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4/22 MLB DFS: The Price is Right on Wednesday

4/22 MLB DFS: The Price is Right on Wednesday
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – April 22nd, 2015

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: No major issues tonight. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Play:

Derek Norris (SD) – Norris once again ranks as our top catcher option but instead of floating around the Top 20-30 in our hitter model, he’s down in the 50-60s. This makes price point important when considering Norris. He’s been heavily discounted the last few days, so ideally those price points would represent slight discounts on his value today. If the price tag has risen considerably, he’s probably closer to fair value. Norris hasn’t hit much against RHP in his career (.277 wOBA, .102 ISO) but he gets the benefit of facing Kyle Kendrick (.336 wOBA, 1.17 HR/9 allowed to RHBs since 2012) who is one of the worst pitchers on the slate in the best hitting environment. I’m very focused on price when evaluating Norris, especially with an emphasis on higher end starting pitching, but he represents our top option at the position.

Value Plays:

Dioner Navarro/Russell Martin (TOR) – The Jays have the second highest team total on the board (4.5) and both catchers get exposure towards the middle of the lineup. Martin is the better hitter against RHP (.332 wOBA, .160 ISO) and priced accordingly around the industry. Navarro is a capable hitter against RHP (.320 wOBA, .127 ISO since 2012) and generally gets the better lineup spot (fifth). At a cheaper price point around the industry, I believe he’s the better value play. Ubaldo Jimenez has also been more vulnerable to LHBs (.337 wOBA, 1.24 HR/9) than RHBs (.318 wOBA, 0.73 HR/9) since 2012.

Additional catcher notes: Catcher is shaping up as a position you want to save money on in order to accommodate some top tier starting pitching. If Nick Hundley (COL) hits fifth again due to the Rockies injuries, he’s a viable punt play thanks to Coors Field. Even though James Shields (.305 wOBA, 0.91 HR/9 to RHBS since 2012) is a good starter and Hundley isn’t much of a hitter (career .311 wOBA vs. RHP), a premier lineup spot in Coors Field can overcome difficult matchups. Kevin Plawecki (NYM) is another viable punt play. Eric Stults has allowed a .338 wOBA and 1.0 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 and he’s largely pitched in great pitching environments. Plawecki hit .325/.374/.521 against LHP in AA and AAA last season and he comes with a near minimum tag around the industry. We’ll cover more catcher thoughts in our alerts as lineups hopefully open up some additional punt plays. Stephen Vogt (OAK) is another option that falls in pricing limbo a bit. The matchup with Weaver’s fly ball tendencies and declining velocity is good for his power, but the park environment is tough on power overall. He’s probably a better tournament play as a result but I wouldn’t argue him in cash game lineups. Evan Gattis (HOU) is a more extreme version that grades out well in our model given his history of power against LHP (.241 ISO, .355 wOBA). I’d prefer him in tournaments but don’t mind the discounted price tag in cash games, especially on sites that don’t deduct points for outs or strikeouts.

First Base

Top Plays:

Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) – Encarnacion was our top value play at first base yesterday and he’ll man the section again on Wednesday. The price point for Encarnacion is too heavily discounted for his skill set, especially when hitting in the Rogers Centre. Ubaldo Jimenez has been exceptional early on, including a great start against the Blue Jays; but, the velocity and swinging strike rate remain down. He’s also generated a career worst chase rate (pitches swung outside the strike zone), so I’m not sure there is much to worry about with Jimenez. Ubaldo has been adequate against RHP (.318 wOBA, 0.73 HR/9, 48.5 ground ball rate) since 2012 but Encarnacion has been great (.388 wOBA, .270 ISO, 0.89 BB/K Ratio). Most other elite hitters in favorable scoring environments are priced 20-30 percent higher than Encarnacion, which makes him not only a top play at the first base position, but a solid value play.

