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April 26 MLB DFS: Nunez on Sale
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Welcome to April 26 MLB DFS action here at DailyRoto. Below you’ll find our Daily Fantasy Baseball Premium podcast for April 26 MLB DFS along with our LIVE Premium Chat and cliff notes. Make sure you’re using our customizable projections tool, you’re actively participating in the live chat, and you’re reviewing the cliff notes to supplement your research and roster construction process. Very best of luck in tonight’s action!

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April 26 MLB DFS Position Timestamps

00:59 Starting Pitcher
07:57 Catcher
10:01 First Base
12:46 Second Base
14:15 Third Base
16:37 Shortstop
18:43 Outfield
23:26 Stacks

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  • In cash games, we recommend focusing on value plays to build your rosters (far right hand column of Projections page linked above). Value plays are those we feel have the highest probability of out-earning their current price tag. By packing value plays into your roster, you’re creating a team with a higher floor.
  • In tournaments, we recommend building a core of the best value plays and then complementing them with players who have a high ceiling. This combination is essentially turning up the variance on a strong foundation and we believe often is the best recipe for tournament success.

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Range of Outcome Projections

April 26 MLB DFS CLIFF NOTES

Starting Pitcher

Chris Sale (BOS) tops the starting pitcher projections in Toronto against a decent but not great Jays’ offense without Donaldson. Sale has carried over the insane strikeout rates from last year but hasn’t been allowed to work quite as deep into games which is limited his upside slightly. On a four game slate, he’s the clear cut cash game target on the slate. Oddly, despite the size of the slate there are alternatives to fade the high price tag in tournaments.

Chris Archer (TB) and Dylan Bundy (BAL) are the next tier of starters as they square off against one another in Baltimore. Camden Yards is a good hitters’ park and we are starting to see warmer weather (mid-60s) but both offenses are extremely watered down. Archer has the more prolific strikeout history and thus projects a bit stronger for us but Vegas has Bundy enlisted as the favorite and a more aggressive stance on Bundy’s baselines would lead to more of a coin flip decision. We view the two as slightly closer than the projections suggest making either a fine target in cash games alongside Sale. These are also the two starters that have the most reasonable upside to target if fading Sale in GPPs. On FanDuel, Archer is meaningfully cheaper than Bundy which makes him a stronger target.  

There is a decent drop-off in projection after that tier with Jake Junis (KC) and Kyle Hendricks (CHC) forming the next tier. Junis is a bit overpriced but has a strong matchup against the White Sox right-hand heavy and watered down offense without Avisail Garcia and potentially Jose Abreu. Hendricks gets a Brewers’ offense that lost perhaps their biggest threat from the left side in Eric Thames. Hendricks is cheap and gets the benefit of mid-50s temperatures in Chicago. If you needed salary relief away from the Bundy-Archer tier, Hendricks would be the most viable pairing with Sale.

Catcher

Willson Contreras (CHC) carries the top projection at the catcher position in this short slate. He’s playable in all formats despite the appropriate price tag. Chase Anderson is a reverse splits pitcher. He’s allowed a .221 ISO to RHBs compared to a .150 to LHBs since 2016. This is an excellent matchup for Contreras.

Salvador Perez (KC) is the alternative in the mid-tier. He takes on the struggling Lucas Giolito. The latter has made four starts this season and has -10.1% K-BB%. He’s been awful and some projection systems think he’ll finish the season with an ERA over five runs. Four starts is a small sample, but right now that looks kind as his ERA predictors are all over six runs.

The catcher position is once again priced efficiently. If you’d rather take on some salary relief instead, Christian Vazquez (BOS) is viable. He’s just $2,200 and hitting in Rogers Centre. Vazquez is buried in the Red Sox lineup but the price tag in a condensed slate keeps him in play.

Welington Castillo (CWS) and Russell Martin (TOR) can be included in the tournament conversation on such a small slate.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) represents the top projected scorer at first base. He has a strong DK price tag ($4,400) but we have teammate Kris Bryant and some of the Red Sox OFs projecting ahead in raw projection. We think Rizzo is a strong tournament target.

In cash games, we’re looking to save a buck at the position. Pedro Alvarez (BAL), Lucas Duda (KC) and Brad Miller (TB) (on DK) are our favorite salary relief targets at the position. Alvarez is in the best hitting environment of the bunch (Camden Yards). Opposing pitcher Chris Archer has been a bit more prone to LH power, as he’s allowed a .178 ISO to LHBs since 2016. Duda has the best matchup of the group (Giolito and a bad bullpen behind him) and he’s just $2,400 on FD. Miller sneaks into the conversation on DK where he’s just $2,900.

