Daily Fantasy Rundown – April 1 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Friday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.
*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.
**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.
Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings
John Wall (WAS) and Stephen Curry (GS) are extremely comparable options, even after accounting for their nearly identical price tags on DraftKings. Both possess positives and negatives tonight. Wall once again finds himself in a must win situation that could lead to 40 minutes in an absolutely elite matchup against an up tempo Phoenix team that is wretched defensively. The Suns are 28th in defensive efficiency against point guards and one of the worst at defending pick-and-roll ball handler play types, of which Wall hasn’t been efficient but sees a lot of volume (40.2 percent frequency). The downside to taking Wall over Curry is the lower starting baseline.
The negatives for Curry, relative to Wall, are the potential for reduced minutes and a very tough matchup from an efficiency standpoint (Boston is the best team at defending point guards). However, a game between the second and third ranked teams in pace could get nutty from a scoring/amount of possessions perspective, and Curry possesses a much higher baseline than Wall (averaging six more DraftKings points per game). Both players are viable in all formats tonight. We have a slight lean towards Curry’s stronger starting baseline on sites like DraftKings where they’re priced similarly but on FanDuel we’re more likely to grab the discount on Wall.