Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 10 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: Another quiet weather night. More likely than not, the games should all play with no problems.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Matt Wieters (BAL) – Wieters has been exceptional against LHP (.376 wOBA, .235 ISO) since 2012 and will face Vidal Nuno who has allowed a .336 wOBA, 1.42 HR/9, and a 34.4 percent hard hit rate to RHBs. Wieters typically hits fifth against LHP and he holds the platoon edge deep into the game as a switch hitter. The performance and the peripherals for Wieters have been way out of whack (3.7 BB Rate, 24.8 K Rate) compared to his career production, but fortunately the price point has come down alongside it. With Wieters this cheap, I’m willing to accept some risk in skill deterioration for the upside in his past performance.
Derek Norris (SD) – Norris typically garners a strong lineup spot against LHP and deservedly so. Since 2012, Norris has compiled a .364 wOBA and .180 ISO against LHP. David Holmberg has posted really poor peripherals at the big league level but a .217 BABIP (despite a 32.1 hard hit rate allowed) has helped him maintain a reasonable .335 wOBA allowed. The K Rate (11.4 percent), BB Rate (9.4 percent), and HR/9 (1.54) all suggest he really struggles to control RHBs. Norris and Wieters rank really closely in our model