MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – May 12th, 2015
Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: No major concerns. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Value Plays: There are a handful of catchers with similar value I’m considering in cash games. No one differentiates themselves quite enough to get a full write up, but here’s how I’d rank the guys I’m considering if salary didn’t factor in (all similar on a per dollar basis):
2) Yasmani Grandal (LAD) – The issue with Grandal is we’re never quite sure what his lineup spot will be. However, he’s a better hitter from the left side of the plate (130 wRC+, .182 ISO) and Dan Haren, who has always been a bit homer prone, is in serious decline (career high FB rate, career low K rate, career low fastball velocity).
3a) Wilson Ramos (WAS) – Ramos should be in an okay lineup spot (sixth on the road gives him a strong probability of four plate appearances) and gets a nice uptick in park factor. Opposing pitcher Rubby de la Rosa has improved this season, but we can’t completely cast aside the .330 wOBA and 1.42 HR/9 he’s allowed to RHBs over his career.
3b) Wilin Rosario (COL) – With the DH in play and a lefty on the mound, I’d be surprised if we don’t see Rosario draw a start. He gets a pretty nasty park shift but his career numbers against LHP are so elite (161 wRC+, .318 ISO) that he’s a value play target despite the low run scoring environment. Rosario is my personal preference after weighing upside and price, but lineup spot for all these catchers will go a long way towards helping us discern value.
5) Derek Norris (SD) – Norris could move up this list as he likely hits second against a southpaw and may end up as the only catcher of our group of targets that his in a coveted top five lineup spot (besides Posey of course). Despite always having a pitcher’s park as his home venue, Norris has managed to compile an elite .385 wOBA and .197 ISO against southpaws. The Padres do however have a low team total tonight.
6) AJ Pierzynski (ATL) – On a looser pricing site like FanDuel, Pierzynski is off my radar. On DraftKings though he’s cheaper than any of the aforementioned options, which keeps him a cash gam consideration if he lands a top five lineup spot. Pierzynski will hold the platoon edge on Anthony DeSclafani (pitching well but not someone we’d actively avoid) in Great American Ballpark.