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August 1 MLB DFS: An A-Bomb from A-Rod is coming

August 1 MLB DFS: An A-Bomb from A-Rod is coming
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MLB DFS Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 1 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: Only game to watch for a delay is in MIN.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Play:

Buster Posey (SFG) (Posey has been one of the best hitters against LHP in baseball, accumulating a .417 wOBA and .238 ISO in the last three seasons; he’s our top catcher play and a top 30 hitter despite a tough matchup against Cole Hamels but he’s expensive so we’d rather keep our investment limited to tournaments)

The Play:

Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – Co-writer Drew Dinkmeyer said it best yesterday: “Schwarber profiles very similarly to Kris Bryant when you assess their career minor league performance (Schwarber – .333/.429/.613 in 621 PA, Bryant – .327/.426/.667 in 773 PA) but Schwarber comes with catcher eligibility.” The catcher position lacks strong cash game values so Schwarber seems like a natural fit in all formats today. He’s off to a remarkable start at the major league level (.399 wOBA, .200 ISO in 74 PAs) and he draws a matchup against the below average Matt Garza (he’s getting hit harder this season, especially via the long ball and he’s no longer generating swings and misses at a league average rate) at Miller Park. The Cubs have an implied run total that’s approaching 4.5 runs, Schwarber hits second and he’s on the road so we’re expecting at least four PAs (all great for his DFS value). Schwarber feels like a core cash game play this evening.

Additional catcher notes: Evan Gattis (HOU) has catcher eligibility on FanDuel and he’s a top 30 hitter in our model (facing the homer prone Jeremy Hellickson at home). Brian McCann (NYY) will have a L/L matchup so he doesn’t seem like a good play on the surface. However, he will face John Danks, who’s not good against LHBs (.321 wOBA, 1.11 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012) and McCann can hit for power against lefties too (.178 ISO). He’s away from Yankee Stadium but U.S. Cellular Field is a favorable hitting venue as well. Other values that have some appeal for cash games are: Matt Wieters (BAL) ($2,900 on DraftKings and he will face Anibal Sanchez, who’s a good pitcher but he’s allowing a ton of home runs this season and Camden Yards won’t help his cause), Yadier Molina (STL) and Stephen Vogt (OAK) (both are minimum priced on FanDuel and they’ll have the platoon edge in their respective matchups).

First Base

Top Play:

Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) (Goldschmidt is averaging the most Fantasy points of any player in baseball this season; he’s making more contact, drawing more walks and his slugging percentage is above .600; he doesn’t have a favorable matchup against Keuchel but he’s still our second ranked hitter making him a viable tournament option)

Value Plays:

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) – Rizzo is the third ranked hitter in our model and he has the second highest home run score in our model (teammate Kris Bryant has the highest home run score). Rizzo is making more contact this season (13 percent K rate this season, compared to 18 percent K rate for his career) and he’s generating a bit more loft (43 percent FB rate this season, compared to 39 percent for his career) yet his results remain unchanged from last season (.395 wOBA, .236 ISO this season, .397 wOBA, .240 ISO in 2014). His results will likely improve slightly moving forward since he’s generating more contact and loft and he draws an awesome matchup tonight (Matt Garza is allowing a 1.38 HR/9, his SwStr rate has dipped to 7.5 percent and all of his pitches have a negative value this season). We don’t like throwing the word “core play” around in MLB DFS but that’s exactly what Rizzo is on FanDuel when you account for his price ($3,100- priced as an average hitter).

Evan Gattis (HOU) – Rizzo is priced more appropriately on DraftKings so if you need a cheaper option, Gattis represents a strong value at a more compelling price point ($4,000). While Gattis has been hitting more ground balls this season (47 percent) and not hitting the ball as hard (30 percent hard hit rate), he continues to hit for power (.229 ISO against RHP this season). We think the increase in home park factor and his improved his contact rate (21 percent K rate this season, compared to 24 percent last season) more than cancel out the reduction in power indicators. His matchup against Jeremy Hellickson should help his power stroke (Hellickson has surrendered a .341 wOBA and 1.28 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 despite pitching at Tropicana Field for most of that time). Gattis is our 25th ranked hitter in our model, which rates higher than other first basemen with better skills like Prince Fielder and Freddie Freeman.

