FIP) at AAA last season (didn’t make it to the Majors) and in the previous year in which he did pitch at the MLB level, he nearly walked as many (68) as he struck out (72) in 117.2 IP, while allowing 1.38 HR/9.

Steve Pearce (BAL) – Pearce is coming off a breakout season in which he flashed immense power potential, hitting 21 HRs in just 102 games en route to a .263 ISO. What I like most about Pearce is he has the plate discipline makeup of a true power hitter, ending with a 10-plus BB percentage and sub-20 K percentage in two consecutive seasons. The 10-20 targets in those two categories are a nice target baseline, meaning Pearce is patient enough where he’s not swinging at pitcher’s pitches but not getting himself in such trouble deep in counts where he’s unable to put the ball in play. Both ZiPS and Steamer projections systems largely expect a repeat (with mild regression built in) since the peripherals (the plate discipline numbers, loft generated) supported the breakout. Pearce will play in Toronto tonight, which is the fourth best park for right handed HRs. A lot of his breakout season last year occurred against LHP (.472 wOBA, .382 ISO) and he’ll have the platoon edge tonight against soft tossing Mark Buehrle (.329 wOBA, 22.5 LD rate allowed to RHBs since 2012).

Cheap Values:

Khris Davis/Gerardo Parra (MIL) – I’m hopeful that Gerardo Parra sneaks into the top six in the lineup for the Brewers. Marquis has been absolutely horrendous against LHBs in his limited MLB time the last few seasons and doesn’t project to improve much. Meanwhile, Parra is a capable hitter and another value I’m targeting where I’m able to grab some salary cap relief without purely punting a position (he’s a legitimate value). Meanwhile Khris Davis is a boom or bust play who should find himself with plenty of RBI opportunities hitting fourth or fifth. Davis has a career .225 ISO and pretty even GB/FB ratio, which should mesh well with Marquis’ consistently elevated HR/FB rate.

Additional outfield notes: Mike Trout (LAA) is the top hitter salary aside. He’s the number one Fantasy player for a reason and faces a mediocre LHP. When you account for park factor, Andrew McCutchen (PIT) is one of the best hitters in all of baseball against LHP. The price on DraftKings takes into account his splits (tournament option only), but on FanDuel he can be considered in cash games. Jose Bautista (TOR) makes for a nice tournament option simply on the basis of expected low ownership. Michael Brantley (CLE) is a great alternative to Carlos Gonzalez and Ryan Braun if you are worried about the slow starts those two are having. Really any LHB in the top six of the order is in play for cash games for Cleveland, meaning you can also target Michael Bourn/David Murphy (CLE) for cheap. On any other day, the Arizona Outfield likely would have received a full write up. The opportunity cost is just so high that it pushes that group down our rankings a bit today, but it’s still a nice spot for them, especially the LHBs (Ender Inciarte and David Peralta). Opposing pitcher Nick Martinez has allowed a .354 wOBA and 1.17 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. Jay Bruce (CIN) is a high risk, reward option. This could be a multiple strikeout day against Mike Fiers, but the pitcher’s fly ball ways also up Bruce’s HR upside.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier 1

1) Collin McHugh (HOU)

2) Lance Lynn (STL)

3) Franciso Liriano (PIT)

4) Gio Gonzalez (WAS)

5) Carlos Carrasco (CLE)

Tier 2

6) Chris Archer (TB)

7) Brett Anderson (LAD)

Tier 3

8) Michael Fiers (MIL)

9) Wade Miley (BOS)

10) Taijuan Walker (SEA)

11) Tim Lincecum (SF)

12) Drew Pomeranz (OAK)

13) Hector Santiago (LAA)

14) Jon Niese (NYM)

15) Dan Haren (MIA)

16) Chase Anderson (ARI)

Value Plays:

Collin McHugh (HOU) – With the tier one pitchers clustered close together, ultimately I’ll side with McHugh’s K upside and favorable ballpark, especially on a site like DraftKings where he’s the cheapest of the tier one starting pitchers. McHugh came out of nowhere last season to strike out more than a batter an inning, which led to a sparkling 3.11 xFIP thanks to an above average BB rate and average GB rate as well. So far this season, he looks even better. It’s obviously a small sample size but improvements to his swinging strike rate and chase rate have fostered even more Ks early on. Particularly with pitchers, I’m more willing to emphasize recent data earlier in the season than I normally would be since so much of pitcher success is correlated to health (which can be an unknown entering each year). McHugh certainly isn’t a risk free selection as the Mariners boast a lot of LHBs (Cano, Seager, Ackley, Smith, Morrison, Miller) and a power RHB (Cruz), but none of the top pitchers are in an ideal spot.

