4/9 MLB DFS: Strasburg is your man
Welcome to Thursday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
PIT-CIN: I’ve included players from his game in the content, but there’s a chance we see a cancellation here as scattered thunderstorms are projected all afternoon.
MIN-DET: Currently avoiding this game. The rain looks terrible as thunerstorms are projected all afternoon. If this one clears up, we’ll hit on plays from this game in alerts.
NYM-WAS: Chance of rain currently around 20 percent so not yet an issue for pitchers, but we’ll definitely be monitoring.
BOS-PHI: Terrible conditions for hitters again with wind blowing in and low 40s temperatures. Small chance of rain but doesn’t look like anything to worry about at the moment.
TOR-NYY: Similar to PHI forecast but the rain looks like it might hit the area a little earlier, making a mid-game delay possible.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Yan Gomes (CLE) – Gomes, and the Cleveland offense in general, were a disappointment last night (I swear Scott Feldman is such a tease). However, it’s tough to not go back to the well with them tonight given the nice hitting environment, which once again gets added value as a result of the handful of outdoor venues with less than desirable hitting conditions around the league today. Gomes has power upside, posting ISOs of .188 and .194 in his two professional seasons and is in his prime hitting years (27 years old). His batted ball profile was really encouraging last season as he mad hard contact (24 percent LD rate) and was able to elevate the ball (.93 GB/FB rate). His weakness is plate discipline as his .20 EYE from a year ago is rather awful. Behind the Tigers (severe rain risk), Cleveland lines up to be the highest expected scoring team on the day, facing rookie RHP Asher Wojciechowski, who is making his MLB debut. The right handed Wojciechowski struggled at AAA last season, posting a 4.74 ERA and 4.85 FIP along with 1.18 HR/9 allowed. ZiPS is projecting a 5.33 ERA and 1.27 HR/9 in his rookie campaign.
Jason Castro (HOU) – Castro is a pretty solid hitter against RHP, posting a .339 wOBA and .184 ISO against it the past three seasons. He gets a favorable hitting environment in his home park and has some upside against Trevor Bauer. As much as I like Trevor Bauer (see pitching write ups), there’s no doubt he’s volatile. When things go bad, it’s usually due to wildness, HRs and an inability to handle LHBs. In 90.2 career innings against LHBs, Bauer has yielded a huge 25 percent LD rate, 1.19 HR/9 and a 13.0 BB percentage. Castro may be a necessary risk in early contests as the cap relief he offers will make it a bit easier to roster Strasburg and/or Harvey.