Additional first base notes: Carlos Santana (CLE) is a next in line value play to the written options above. He ranks nicely in our model (15th ranked hitter) and that’s mostly because of his matchup against Aaron Brooks (5.41 ZiPS projected ERA for the rest of the season). Santana is a skilled hitter but he’s not as skilled as Rizzo (closer to Gattis in skill but Gattis is in the better environment facing a pitcher that should help his power). He’s a serviceable cash game target but more of a secondary one (terrible hitting venue in Oakland). Mark Teixeira (NYY) is our top tournament play on this slate. He’s been performing very well lately (four home runs in his last two games) and even though we thought that he wouldn’t return to previous levels of production (due to injuries), his health has returned and he’s hitting better than ever (.403 wOBA and his .316 ISO is a career high). He draws a matchup against John Danks (terrible pitcher) in one of the premier hitting venues (U.S. Cellular Field, a better hitting environment during the summer due to warmer temperatures). He’s priced fully on most sites but we still think there’s some cash game value here (top 15 hitter in our model). I consider Jose Abreu (CWS) a next in line option to Teixeira as a tournament value. He will have a matchup against Bryan Mitchell (projects poorly at the Major League in the same hitting environment as Teixeira (U.S. Cellular Field). Chris Davis (BAL) has been performing well as of late and Anibal Sanchez has been prone to the long ball this season (1.45 HR/9 and he’s allowing a bit more loft than usual). Camden Yards is a nice hitting environment, which should help Davis but Sanchez strikes out batters at an above average rate and Davis is prone to Ks (31 percent K rate). Davis is a better target for tournaments this evening. Pedro Alvarez (PIT) will benefit from the favorable park shift (from PNC park to Great American Ball Park) and Raisel Iglesias has struggled with LHBs. I’d take a shot with Alvarez in tournaments.

Second Base

Top Play:

Jose Altuve (HOU)/Brian Dozier (MIN) (Dozier is an elite hitter against LHP and Altuve is always a threat to steal multiple bases; Altuve ranks a bit better than Dozier in our model but both are ranked inside our top 20 hitters and despite being fully priced, they deserve your attention in tournaments)

Value Plays:

Scooter Gennett (MIL) – Gennett has been one of our main targets at second base when he obtains a good lineup spot (he’s now leading off with the departure of Gerardo Parra). Gennett has good skills against RHP (.351 wOBA, .160 ISO against RHP in the last few seasons) and despite the less than stellar matchup (Kyle Hendricks has allowed a .301 wOBA to 365 LHBs), we love his lineup spot and the hitting environment (Miller Park). That’s enough to push him as the top value play at the position around the industry.

Rougned Odor (TEX) – Odor is only a value target on DraftKings, where he’s priced affordably ($3,600). On that specific site, I don’t mind targeting Odor over Gennett in cash games. Odor is an okay hitter vs. RHP (.328 wOBA) but he does possess power (.183 ISO) and he’s in a good environment for hitting (Globe Life Park in Arlington). His matchup isn’t great but Chris Heston is used to pitching in a bad hitter’s park (AT&T Park) and he has surrendered a .325 wOBA to 244 LHBs. The Rangers have an implied total of 4.5 runs and Odor is their leadoff hitter. We like Odor a bit more than Gennett on DraftKings but he’s priced way out of line on FanDuel ($3,900), where Gennett is close to the minimum ($2,600).

Additional second base notes: Jimmy Paredes (BAL) is a next in line option to the values above. Anibal Sanchez is a good pitcher but he’s allowing more fly balls and harder contact (1.38 HR/9 this season). Paredes usually obtains a strong lineup spot (second) but most of his indicators call for some regression (especially his elevated HR/FB). Camden Yards should continue to help but how much is the question moving forward. We’re still willing to invest at his current price levels around the industry. Jason Kipnis (CLE) doesn’t rate as highly as our top plays but he does have a great matchup against Aaron Brooks. He’s in a bad environment for hitters but he’s worth some consideration in tournaments due to his plus skills against RHP and matchup.