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz actually ranks right in line with Encarnacion in our model. Both are Top 10 options at the position. Ortiz has shown monstrous splits against RHP (.411 wOBA, .280 ISO since 2012) and the park shift is actually neutral for Ortiz as Fenway plays tough on LHBs. There is always a concern that Ortiz (39 years old) will show skill deterioration but we haven’t seen it of late. This year he’s posted a 1.13 BB/K Ratio, .206 ISO, and .389 wOBA against RHP. Nate Karns has struggled with LHBs (.350 wOBA, 1.80 HR/9) in his limited time in the big leagues and the game has a surprisingly solid total (eight) despite a poor hitting environment. Ortiz and Encarnacion are basically interchangeable in our model. If choosing between the two, I’d opt for Encarnacion’s stronger game environment, but I think both are top overall plays

Chris Davis (BAL) – Davis ranks just a bit behind Ortiz and Encarnacion but has a similarly discounted price point on many sites. Aaron Sanchez has really struggled with lefties early in his career (.365 wOBA, 1.88 HR/9, 12.5 percent BB Rate) and Davis owns a .380 wOBA and .280 ISO against RHP since 2012. The park environment is great for power and the individual matchup is strong as well. He’s a fine alternative to Encarnacion and Ortiz.

Value Play:

Yonder Alonso (SD) – The lineup spot will dictate the strength of this recommendation. Alonso is a capable hitter against RHP (.329 wOBA, .132 ISO) but his profile is boosted considerably by Coors Field and a matchup with Kyle Kendrick (.328 wOBA, 0.98 HR/9 allowed to LHBs). If Alonso garners a top five spot in the lineup, I’d consider him a fine value play. He ranks in the Top 10 hitters in our model as the Padres team total, the bump from Coors Field, and the matchup with Kendrick are really boosting his profile.

Additional first base notes: Freddie Freeman (ATL) looks underpriced on DraftKings for a favorable matchup against Dillon Gee (.343 wOBA, 1.31 HR/9 allowed to). The Braves have a low total and the ballpark environment isn’t great, but Freeman is cheap for a Top 30 hitter in our model. The MIN-KC game has a lot of potential value options at first base. Both Mike Pelfrey (.324 wOBA, 0.96 HR/9) and Jeremy Guthrie (.379 wOBA, 1.73 HR/9) struggle against LHBs and guys like Eric Hosmer (KC), Joe Mauer (MIN), Kennys Vargas (MIN), and Kendrys Morales (KC) all have the platoon advantage. Hosmer is caught in pricing limbo a bit as he’s too close to the top plays section to offer much value on most sites. The other options are all viable sources of salary relief but the park environment (specifically home run upside) is a concern and the Royals bullpen really limits the upside of picking on Guthrie. They’re all acceptable options as a last piece to a roster, but not someone I’m targeting to build around. Paul Goldschmidt (ARZ), Miguel Cabrera (DET), and Joey Votto (CIN) are all solid tournament plays. They’re all expensive and nothing individually stands out about their matchups so they should come with very low ownership numbers.

Second Base

Top Plays:

Robinson Cano (SEA) – Cano is our top ranked second baseman and a Top 15 hitter in our model. Roberto Hernandez has been tormented by LHBs in his major league career (.363 wOBA, 1.47 HR/9) and Cano continues to crush RHP even in a tough environment in Seattle. He posted a .382 wOBA and .166 ISO against RHP last year and he’s at .359/.405/.538 (.403 wOBA) early on this season. Second base is a really difficult position to attack on Wednesday as there are a definitive lack of “value plays” at the position. As a result, the approach is either pay up for Cano (or Altuve) or try to find a viable punt play.

Next in line:

Jose Altuve (HOU) – Altuve has posted a .388 wOBA and .144 ISO against LHP since 2012. He adds some value with his speed that narrows the gap with Cano from a Fantasy standpoint and he has a good matchup against J.A. Happ (.329 wOBA, 1.10 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012). The gap in our model is more substantial (Altuve ranks 36th, Cano 13th) than the gap in pricing around the industry which is why we prefer Cano, but Altuve is a viable alternative at a thin position.

Additional second base notes: The rest of the options at second base will likely be determined in our lineup alerts. If Rougned Odor (TEX) has a good lineup spot, he’d make a fine play (55th ranked hitter in our model) in a favorable hitting environment with the platoon edge against Archie Bradley. We expect Jedd Gyorko (SD) will hit seventh which doesn’t provide much “value” at his current price point even in a favorable matchup with Kyle Kendrick. He’s an acceptable option, but we’d prefer Yangervis Solarte (SD) as an option if he’s hitting second. Solarte has posted impressive skills against RHP (1.22 BB/K Ratio, solid .320 wOBA despite just a .264 BABIP) against RHP. He’d become an elite value play if he’s hitting second against Kendrick. Jimmy Paredes (BAL) is another part time player that has gotten some good lineup spots of late. If that’s the case, he’d represent a fine value (exceptional value on DraftKings as a pure punt but 3B/OF eligibility). Alberto Callaspo (ATL) or Ryan Goins (TOR) are other potential punt plays, but we’ll be on the lookout for more in the lineup alerts.

