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4/6 NBA DFS: Hard(en) to find a better play

4/6 NBA DFS: Hard(en) to find a better play
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – April 6 NBA DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “dinkpiece”, “leonem” and “TheNumbersGuy”. Each day throughout the NBA season our daily NBA scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games.  Our goal is to bring analysis that will help you build rosters that put you in position to win consistently over the long term.

*Any time a player’s salary is reference as a discount or premium, it is relative to the average cost of a roster spot.

**Usage/Assist/Rebounding Rates courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com unless otherwise noted.

Slate Note: Although this is a Wednesday slate it has the feel of more of a Saturday slate. We had a full 11 game slate last night and now a lot of teams on this slate are playing on a back-to-back and Portland is playing their fourth game in five nights. Late in the season, we already have lots of rest issues to deal with, but we fear they’ll be more exaggerated tonight. As a result, we’ll have more notes in the content today than straight recommendations as we’re littered with if/then scenarios as we’re held hostage by the NBA news cycle. It’s a night you will need to be around for alerts and it’s a night where all of the uncertainty is in the late games. Be careful on early lock sites and we’d advise against cash games on early lock sites this evening.

Point Guard – Our featured site for the point guard position is FanDuel

Top Play:

Russell Westbrook (OKC) – Westbrook is a great starting point for the discussion around rest tonight. The Thunder are on a back-to-back and they actually have some incentive to lose this evening against the Trail Blazers. Injuries have left the Grizzlies a shell of their former selves and most Western Conference playoff teams would probably rather play a Grizzlies team without Gasol or Conley than the Blazers. The Blazers are just one game back in the loss column of the Grizzlies and the Thunder are the team that would benefit most from Portland hopping over Memphis (as OKC is locked into the third seed). This seems like a perfect opportunity for the Thunder to rest Westbrook and Durant while helping their own playoff odds. If Westbrook does play, he’s our second highest projected player overall (trailing only Harden) and he’d benefit from a matchup against a Trail Blazers defense that is designed to funnel usage to the opposing point guard. With our perception of the rest risk, it’s impossible to lock Westbrook on an early slate in cash games and we think the edge in tournaments is in fading him. On late swap sites, he’s easier to plan around.

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