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6/6 MLB DFS: More like “Gone-carlo” Stanton

6/6 MLB DFS: More like “Gone-carlo” Stanton
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown June 6th, 2015

Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: Only major concern today is in Denver. Because of the nature of thunderstorms (they are not everywhere in the region and they move and thus it is not a steady rain) I think they get this one in but there is a good shot at delay(s). Only worry is the threat for severe weather (ie. lots of hail, tornado, winds that cause damage) that could cancel the game. Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Content Note: Please note today’s content covers the afternoon slate. We’ll have an evening guide delivered via our lineup alerts that specifically addresses the evening slate with strategy and recommendations.


Top Play:

Buster Posey (SFG) – Posey and the Giants offense is playing away from AT&T Park and any time they play in favorable hitting environments, the difference is pretty stark. While AT&T Park deflates RH power by approximately 12 percent below the league average, Citizens Bank Park inflates RH power by approximately six percent above the league average. Posey is a better hitter against LHP but he still hits pretty well against RHP (.357 wOBA and .154 ISO against RHP since 2012). Opposing pitcher Severino Gonzalez doesn’t miss many bats and has a ZiPS projected 5.03 ERA for the rest of this season. This is a great matchup and hitting environment for Posey. If you’re paying up at the catcher position today, Posey is the option you’re looking for (Top 25 hitter in our model).

Value Plays:

Russell Martin (TOR) – If Martin is able to secure a good lineup spot in the Blue Jays lineup, he’s a great cash game option. Martin is a good hitter against LHP (.346 wOBA, .170 ISO and 0.83 EYE against southpaws since 2012) and his matchup against Brett Oberholtzer (only a .315 wOBA allowed to RHBs but he’s yielding a 45 percent FB rate and isn’t missing many bats) is a matchup we’re attacking in our content today. Rogers Centre is an elite hitting environment (inflates RH power by approximately 10 percent above the league average) and getting exposure to an offense with an implied run total approaching five runs at a scarce position is ideal for cash games.

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