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4/12 NBA DFS: Blake Show

4/12 NBA DFS: Blake Show
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – April 12 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Tuesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” andTheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Slate Note: These last two days of the season are especially difficult from a content perspective as recommendations will change swiftly with news on injuries. We’ve done our best to project out rest situations but it’s likely we’ll have more unexpected situations pop up. Alerts are a must during this portion of the season and we’ll lean on them heavily. In general, you’ll find too many value plays and not enough star players to consider when building. As a result you may have to either A) leave a bit more salary on the table than accustomed to or B) embrace mid-priced players not “delivering value” but helping to fill out the salary cap. These are likely lower scoring nights with a small slate of games, many strong defensive teams in action, and playoff teams spreading out minutes. These aren’t great nights to play as the edge is relatively small and overlap is often heightened when news breaks, but if you choose to play accept a likely lower scoring environment with fewer star players playing heavy minutes.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is DraftKings

Top Play:

Chris Paul (LAC) – Paul projects as the top point guard in this short slate of games, but we’re not interested in him for cash game purposes. This will likely be Paul’s last regular season game (Clippers play tomorrow night vs. Phoenix), and a combination of Blake Griffin being back coupled with reduced minutes (averaging 28.5 minutes in his last four games) puts him off the value radar even at reduced prices. Paul’s expected value is just under 40 Fantasy points, but his value thresholds around the industry are in the low 40s. Throw in a difficult matchup vs. Memphis (ranked inside the top 10 in defensive efficiency vs. PGs even without Mike Conley around), and Paul just rates as a secondary tournament option.

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