Shortstop

Top Play:

Troy Tulowtizki (COL) – Tulowitzki is a Top 20 overall hitter in our model and the clear cut top shortstop option. Tulowitzki faces Shields who has held RHBs to just a .305 wOBA and 0.91 HR/9 but Tulowitzki owns a .400 wOBA and .238 ISO in his career at Coors Field against RHP. Against a good pitcher, I’m not inclined to pay full price for Tulowitzki but on sites like DraftKings that his price is down in the “mortal” category, he’s a viable cash game option.

Next in line:

Jose Reyes (TOR) – On sites where the gap between Tulowitzki and Reyes is wide, I think Reyes is a more viable cash game alternative. He hits atop the Jays lineup that has a 4.5 team total (just like the Rockies) and Ubaldo Jimenez has struggled with LHBs (.337 wOBA, 1.24 HR/9) since 2012. Reyes owns a .336 wOBA and just a .130 ISO against RHP since 2012 but the value in his lineup spot in front of Donaldson, Bautista, and Encarnacion really drives his DFS value.  He ranks as a Top 50 hitter in our model.

Additional shortstop notes: Much like the 2B position, the SS position will earn more consideration when lineups are out. The two players we’re primarily focused on as sources of salary relief in good lineups spots are: Everth Cabrera (BAL) and Chris Owings (ARZ). Neither are highly skilled hitters but both play in favorable hitting environments against below average starting pitchers. Cabrera gets a RHP with control problems against LHBs (12.5 percent BB Rate). Right handers are always preferable for Cabrera because most of his value comes via his speed. The projection systems like Owings. ZiPS has him slated for a .270/.302/.399 line the rest of the way which is a bump from his career .258/.301/.384 line. He’s not a great hitter but Gallardo doesn’t have wide splits (.308 wOBA, 1.10 HR/9 allowed to RHBs) and if he gets that second spot in the lineup ahead of Paul Goldschmidt it’s a nice boost to his value. Danny Santana (MIN) has hit well against RHP in his brief career (.310/.340/.450) but it’s been driven by a .382 BABIP. ZiPS projections aren’t as optimistic on Santana (.266/.298/.368) maintaining that production. He has a great matchup with Guthrie but the Royals bullpen lurks to limit some of his upside. He’s an acceptable alternative if Cabrera and Owings don’t earn good lineup spots. Starlin Castro (CHC) is another viable alternative on sites that his price point is similar to Santana. He’s getting a premier lineup spot after all the Cubs on base machines which is generating a lot of strong RBI opportunities.

Third Base

Top Plays:

Kyle Seager (SEA) – Seager owns a .357 wOBA and .187 ISO against RHP since 2012. We’ve highlighted Roberto Hernandez’s struggles against LHBs, specifically with power. It’s not a great hitting environment but Seager ranks as the top third base option in our model and a Top 30 hitter overall.

Kris Bryant (CHC) – Bryant ranks about 30 spots behind Seager in our model, but I consider the two very closely tied together. Bryant has been incredible since his call up hitting .444/.583/.611 while facing Shields, Ross, Cashner, Liriano, and AJ Burnett in his first five starts. Those are five above average SPs and four of which who dominate RHBs. Vance Worley does not fit either of those categories. He’s allowed a .339 wOBA to RHBs since 2012 and ZiPS projects him for a 4.06 ERA the rest of the way. It’s not an elite matchup for Bryant, but I view his power upside superior to all the other third basemen in the player pool.

Value Play:

Mike Moustakas (KC) – Moustakas is off to an exceptional start this year. He’s hitting .327/.413/.545 but it’s come with a .218 ISO, 0.80 BB/K Ratio, a career best chase rate and a career best contact rate. In others words, Moustakas’ hot start isn’t due to good luck on balls in play or an abnormally high HR/FB Rate, he’s just mashing. He gets a favorable matchup against Mike Pelfrey who has allowed a .324 wOBA and 0.96 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012. Moustakas’ price point on most sites is still hovering around the average hitter and he’s performed like an elite hitter early in the season. He also gets a plus matchup this evening.