Chris Davis (BAL), Jose Abreu (CHW) (left game early with flu like symptoms yesterday) and Hanley Ramirez (BOS) are viable tournament targets.

Second Base

Javier Baez (CHC) and Yoan Moncada (CHW) are the top projected scorers at the keystone position. These two are no longer affordable given their incredible performances of late. On DK, you’ll still be able to reach one of these two in all formats.

On FD, we’d rather drop down to Whit Merrifield (KC) and save some salary in cash games. Merrifield gives you some event upside potential. He projects to hit double digit home runs once again and steal 20+ bases.

On DK, the salary relief option is Eduardo Nunez (BOS). Nunez doesn’t get elite hitting spots with the Red Sox, but he’s in Rogers Centre and he’s been hitting sixth of late, which isn’t awful compared to the rest of the options behind him in projection.

Third Base

If Kris Bryant (CHC) returns to the Cubs lineup, he’d represent the top projected scorer at third base. It’s a strong matchup for Bryant and the Cubs RHBs as Chase Anderson is particularly vulnerable against RHBs. The challenge with Bryant is price tag. He’s deservingly priced up around the industry, but if you can afford him he’s in play across all formats.

The main alternative that allows you to save some salary at the position is Rafael Devers (BOS). Devers isn’t exactly cheap as he has mid-tier prices on both sites, but he’s certainly priced a notch below Bryant. Devers has generated a .199 ISO vs. RHP since he was called up last season. Most projection systems have the 21 year old projecting to hit low to mid 20s home runs.

If you need to save even more salary, Pedro Alvarez (BAL) is 1B/3B eligible on DK and Yolmer Sanchez (CHW) is viable on FD where he’s $400 cheaper than Devers. Still, Sanchez projects well below Devers so we prefer the latter in cash games.

Mike Moustakas (KC) is a strong tournament target against the struggling Lucas Giolito. If he was a little bit cheaper he’d crack the cash game conversation in this condensed slate but right now he’s just slightly cheaper than Bryant on both sites.

Shortstop

Eduardo Nunez (BOS) represents the top projected scorer at the shortstop position. Nunez is on the road in Rogers centre and projects to steal 20+ bases once again this season. He’s also affordable on both sites.

Manny Machado (BAL) is right behind Nunez in projection and he’s very clearly the better hitter. The challenge with Machado is a matchup against Chris Archer that’s holding back his projection a bit. Still, the latter has been scorching hot and has generated a 34.2% HHR over the L15. He’s pricey though so we prefer him in tournaments.

There’s not much else to like at the shortstop position. Addison Russell (CHC) is a fine alternative to Nunez on both sites but he’s projected to hit seventh at home. We do like the matchup against Chase Anderson and he’s in the same price range as Nunez. Outside of the trio above you’re mostly using shortstops with stacks like Orlando Arcia (MIL) for the Brewers.

Outfield

Mookie Betts (BOS) is the top projected scorer in the outfield followed by teammate J.D. Martinez (BOS). These two will have a tasty road matchup in Rogers Centre against Marco Estrada. The latter has allowed a .204 ISO to RHBs since 2016. Martinez has been a bigger part of our optimal lineups on both sites because he’s cheaper than Betts around the industry. Andrew Benintendi (BOS) is the next highest projected scorer at the position. Benintendi is the cheapest of the bunch but we prefer him on DK where it’s possible to play him alongside one of the options above.

The only positive values at the position are the Red Sox OF. We’d like to save some salary to fill out the rest of the outfield. Jackie Bradley Jr. (BOS) (on FD), Nick Delmonico (CHW), Albert Almora Jr. (CHC), Jon Jay (KC) and Steve Pearce (TOR) (on DK) represent our favorite cheap targets. Pearce checks in with the most difficult matchup of this group (Chris Sale) but he’s just $3,200 on DK and leads off vs. LHP.

Stacks

Tier One

1) Boston Red Sox

2) Chicago Cubs

There is a really wide gap between the first and second tier of offenses on this slate. These are the two offenses to attack in GPPs with double stacks on teams that fade Chris Sale. Even on teams with Sale there is enough room to get exposure to the relatively cheap Red Sox who are in the best hitting environment on the slate.  

Tier Two

3) Kansas City Royals

4) Milwaukee Brewers

5) Chicago White Sox
The Royals and Brewers are the best among the contrarian stacks. The Brewers are the next most talented Fantasy offense on the slate given their combination of speed and power upside in key lineup spots. The Royals simply face the starter who has struggled most at the big league level on this slate in Lucas Giolito. The White Sox are the other contrarian offense on this slate as they’re a road team against a bad pen and while Junis has performed well early in the season, he’s no more than an average starter.  

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