Shortstop

The Play:

Jhonny Peralta (STL) – Peralta won’t hit in a favorable environment but his skills against LHP (.359 wOBA, .209 ISO) are awesome relative to his price around the industry ($2,600 on FanDuel and $3,600 on DraftKings). He will have a favorable matchup against Jorge De La Rosa (.333 wOBA, 1.01 HR/9 allowed to RHBs since 2012). The shortstop position is barren tonight (Troy Tulowiztki and Hanley Ramirez aren’t available), Peralta is affordable and he will have the platoon edge to go along with a nice lineup spot (cleanup). We feel like that’s enough to consider him the top play at shortstop and the best value play at the position for cash games.

Additional shortstop notes: Elvis Andrus (TEX) is the other shortstop option that draws some interest for cash games. He doesn’t have a good matchup against Chris Heston, who’s good vs. RHBs but he does have a favorable lineup spot (second) and the Rangers have an implied run total of 4.5 runs. I prefer Jhonny Peralta at similar price points but Andrus represents a fine secondary play. Carlos Correa (HOU) has been an an awesome hitter in his first major league stint (.379 wOBA, .246 ISO) and he has a matchup that could enhance his power (Jeremy Hellickson is homer prone). Correa has a high price point around the industry but he’s still worth the price in tournaments.

Third Base

Top Play:

Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – Rodriguez was difficult to project coming into this season (hip surgeries and didn’t play baseball for about a year and a half) but that’s not the case any longer. Rodriguez has accumulated a .397 wOBA and .262 ISO, which are in line with his career averages (.400 wOBA, .259 ISO for his career). He’s been particularly valuable against LHP (.456 wOBA, .365 ISO in 96 PAs against LHP this season) and U.S. Cellular Field plus John Danks (.357 wOBA, 1.49 HR/9 allowed to RHBs since 2012) bodes well for his DFS value. The Yankees have an implied run total of 4.6 runs and Rodriguez is easy to fit on DraftKings (Aaron Nola and Joe Ross are pretty cheap relative to their skills). I’ve manually elevated Rodriguez to a top 10 position in our model and the top third base play on this slate.

Value Play:

Kris Bryant (CHC) – Bryant is just too cheap on FanDuel ($3,200) relative to the skills that he’s already flashed in his first Major League season. Bryant has accrued a .346 wOBA and .193 ISO and we project more power moving forward due to the loft he’s generating (49 percent FB rate). Matt Garza is so underwhelming now (allowing a ton of home runs, he’s no longer generating swings and misses at a league average rate and all of his pitches have negative values according to fangraphs) that we’re willing to pick on him with same-handed batters. Alex Rodriguez makes a bit more sense on sites where they’re priced closely (platoon edge against John Danks at U.S. Cellular Field) but Bryant is the strongest cash play at third base on FanDuel.

Additional third base notes: Manny Machado (BAL) is a good tournament target on FanDuel at $3,700. We’ve already mentioned that Anibal Sanchez is struggling with home runs but he’s actually struggling more with same-handed hitters (.360 wOBA, 1.90 HR/9 surrendered to 264 RHBs this season). He’s not close to Alex Rodriguez or Kris Bryant in our model but he’s still tournament worthy. Other tournament worthy plays include: Trevor Plouffe (MIN) (awesome hitter against LHP), Maikel Franco (PHI) (opposing pitcher Matt Wisler doesn’t miss any bats), Adrian Beltre (TEX) (has been battling a thumb injury for most of the season but he’s priced like an average hitter on most sites and that’s a fine price point to attack) and Nick Castellanos (DET) (generating more loft and Camden Yards is a better hitting venue than Comerica Park).

