Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 15 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
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John Jaso (TB) – Jaso is the only catcher on this slate that’s ranked inside our top 15 hitters and he’s not priced like such around the industry. For $3,300 on DraftKings (1K cheaper than the Coors catchers, who won’t have the platoon edge), Jaso allows you to tap into a matchup we love (Colby Lewis has allowed a .352 wOBA, 44 percent FB rate and 1.01 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012). Jaso is a good hitter, particularly vs. RHP (.372 wOBA, .172 ISO against RHP in the last few seasons) and he will leadoff on the road for an offense that has a team total approaching 4.5 runs. He rates as the strongest cash game play at the catcher position and the skills/contextual factors support this.
Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy has reached the minimum price point on FanDuel and he has a matchup against the underwhelming Jerome Williams. If you’re worried about the R/R matchup, don’t be. Williams has allowed a .342 wOBA and 1.52 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 and his fastball velocity is down to 90 MPH. Lucroy is a skilled hitter against RHP (.341 wOBA, .152 ISO vs. RHP since 2012) and he will hit second in a good hitting environment (Miller Park). He should be priced as an average hitter relative to his skills/contextual factors but he’s not priced like this on any site.