Additional third base notes: Yangervis Solarte (SD) would represent an elite value play if he gets the opportunity to hit second in the Padres lineup. His playing time has been really volatile. He started the season hitting second and playing almost every day against RHP but has played just once in the last four games against RHP. Yasmany Tomas (ARZ) is minimum priced on FanDuel and in a great park environment against an average pitcher. If he’s in the lineup again, he’s a fine source of salary relief.

Outfield

Top Plays:

Jose Bautista (TOR)/Giancarlo Stanton (MIA)/Justin Upton (SD)/Matt Kemp (SD) – Mike Trout ranks among this list as well, but he’s priced at another level on most sites. If spending big on an outfield spot, these are the four options I’m primarily targeting. Bautista and Stanton both rank in our Top Five overall hitters while Upton and Kemp are inside the Top 15. Stanton is the only one with the platoon advantage but he’s facing a good starter in Cole Hamels. The other three are all in premier park environments against below average starters.

Value Plays:

Carlos Gonzalez (COL) – Gonzalez is the one piece of all the Coors Field outfielders that feels too cheap around the industry. He’s off to a terrible start (.189/.214/.321) and it’s coming with an incredible 53.3 ground ball rate. We want our power hitters to lift the ball and Gonzalez isn’t doing that just yet. The matchup with Shields isn’t great. He’s held opposing LHBs to a .299 wOBA and 0.89 HR/9 since 2012. However, the Rockies have a 4.5 team total and Gonzalez has historically crushed RHP at Coors Field (.333/.398/.634, good for a .434 wOBA). If you’re looking for cost effective exposure to Coors Field, Gonzalez ranks as the best option in our model as a Top 15 hitter overall.

Alejandro de Aza/Travis Snider (BAL) – Vegas projects Baltimore and Toronto evenly in a game with a total of nine, so we’re pegging the Orioles offense as a 4.5 total. Snider’s lineup spot floats quite a bit as he’s hit anywhere 3-6 in the last few weeks, but he continues to hit (.357 wOBA vs. RHP) and Aaron Sanchez has struggled early in his career against LHBs. Alejandro de Aza isn’t the same class of hitter but his lineup spot is more stable as a leadoff hitter and for his career he’s posted a respectable .329 wOBA and .141 ISO against RHP. Both represent fine ways to get exposure at a modest price point to one of the highest team totals of the evening.

Seth Smith (SEA) – It seems like every time the Mariners face a weak RHP, our content focuses on Cano, Seager, and Smith. Of late, Smith has been hitting sixth against RHP which is a nuisance but his skill set (career .362 wOBA, .204 ISO against RHP) keeps pushing him into our Top 50 overall hitters. I’d prefer to deploy him when hitting second, but at minimum price points he’s a fine play even hitting sixth.

Alex Gordon (KC) – Gordon ranks as a Top 20 hitter in our model and he’s not priced that way around the industry. The big risk with Gordon is a poor lineup spot (sixth) hurts some of his value, but we’re hopeful that is mitigated by the Royals overall offensive profile against Mike Pelfrey. The Royals have a team total of four, pushing 4.5, and Gordon has posted a solid .345 wOBA and .158 ISO against RHP since 2012. His price point is down a bit (granted due to lineup spot) but we think this is a good matchup for the Royals to extend the expected plate appearances down the lineup.

Mark Trumbo (ARZ) – Trumbo ranks within our Top 10 in home run score. He’s in a great park for RH power and facing Yovani Gallardo who has surrendered 1.10 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012. Trumbo is a pretty ordinary hitter against RHP (.314 wOBA) but his .190 ISO plays really well in DFS. He represents a cost effective boom-or-bust power option in a game with an elevated total (nine). As a result, he ranks inside our Top 35 hitters overall.

Michael Cuddyer (NYM) – Cuddyer owns a career .381 wOBA and .215 ISO against LHP. He’ll face Eric Stults who has allowed a .338 wOBA and 1.0 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 despite pitching in great environments. Cuddyer is hitting in a watered down lineup but he should hit third or fourth and his individual matchup is a good one for success. He ranks within our Top 40 hitters overall.