Francisco Liriano (PIT) – It’s never a comfortable day for cash games when Liriano is one of the top starting pitchers. While this Cubs lineup has a great young core, they strikeout a lot. ZiPS has five of their projected starters against LHP with a projected K percentage of greater than 20 percent, a sixth not far behind and no one for less than 15 percent.. The K upside this lineup provides helps to mitigate some of its potential and the wind blowing out, as does Liriano’s favorable home park. According to FanGraphs park factors by handedness, no ballpark was tougher on right handed power last season than PNC Park. Enough about the contextual factors, though, let’s get to Liriano’s ability. He’s coming off back to back seasons striking out more than a batter an inning while maintaining a GB rate north of 50 percent. That puts him in fine company and leaves his walk rate as the only real concern. This is where the matchup warrants some concern. The Cubs are eighth in the league in pitches per plate appearance and fourth in BB Rate. While the environment and strikeout potential are elite, the matchup has some concerns that push Liriano slightly down our rankings.

Brett Anderson (LAD) – Anderson is overrated in season long leagues because he simply can’t stay healthy. However, that perception of him actually leads to him being underrated in Daily leagues where all we care about is that Anderson is healthy at this current point in time. Anderson doesn’t carry huge K upside but his strikeout rate should climb towards league average and is complemented by above average control and one of the best GB rates in the league (career 55.4 percent). The latter may result in the positive park shift (pitcher friendly San Francisco) not having as much impact on Anderson as it would a heavy fly ball pitcher, but it’s still a contextual factor in his favor. Also in Anderson’s favor is a Giants lineup lacking much pop, with just one threatening bat against southpaws (Buster Posey). There’s pretty much no way I’d be able to tolerate the lack of K upside on a single pitcher site, but if you want a cheap second pitcher that doesn’t carry much risk, Anderson is your guy. He’s a -122 favorite in a game with a total of seven.

Additional starting pitcher notes: I’ve written up my preferred values of the tier one starting pitchers but that group is ranked very closely together and all are cash game viable. I’d probably put a slight emphasis on the top three guys (Lance Lynn is off to a great start and the Nationals offense is mediocre at best right now). Carlos Carrasco (CLE) is better served for tournaments given the tough park and wind blowing out but his skills were so elite last season that putting up the top pitcher score of the day is within his range of reasonable outcomes. Chris Archer (TB) has been absolutely on fire (just man handled a good Blue Jays offense in Toronto) and merits tournament consideration. We’re probably lower on him than the market due to our respect for the Boston offense. I’d be hesitant to use any of the tier three options in cash games. Mike Fiers (MIL) is the best for tournaments due to the boom or bust nature of his game (lots of Ks but also lots of fly balls). Taijuan Walker (SEA) has been getting shelled and data has shown that pitchers coming off disaster starts are more likely than not to follow those starts up with a below average start. As a result, I’d stray away from him in cash games but the matchup/home park/pricing/Walker’s prospect status all combine to make him a strong cheap tournament option, particularly on multi-SP sites.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Cleveland Indians

2) Milwaukee Brewers

3) San Diego Padres

4) Colorado Rockies

Perhaps I’m crazy, but when you factor in pricing, I think the overall value of the Cleveland and Milwaukee stacks are higher than the teams playing in Coors Field. In general, I’d try to find some exposure to all four of these teams in cash games and all can be stacked in tournaments. I won’t spend a lot of time here as these game environments were all covered in the position by position analysis.

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Arizona Diamondbacks

2) New York Yankees

3) Toronto Blue Jays

4) Miami Marlins

5) Chicago Cubs

The Diamondbacks are in a great situation tonight so it’s not exactly contrarian. However, with four other offenses we are targeting more, it’s a strong bet that this group of hitters goes far less owned than it would on most nights in the exact same matchup. Sometimes the best tournament options aren’t complicated; they’re simply the third or fourth best options on the day that go underused due to opportunity cost.

