6/14 MLB DFS Picks: Yankee Doodle Dandy
DailyRoto’s MLB Solo Shot Host, Logan Hitchcock, gets you headed in the right direction with his 6/14 MLB DFS Picks. Check out where his mind is at today when it comes to roster construction at FantasyDraft. where they put players first – Daily fantasy baseball on a level playing field. Check them out tonight. Now, on to the the picks for tonight’s action.
Where to focus?
Coors Field is back on the slate and therefore draws most of our offensive attention tonight as the Yankees and Rockies will square off. The Yankees will have the upper hand on the rubber and at the plate tonight as Jorge de la Rosa and Nathan Eovaldi square off against each other tonight. Eovaldi is in the midst of a career season, posting a 3.49 xFIP while increasing his strikeout rate from 18 to 22%. Coors spares none though, as the Rockies still hold an implied run total of well over five runs. Eovaldi’s struggles have come against left-handers this season, as he’s allowed a .384 wOBA to them thus far and a .343 wOBA in his career. The Rockies will utilize three left-handed bats in Charlie Blackmon ($9,600), Carlos Gonzalez ($10,800) and Gerrardo Parra ($7,600), all of who should be on your radar tonight.
The other side of the game is a bit more interesting offensively, as the Yankees hold an implied run total of almost six runs. De la Rosa has dealt with some injuries this year but his time on the bump has been “rocky.” He’s allowed over two home runs per nine innings while posting an ERA close to nine. Furthermore, de la Rosa has always struggled with his command, evident by more than four walks per nine that compound a hard hit rate of nearly 37%. The Yankees aren’t flooded with right-handed bats, but Starlin Castro ($7,600) and Alex Rodriguez ($8,800) are both great options tonight. Despite de la Rosa’s status as a left-hander though, I’m not straying away from the left-handed Yankee bats at the top of the order.
It’s been a few days since the Red Sox offense blew up, but they’ll have another good chance tonight against Chris Tillman. Much like Eovaldi, Tillman has come into his own this season, but he’s still walking more than three hitters per nine innings and allowing more than 30% hard contact. The Red Sox have been incredible as an offense this season and have posted the best wRC+, wOBA, and the third best ISO in the entire league against right-handers. They should never go overlooked, especially David Oritz ($10,400) and his ageless wonder against right-handers, but with a game in Coors Field you might be able to get low ownership on the Sox tonight. If you’re looking for cheap exposure to the Red Sox, both Hanley Ramirez ($6,400) and Dustin Pedroia ($7,600) can do the trick.
The Red Sox aren’t the only intimidating offense facing a below average right-hander tonight. The St. Louis Cardinals fall just behind the Red Sox in wOBA, but are tied in wRC+ and have an even higher ISO against right-handed pitching this season. Their matchup with Doug Fister tonight not only warrants offensive exposure, but the Cardinals offense also provides a ton of value. Matt Carpenter ($10,800) is the highest priced player on the slate, but aside from him all of the Cardinals are priced at $8,000 and below. Stephen Piscotty ($8,000), Matt Holliday ($7,200) and Matt Adams ($6,800) will all draw great lineup spots and hold excellent price tags tonight.
On the bump…
Madison Bumgarner ($26,700) holds the highest price tag on the slate, but one that you should find yourself paying. Bum draws a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers who are experiencing a huge negative park shift away from Miller Park in Milwaukee. While the Brewers are much more of a threat against left-handed pitching, Bumgarner and his career high strikeout rate (28%) are too much to pass up. The Brewers hold an implied run total of just 2.4 runs and the Giants are a huge favorite at home tonight.
John Lackey is the next highest priced pitcher, but he’s not the next best option on the slate. That distinguished honor goes to Jacob deGrom who draws a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates at home in Citi Field. deGrom has taken a back seat to Noah Syndergaard this season and while the strikeout rate has taken a dip, he’s still pitched to a 3.54 xFIP. His SwStr% is still above eleven percent so despite the drop in strikeout rate, both ZiPS and Steamer are projecting a positive regression the rest of the way. The Pirates aren’t the easiest matchup in the league, but over the last two weeks they’ve posted the fifth lowest wRC+ in the league. Furthermore, deGrom’s price tag makes him an even more valuable option.
It’s odd to see David Price ($18,900) so lowly priced, but his matchup with the Baltimore Orioles isn’t an easy one. The O’s have managed to put together one of the league’s most powerful offenses, yet one that still strikes out over 21% of the time versus left-handed pitching. Price’s strikeout rate has come back to earth a bit, but he’s still striking out well over one hitter per inning while outperforming his ERA with a 3.41 xFIP. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last six starts and I don’t expect a new trend to start tonight.
If you’re looking for another solid left-hander tonight, look no further than Drew Pomeranz ($20,000). Pomeranz has made a resurgence this season posting a strikeout rate of 28.9% and an xFIP of 3.55. His matchup with the Miami Marlins isn’t particularly easy, but getting the comfort of Petco Park will aid his game tonight. The Marlins have an implied run total of just 3.5 runs and the team has struck out nearly 23% of the time against southpaws this season. With a struggling Giancarlo Stanton and a bunch of other less than stellar players, Pomeranz should have no issues.