Additional outfield notes: Will Venable (SD) would surge towards the top of our value play rankings if he gets a start against Kyle Kendrick. He actually ranks within our Top 10 hitters without accounting for lineups. George Springer (HOU) has shown immense power (.204 ISO) against LHP in his career and gets a fly ball oriented lefty, albeit in a poor park for power. He ranks within our Top 25 hitters (similar to Alex Gordon) but is a bit higher risk-reward. The Diamondbacks lineups have been all over the place, but Ender Inciarte (ARZ) could represent an attractive value if hitting first or second in the lineup. Eric Young Jr. (ATL) is an acceptable punt against Dillon Gee who has really struggled keeping LHBs off base in his career. On DraftKings, there are some pricing opportunities available because they seem to be pricing based off of skill of opposing SP. As a result, Yasiel Puig (51st in our model) is really cheap. He’s an acceptable play at $3,600.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier 1

1) Clayton Kershaw (LAD)

2) David Price (DET)

Tier 2

3) Madison Bumgarner (SF)

4) Cole Hamels (PHI)

5) Johnny Cueto (CIN)

Tier 3

6) Jimmy Nelson (MIL)

7) Joe Kelly (BOS)

8) John Lackey (STL)

Tier 4

9) Sonny Gray (OAK)

10) J.A. Happ (SEA)

11) Jason Hammel (CHC)

12) Dillon Gee (NYM)

13) Doug Fister (WAS)

Top Play:

Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – Kershaw’s “slow” start to the season includes a 32.1 K Rate (31.9 last year), 48.9 ground ball rate (51.8 last year) and 7.4 BB Rate (4.1 last year) that has led to a 2.28 xFIP (2.08 last season). The command has been off a little early which is why Kershaw has allowed a 25.5 percent line drive rate that has led to a .422 BABIP. Kershaw gets the benefit of a positive park shift on Wednesday as San Francisco deflates overall scoring by 26 percent compared to Kershaw’s home park (three percent) and he faces a Giants lineup that projects as below average against LHP. Kershaw remains very expensive around the industry, but is the top play if you can squeeze him into your lineups.

Next in line:

David Price (DET) – Price is a viable alternative to Kershaw. He’s nowhere near as dominant as Kershaw (23.8 K Rate, 42.1 GB Rate, 3.24 xFIP) but gets a surprisingly similar matchup. We project the current Giants offense as five percent below the league average against LHP in neutral parks and we project the Yankees offense the same. The Yankees offense actually projects for a higher strikeout rate against LHP which makes them a more favorable matchup than the Giants. The gap in skill set between Kershaw and Price leaves Kershaw as the top dog, and our model reflects this. However, Price is a fine alternative on sites the price gap is meaningful.

Value Plays:

Joe Kelly (BOS) – Joe Kelly used to be a pitch-to-contact starter that didn’t generate much interest in DFS. For his career, his strikeout rate is just 15.9 percent and his swinging strike rate is just 7.1 percent as he’s relied on ground balls (51.9 percent) mostly for his success. This year he’s incorporated a four seam fastball a bit more and the results are encouraging for Daily Fantasy players. His swinging strike rate has jumped to 10 percent and his strikeout rate is now 23.4 percent. The matchup with the Rays is a good one. The Rays lack elite LH hitting and they project as a bottom tier offense against RHP with significant strikeout issues. Early in the season they’ve been a bit better than we expected (15th in wRC+ against RHP) but they have been striking out at a decent clip (21.3 percent).  This is a good matchup for Kelly at a reduced price point. On multiple starting pitcher sites, I believe he’s a solid secondary starter.

Jimmy Nelson (MIL) – After the Reds-Brewers played a 16-10 game that required five bullpen innings from the Brewers and four bullpen innings from the Reds, I expect both starters to get an extended leash on Wednesday in order to help preserve the bullpens. Cueto is a fine play in his own right, and priced appropriately, but Nelson is the stronger value. The Reds project as a neutral offense against RHP but they’re strikeout prone (project over 20 percent, currently at 19.8 percent) and Nelson’s new curve ball is generating a ton of ground balls (69.2 percent) while also missing bats (28.6 percent K Rate). Strikeouts and ground balls are a great combination for pitchers and it’s helped Nelson generate a 2.53 xFIP early in the season. The park environment isn’t great and the matchup is more “fair” than “plus”, but the price point on Nelson doesn’t represent his skill set.