The Yankees don’t have a ton of great individual values on the day (as evidenced by their lack of inclusion in the position by position analysis). As a team they are better suited for production versus RHP than LHP, but they’ll face a really underwhelming pitcher in Kyle Lobstein whose three core skills (Ks, BBs and HRs) all project to be below league average. If going with a Yankees stack, you can grab the switch hitters and RHBs in Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, Carlos Beltran and Chase Headley before complementing them with what is sure to be a low owned LHB (Ellsbury, Gardner, McCann).

The Jays offer a ton of power upside and since people like to play the splits game so much, their slew of RHBs will likely be low owned in tournaments against Bud Norris. However the team total is still high and tonight represents a good opportunity to get exposure to these bats at less than five percent ownership in tournaments.

The Marlins don’t have a very deep offense but they’ve got speed (Gordon, Yelich) and power (Stanton) up top that can be complemented by very affordable bats enabling you to stack them with quality pitching. Opposing pitcher Jerome Williams is not good and playing in Philadelphia represents a nice uptick in value for the Marlins hitters on the whole.

The final contrarian stack best fits the label as it goes against one of our pitching recommendations. The Cubs have a low team total and are in a pitcher’s park. However, they have the patience to drive Liriano mad and the power upside to provide a big payday (particularly the RHBs of Soler and Bryant). They’d be best utilized as part of a mini stack with one of the more traditional stack offerings.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

On the scales used, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher, a 10 strongly favors the hitter, a 5 does not favor either.

STL at WSH 7:05: Dry. Temps in the lower to middle 60s to start falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 5. Wind west-southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

MIA at PHL 7:05: Dry. Temps in the lower 60s to start falling in the middle 50s. Air density is a 5. Wind west-southwest 8-16 mph to start lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

CHC at PIT 7:05: A 20-30% of a shower or two early in the game. There should not be a delay (10-20%) and certainly the game will not be cancelled. Temps in the lower to middle 50s to start falling in the middle to upper 40s. Air density is a 4 falling to a 3. Wind west-southwest 10-20 mph to start lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to left center. The wind is a 7.

BLT at TOR 7:07: Retractable roof. Chilly outdoors, temps in the 40s, so the roof will likely be closed.

NYY at DET 7:08: A 20-30% of showers early in the game. There should not be a delay (10-20%) and certainly the game will not be cancelled. Temps in the lower 50s falling into the middle 40s. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3. Wind west-southwest 10-20 mph to start with a few higher gusts lessening to 8-16 mph which blows from right to left, at times out to left. The wind is a 6.

ATL at NYM 7:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 50s to start falling into the middle 50s. Air density is a 5. Wind west-southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right center. The wind is a 5.

BOS at TB 7:10: Dome.

CLE at CHW 8:10: A 10% chance of a shower. No concerns about a delay. Temps in the lower 50s to start falling into the lower to middle 40s. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3. Wind west 12-25 mph lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 8 becoming a 7.

MIN at KC 8:10: Dry. Temps in the middle to upper 60s falling to the upper 50s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 7-14 mph becoming north 7-14 mph which blows out to right and then in from left. The wind is a 6 becoming a 4.

CIN at MIL 8:10: Retractable roof. Chilly outside so the roof will likely be closed.

SD at COL 8:40: Dry. Temps in the upper 50s falling to the upper 40s. Air density is a 7. Wind north-northeast 8-16 mph which blows in from the right-center. The wind is a 4.

TEX at AZ 9:40: Retractable roof. Temps in the middle to upper 80s to start falling into the middle 70s. Not sure whether the roof will be open or not. If it is open, wind is southwest becoming west 7-14 mph which blows out to right to begin then left to right. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

OAK at LAA 10:05: Dry. Temps around 60. Air density a 5. Wind southwest becoming west 8-16 mph which blows out to center to begin becoming left to right. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

HOU at SEA 10:10: Retractable roof. A 30-40% chance of showers so the roof will likely be closed.

LAD at SF 10:15: Dry. Temps in the upper 50s to start falling into the middle 50s. The air density is a 5. Wind west 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

MLB Daily Analysis

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