Outfield

Top Play:

Andrew McCutchen (PIT) (ranked inside our top five hitters, McCutchen has a nice park shift in his favor and Raisel Iglesias hasn’t been very good from a run prevention standpoint; I’d rather target him in tournaments where he’s fully priced but his $4,800 price tag on DraftKings makes him a cash game worthy option)

Value Play:

Carlos Gomez (HOU) – Gomez has a depressed price tag around the industry and we’re looking to take advantage of this today. While he’s a better overall hitter vs. LHP, Gomez has accumulated a respectable .348 wOBA and .187 ISO against RHP since 2012. He will face Jeremy Hellickson (has reverse splits and he’s allowing a 1.28 HR/9 to RHBs in the last few seasons) at Minute Maid Park (elevates RH power by approximately five percent above the league average). Gomez is our second ranked hitter on this slate and despite not stealing bases at the same rate he once did, he could still return anywhere from 25-30 stolen bases in a full season worth of ABs (this plays a factor in our model).

Gregory Polanco (PIT) – Polanco hasn’t been a good hitter (.296 wOBA, .115 ISO this season) but he has speed upside (30-35 SB upside over a full season worth of ABs) and he will be leading off for an offense with an implied run total 4.4 runs, holding the platoon edge against Raisel Iglesias (struggles vs. LHBs) at Great American Ball Park. With those set of contextual factors, Polanco is way underpriced on most sites, particularly on FanDuel ($2,500).

Dexter Fowler (CHC) – We’ve mentioned at length why we love the Cubs today against Matt Garza, who’s clearly not the same pitcher he once was. Fowler is the Cubs leadoff hitter and he has plus skills against RHP (.338 wOBA, .154 ISO against RHP since 2012). Fowler also has about 25 SB upside over a full season, which isn’t really factored into his price on most sites (priced as an average hitter). We feel like his $3,200 FanDuel price is pretty competitive relative to the other outfielders in his range. Fowler ranks inside our top 30 hitters in our model this evening.

Chris Young (NYY) – Young will have a top five lineup spot at U.S. Cellular Field vs. John Danks. At $3,100 on DraftKings, Young is a very strong value on that site. He’s been a fine hitter against LHP (.348 wOBA against LHP since 2012) but his main tool has been power (.217 ISO). John Danks gives up tons of power (1.49 HR/9 allowed to RHBs in the last three seasons) so the matchup and environment should help his DFS value. The Yankees have an implied run total of 4.6 runs so we’re trying to find logical spots to fit them (Young is certainly one of those right-handed bats we’re looking for).

Additional outfield notes: The rest of the outfielders are site-dependent values so it’s better to tackle those in the additional notes section in order to avoid confusion. Adam Jones (BAL) has a compelling price tag on FanDuel ($2,900). We understand that the matchup isn’t very intriguing at the surface level but Anibal Sanchez has struggled quite a bit with RHBs this season. We’re not shying away from the matchup but we’re looking for price discounts. Jones fits what we’re looking for and he’s been a better hitter against same-handed pitching anyways. I’d also include new teammate Gerardo Parra in that discussion of value plays but he’s only a cash game target for us over on DraftKings ($3,900). Melky Cabrera (CWS) has a matchup we’ve barely spoken about (Bryan Mitchell has a 5.82 ZiPS projected ERA this season). It’s disappointing that we couldn’t get these sort of performances that Cabrera has accumulated in his last ten games over the course of the season (when he was way cheaper) but he’s now performing at a higher level. On a site where he’s priced like an average outfielder (DraftKings), Cabrera makes sense for cash games (White Sox have an implied run total of 4.6 runs). Teammates Adam Eaton and Avisail Garcia are also in play but the better value of the two is Garcia on FanDuel ($2,300). Justin Upton (SD) doesn’t have the platoon edge but he’s too cheap on FanDuel ($2,800). At that price point, Upton belongs in the cash game conversation. His matchup against Jose Urena (4.68 ZiPS projected ERA) is a good one. Outfielders that we’re targeting for tournaments include: Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY) (John Danks is also bad against LHBs and Ellsbury is leading off for an offense with an implied run total of 4.6 runs), Michael Brantley (CLE) (will hold the platoon edge against Aaron Brooks, who doesn’t project to be good at the major league level), and Randal Grichuk (STL) (has been a good hitter against LHP and he hits for power; Jorge De La Rosa doesn’t miss many bats).

