6/30 MLB DFS Picks: Thursday Birdsday
DailyRoto’s MLB Solo Shot Host, Logan Hitchcock, gets you headed in the right direction with his 6/30 MLB DFS Picks. Check out where his mind is at today when it comes to roster construction at FantasyDraft. where they put players first – Daily fantasy baseball on a level playing field. Check them out tonight. Now, on to the the picks for tonight’s action.
Where to focus?
Despite a short slate, there are a couple of enticing offensive options on the slate tonight. First and foremorst, the St. Louis Cardinals draw a matchup with tall right-hander Chris Young. Young hasn’t been able to skate by this year like in years past as he’s been stung by more than 3.50 HR/9 due to his extreme flyball nature. Plus, the Cardinals prowess against righties is well documented. They rank first in the league in terms of wRC+ and second in ISO against righties. Matt Carpenter ($10,500) will lead things off, but Brandon Moss ($9,300), Matt Holliday ($8,800) and anyone in between will be well worth it.
The next best option on the slate offensively is the Washington Nationals. The Nats draw a home matchup with Brandon Finnegan and the Cincinnati Reds in what should be a lopsided affair. It’s actually the Nats, not the Cardinals who own the largest implied run total tonight, coming in at just under 5.5 runs. Finnegan has struggled mightily with his command this season and despite possessing the platoon advantage over Bryce Harper ($8,400) and Daniel Murphy ($7,600) he’s in for a rough outing tonight. As a team the Nationals own the league’s fifth best wRC+ against southpaws. Not only are Harper and Murphy in play, but all the surrounding righties as well.
Last but not least, the Miami Marlins should be on your radar against the Atlanta Braves and Mike Foltynewicz. Foltynewicz has improved in nearly every category this season, but his flyball ways have gotten him into trouble, allowing 1.62 HR/9. The Marlins aren’t void of power as Giancarlo Stanton and Marcell Ozuna lead the way with Christian Yelich providing steady relief.
On the bump…
Madison Bumgarner leads the charge as his San Francisco Giants take on the Oakland A’s in a battle of the bay. Bum has been nothing short of spectacular this season, producing an ERA below two while striking out well over ten hitters per nine innings. His matchup isn’t particularly conducive for strikeouts, but pitching in a spacious park should only help his run prevention skills tonight.
After Bumgarner, the options spin in a couple different directions. Carlos Carrasco is just another cog in a brilliant Indians’ rotation, but his matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays could be easier. Nevertheless, the strikeout potential is still there as the Jays are 12th in the league in terms of strikeout percentage against right-handers at 21.8%. Bumgarner is the safer cash game option, but getting tournament exposure to Carrasco is worthwhile.
Carrasco and Bum represent the top two, but Gio Gonzalez will probably be the guy you’re pairing with one of them. Gio has worked wonders this year by reducing his walk rate and increasing his strikeout rate while managing to be a bit less “tilt-inducing” then in the past. The Reds as a team possess the 13th highest strikeout percentage in the league against lefties at just over 22%, giving Gio a nice strikeout cushion to work with. Furthermore, considering he and the Nats are giant favorites in this game, there is little reason to avoid him.
I should at least mention Steven Matz against the Cubs tonight. While it is never fun to use a pitcher against the Cubs, they are still a bit banged up without Dexter Fowler at the top of their order. Matz has pitched to a 3.20 xFIP while striking out just under a hitter per inning this year. The Cubs are road favorites here, but this might not be an easy one for them.