April 3 MLB DFS: A Couple Duda’s On A Podcast
The DailyRoto team is proud to announce the launch of our 2016 MLB DFS Premium Package. Team members Mike Leone and Drew Dinkmeyer announce the product launch and changes you can expect this season!
TODAY’S SHOW OUTLINE
1:30 SP Breakdown – STRIKEOUTS!
2:25 Chris Archer #1 SP
4:00 Liriano/Wainwright, Pittsburgh Weather
7:50 Why not Matt Harvey?
12:53 First Base, Duda Love
17:12 Second Base
20:40 Third Base
31:03 Cash Game Lineup Construction Preferences
33:07 Stacking/GPP Thoughts
40:50 Coverboy Jinx? Promo Code?
Starting Pitcher Rankings
1) Chris Archer (TB)
2) Francisco Liriano (PIT)
3) Adam Wainwright (STL)
4) Matt Harvey (NYM)
5) Marcus Stroman (TOR)
April MLB DFS Pro Tip
Chris Archer (TB) is our top ranked starting pitcher, albeit a little bit of a high risk/high reward starting pitcher. On the negative side, Archer faces the most powerful offense on the slate in the Blue Jays. However, he’s arguably the most talented pitcher in the slate (better xFIP and K rate than Matt Harvey last season), and we think Archer holding the platoon edge on the Jays best hitters and Tropicana Field can mitigate the Jays power.
If not using Archer, Francisco Liriano (PIT) is a bit more volatile due to control, but has K upside and is a superb pitching environment (PNC Park, cold weather, thick air), as evidenced by a game total of around 6. Adam Wainwright (STL) lags behind Archer/Liriano due to less strikeout upside, but he has the lowest probability of a disaster start. We like mixing Liriano with Archer on one SP sites and pairing one of the pitchers in this game with Wainwright on two SP sites.
Matt Harvey (NYM) is an elite talent but comparatively he’s pitching in the best offensive environment against an extremely contact oriented Royals team that will play four LHBs.
Our top ranked hitter is Lucas Duda (NYM), who has the platoon edge on by far the worst pitcher in the slate (Edinson Volquez). Duda’s combination of hard hit rate and fly ball rate give him superb power upside. In general, the Mets offense clearly ranks as the best (given matchup, park) on a very short slate. We suggest mini-stacking (3-4 hitters) in cash games, with Neil Walker (NYM) sticking out as the clear cut best second base option for cash games.
Complement the Mets hitters with Rays hitters in the right spots, particularly Corey Dickerson (TB). Despite losing a lot of value coming to Tampa Bay from Colorado, Dickerson still projects to be a plus hitter against RHP and has a friendly price point for a clean up hitter with the platoon edge, who additionally avoids any of our top two tier pitchers.
Fill out the catcher and shortstop positions last with whatever cap room you have left. Don’t let these positions dictate what you do elsewhere. For the most part, the options at this position either lack talent or a good matchup, leaving us leaning on lineup spot as the best tiebreaker in cash games.
Top Cash Game Stacks
1) New York Mets (chalk stack and you want to mini-stack in cash games at least)
2) Tampa Bay Rays
Lower Owned GPP Stacks
1) Kansas City Royals (favorite tournament stack given very low expected ownership)
2) Toronto Blue Jays (potential for a short Archer outing, Toronto’s power, and Tampa Bay’s very bad bullpen give this team tournament winning upside despite the subpar matchup and park)