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Jacob deGrom (NYM)

2) Dallas Keuchel (HOU)

Tier Two

3) Gerrit Cole (PIT)

4) Lance Lynn (STL)

Tier Three

5) Aaron Nola (PHI)

6) Joe Ross (WSH)

7) Cole Hamels (TEX)

Tier Four

8) Anibal Sanchez (DET)

9) Chris Heston (SFG)

10) Kevin Gausman (BAL)

Top Plays:

Jacob deGrom (NYM) – deGrom’s strikeout abilities (12 percent SwStr rate, 67 percent F-Strike rate, 36 percent chase rate have led to a 26 percent K rate) and run prevention (2.05 ERA/2.58 FIP/ 2.98 xFIP) are the type of skills that we’re looking for in an elite starting pitcher. However, his matchup is a bit difficult to project moving forward. The Nationals are about an average offense against RHP (ranked 16th in wRC+) but they’ve been missing key cogs in the middle of the lineup for most of the season. Jayson Werth (.358 wOBA), Anthony Rendon (.336 wOBA) and Ryan Zimmerman (.336 wOBA) are above average hitters against RHP and they’re replacing Danny Espinosa (.278 wOBA), Matt den Dekker (.296 wOBA) and Clint Robinson (.313 wOBA). These are well below average hitters against RHP so with Werth, Rendon and Zummerman back, the Nationals will likely be a better offense moving forward. While it’s not the easiest matchup for deGrom, keep in mind that he destroys RHBs (has held them to a .238 wOBA in the last few seasons with a K-BB% of 22 percent) and the Nationals are mostly a right-handed heavy lineup (should have eight RHBs). deGrom is a better overall option on sites that give a bigger reward for Ks (DraftKings).

Dallas Keuchel (HOU) – Keuchel isn’t as skilled as deGrom when it comes to strikeouts (23 percent K rate, fueled by a 10 percent SwStr rate, 61 percent F-Strike rate and 33 percent chase rate) but his run prevention is elite (2.32 ERA/2.70 FIP/2.59 xFIP), he doesn’t allow hard contact (negative three percent hard minus soft hit rate) and he keeps the ball on the ground (64 percent GB rate). These are all good skills that he will carry into a neutral matchup (Diamondbacks are ranked 15th in wRC+ and are striking out 21 percent of the time against RHP) and Vegas has pegged him as the highest favorite on this slate (-200, he’s at home). Keuchel seems like the most logical play on a site like FanDuel, where he’s discounted ($10,500) relative to other top pitchers (deGrom is $11,300 and Cole is $10,800) but I’m not shying away from him on DraftKings either (that site rewards 2.25 Fantasy points for IP and Keuchel is averaging seven IP and he barely allows any base runners, which creates a high floor). One final note on Keuchel: he may have more K upside than perceived as his K percentages have grown each month this season: 16.3/21.6/24.9/28.3.

Value Plays:

Aaron Nola (PHI) – We don’t know a whole lot about Nola (two starts at the Major League level) but what we do know looks promising. Here’s what he did in six starts at the minor league level: 23 percent K rate, 6 percent BB rate 3.58 ERA/3.18 FIP. Now let’s look at what he’s done in his two starts at the highest level of baseball: 23 percent K rate, six percent BB rate, 3.29 ERA/3.22 xFIP). Looks familiar? Nola has been able to translate the exact same skills to the major league level (in a small sample) and some of the K peripherals look very promising (12 percent SwStr rate, 64 percent F-Strike rate and 32 percent chase rate; all three are above league average rates, particularly his ability to generate swings and misses). His matchup today shouldn’t hurt him (Braves are ranked 27th in wRC+ against RHP and even though they have Freddie Freeman back in their lineup, they project poorly moving forward) and he’s just too cheap ($5,900 on DraftKings) relative to the skills we’ve seen. He’s a nice complement to the top tier of starting pitchers on multiple starting pitcher sites.

