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4/22 MLB DFS: The Price is Right on Wednesday

4/22 MLB DFS: The Price is Right on Wednesday
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – April 22nd, 2015

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: No major issues tonight. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Derek Norris (SD) – Norris once again ranks as our top catcher option but instead of floating around the Top 20-30 in our hitter model, he’s down in the 50-60s. This makes price point important when considering Norris. He’s been heavily discounted the last few days, so ideally those price points would represent slight discounts on his value today. If the price tag has risen considerably, he’s probably closer to fair value. Norris hasn’t hit much against RHP in his career (.277 wOBA, .102 ISO) but he gets the benefit of facing Kyle Kendrick (.336 wOBA, 1.17 HR/9 allowed to RHBs since 2012) who is one of the worst pitchers on the slate in the best hitting environment. I’m very focused on price when evaluating Norris, especially with an emphasis on higher end starting pitching, but he represents our top option at the position.

Value Plays:

Dioner Navarro/Russell Martin (TOR) – The Jays have the second highest team total on the board (4.5) and both catchers get exposure towards the middle of the lineup. Martin is the better hitter against RHP (.332 wOBA, .160 ISO) and priced accordingly around the industry. Navarro is a capable hitter against RHP (.320 wOBA, .127 ISO since 2012) and generally gets the better lineup spot (fifth). At a cheaper price point around the industry, I believe he’s the better value play. Ubaldo Jimenez has also been more vulnerable to LHBs (.337 wOBA, 1.24 HR/9) than RHBs (.318 wOBA, 0.73 HR/9) since 2012.

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