Additional starting pitcher notes: The second tier of starters is an acceptable range to play in as well for starting pitching. I currently have Madison Bumgarner (SF) and Cole Hamels (PHI) ahead of Johnny Cueto (CIN) but if the Brewers run out a similar lineup to last night, Cueto could jump ahead. My lean is the value plays with Nelson and Kelly coupled with an elite starter is a stronger way to build than two pitchers in the second tier, but I think both are acceptable options. J.A. Happ (SEA) is a risky secondary option but the Astros strikeout rate makes him an interesting tournament play.  In general, I’d try to keep my starter decisions in the first three tiers.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) San Diego Padres

2) Toronto Blue Jays

3) Baltimore Orioles

4) Colorado Rockies

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

5) Seattle Mariners

6) Arizona Diamondbacks

7) Kansas City Royals

8) Chicago Cubs

9) Houston Astros

For cash games, I’m mainly focused on getting exposure to the first four offenses. They encompass two of the best hitting environments in all of baseball and two of the worst starting pitchers going on Wednesday.

Seattle is a dangerous lineup against below average RHP and they get a chance at a home prone RHP in Roberto Hernandez (.363 wOBA, 1.47 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012). I like the Mariners as mini-stacks in tournaments with Smith, Cano, and Seager and you can include Cruz as well in that group (though he’s overpriced).

Arizona has a lot of RH power that plays well in their home park. Mark Trumbo and Paul Goldschmidt are the ones that can help send stacks along and they have cheaper options surrounding them in the lineup like Inciarte, Peralta, and Owings. The Rangers also have a RH only pen which helps limit pinch hit situations from regulars in the lineup, which is an important factor in stacking.

The Royals can be a frustrating team to stack because they don’t hit many home runs, but they get a nice matchup against Mike Pelfrey who is one of the weakest overall starters going. Ned Yost also doesn’t tend to take advantage of platoon pinch hitting opportunities which keeps their guys in play into the bullpen.

The Cubs and Astros are two teams loaded with power playing in big ballparks. They’ll likely come under-owned in tournaments because of the scoring environments, but the type of power the two teams have will play in all parks. They’re also facing two teams with worn out bullpens. I think they’re great tournament options.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In these scales, a 10 strongly favors the hitter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher while a 5 means that it should not influence the weather.

STL at WSH 7:00: A stray shower or two around. 10% of a delay at any time. There may some social media talk about how bad it is there during the day (thunderstorms with gusty winds and hail) but they will be gone by game time. Temps in the lower 60s to start falling into the middle 50s. Air density is a 5. Wind south-southeast at 10-20 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7.

MIA at PHL 7:05: Like WSH, a line of gusty thunderstorms will move through in the afternoon but by game time they should be gone. A 10% chance of a stray shower, <10% chance of a delay. Temps in the upper 50s to start falling into the lower 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4. Wind west 10-20 mph which blows out to right or from left to right at times. The wind is a 6.

CHC at PIT 7:05: Showers, some with brief, heavy downpours. There is <10% chance of a cancellation, a 10-20% chance of a brief delay at any time. Temps in the middle 40s to start falling into the upper 30s. Air density is a 3 becoming a 2. Wind west 10-20 mph to begin lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

BLT at TOR 7:07: Retractable roof. Very chilly temps outside so more likely than not the roof will be closed.

NYY at DET 7:08: Random shower or flurry. Am not expecting any delays (<10%). Temps in the lower 40s falling into the upper 30s. Air density is a 2. Wind west at 10-20 mph lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

ATL at NYM 7:10: 30-40% chance of showers that may have some brief, heavy downpours. I would not worry about a cancellation (<10%) but there is a chance (20%) of a short delay. Temps in the lower 50s to start falling into the upper 40s. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3. Wind west-southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

BOS at TB 7:10: Dome

MIN at KC 8:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 50s to start falling into the mid 40s. Air density is a 4 falling to a 3. Wind north-northeast 5-10 mph which blows in from left center. The wind is a 4.

CIN at MIL 8:10: Retractable roof. Very chilly outside so the roof will be closed.

SD at COL 8:40: A 10-20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm. The game will not be cancelled (<10% chance of that) but there could be a delay (20%). Temps in the mid 60s to start falling into the middle 50s. Air density is a 7. Wind east-southeast8-16 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

TEX at AZ 9:40: Retractable roof. Temps in the mid 80s dropping into the upper 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind southwest 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

OAK at LAA 10:05:

HOU at SEA 10:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the mid 50s dropping to near 50 so I am not sure if the roof will be open or not. If it is open, the wind will be northwest at 5-10 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

LAD at SF 10:15: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling into the mid 50s. Air density is a 5. Wind west 12-25 mph to start lessening to 10-20 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7.

4.

MLB Daily Analysis

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