Joe Ross (WSH)- Ross is another intriguing value play that I’m considering for cash games. Ross has been remarkable in his five starts at the major league level (24 percent K-BB%, 3.03 ERA/1.86 FIP/2.54 xFIP) and his K peripherals look promising (14 percent SwStr rate, 62 percent F-Strike rate, 39 percent chase rate). He draws a matchup against the Mets (ranked 25th in wRC+ against RHP) but they should be somewhat better moving forward. Travis d’Arnaud (.321 wOBA) is back from the DL and Yoenis Cespedes (.343 wOBA) was acquired yesterday. For the skills he’s shown, Ross is still affordable ($7,500 on DraftKings) and I’d rather use him on sites that reward him for these skills, not specifically a win (Jacob deGrom is pitching for the Mets so a win won’t come easy).

Additional starting pitcher notes: Gerrit Cole (PIT) and Lance Lynn (STL) represent the second tier of starting pitchers but they’re difficult to project this evening. Cole hasn’t had a quality start against the Reds this season (three starts) and he’s pitching in a bad environment (Great American Ball Park is a great hitting venue). Lynn has been a bit better vs. LHBs this season but he continues to struggle with command and give up power to those hitters. He’s in a much better pitching environment than Cole (Busch Stadium) but the Rockies have three above average LHBs in their first three spots and four overall. While they’re both skilled (especially Cole), both rate better as secondary cash game options than primary ones and they’re likely going to be my top tournament targets when setting lineups. Cole Hamels (TEX) is obviously the best pitcher on tier three but he has the toughest matchup in the worse environment (Globe Life Park in Arlington). He’s more of a tournament target for me tonight. Kevin Gausman (BAL) is really cheap on DraftKings ($4,100), where I view him as a good large field, multi-entry tournament option. His matchup isn’t very good (Tigers) and the environment won’t help (Camden Yards) but that’s basically all factored into his price. He’s not allowing hard contact and he’s generating swings and misses at an above normal rate, which are the skills that are attractive at such a low price.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) New York Yankees – (third ranked offense against LHP, John Danks is pitching and they’ll be hitting at the Cell)

2) Houston Astros – (Jeremy Hellickson struggles with home runs and he’s facing the team that leads the major leagues in home runs; Astros have an implied run total of 4.5 runs)

3) Chicago White Sox – (Bryan Mitchell has been good from a ratios perspective in six apperances but he doesn’t project to be very good at this level; White Sox offense has been performing much better as of late)

4) Chicago Cubs – (Matt Garza has been awful this season and has struggled with the long ball; the Cubs main hitters are way underpriced on FanDuel)

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Baltimore Orioles – (the matchup might draw DFSers away but as we mentioned throughout our content, Anibal Sanchez is allowing more loft and home runs; at Camden Yards, the Orioles are worthy of some cash game consideration as a mini-stack)

2) Pittsburgh Pirates- (Raisel Iglesias has struggled with run prevention and the Great American Ball Park won’t help; the Pirates have some hitters at the top of the lineup that could hurt him but they’re priced wildly around the industry, which makes most of them better secondary options)

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

DET at BLT 7:05: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west-northwest 4-8 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

ATL at PHL 7:05: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west-northwest 7-14 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

NYY at CHW 7:10: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southwest 7-14 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

CHC at MIL 7:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind southwest 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

SEA at MIN 7:10: A 30% chance of a delay due to a thunderstorm after 8 PM. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind south-southwest 7-14 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

PIT at CIN 7:10: Dry. Temps near 80 falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind nearly calm. The wind is a 5.

AZ at HOU 7:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low to mid 90s falling into the mid 80s. Air density is a 9 becoming an 8. Wind northeast 5-10 mph lessening to nearly calm. The wind blows in from right early in the game and is a 4 on the wind scale becoming a 5.

WSH at NYM 7:10: Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west-northwest 5-10 mph becoming light and variable. The wind blows out to right early in the game and is a 6 on the wind scale becoming a 5.

SD at MIA 7:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed.

COL at STL 7:15: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 80s falling to near 80. Air density is an 8. Wind south becoming southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to left at first and then out to center. The wind is a 6.

SF at TEX 8:05: Dry. Temps in the mid 90s falling into the mid 80s. Air density is a 9. Wind east 5-10 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.

CLE at OAK 9:05: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the mid 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-northwest 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 9.

MLB Daily Analysis

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