Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 15 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Saturday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
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John Jaso (TB) – Jaso is the only catcher on this slate that’s ranked inside our top 15 hitters and he’s not priced like such around the industry. For $3,300 on DraftKings (1K cheaper than the Coors catchers, who won’t have the platoon edge), Jaso allows you to tap into a matchup we love (Colby Lewis has allowed a .352 wOBA, 44 percent FB rate and 1.01 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012). Jaso is a good hitter, particularly vs. RHP (.372 wOBA, .172 ISO against RHP in the last few seasons) and he will leadoff on the road for an offense that has a team total approaching 4.5 runs. He rates as the strongest cash game play at the catcher position and the skills/contextual factors support this.
Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy has reached the minimum price point on FanDuel and he has a matchup against the underwhelming Jerome Williams. If you’re worried about the R/R matchup, don’t be. Williams has allowed a .342 wOBA and 1.52 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012 and his fastball velocity is down to 90 MPH. Lucroy is a skilled hitter against RHP (.341 wOBA, .152 ISO vs. RHP since 2012) and he will hit second in a good hitting environment (Miller Park). He should be priced as an average hitter relative to his skills/contextual factors but he’s not priced like this on any site.
Additional catcher notes: Derek Norris (SD) won’t have the platoon edge and his price is inflated due to Coors Field. His best use is likely in tournaments, where I could take advantage of the contextual factors and ignore the skills (he’s a below average hitter vs. RHP). Yan Gomes (CLE) is priced around Jaso/Lucroy around the industry but we prefer him for tournaments. He’s not a great hitter but he does have power and opposing pitcher Tyler Duffey doesn’t project to be good at the major league level (ZiPS projected ERA over six for the rest of the season). Buster Posey (SFG) is the best hitter at the catcher position vs. LHP and he’s usually the top play when he’s facing a southpaw. However, he’s at home (AT&T Park limits power, particularly home runs) and Gio Gonzalez is a good pitcher (keeps the ball in the ground, doesn’t allow much power and Ks at an above league average norm). I’d give him a shot in multi-entry tournaments on sites where his price accounts for his matchup/environment ($3,900 on DraftKings). Stephen Vogt (OAK) is a good option for tournaments on sites where he’s meaningfully discounted (minimum priced on FanDuel). He will face the home run prone Miguel Gonzalez at Camden Yards.
Chris Davis (BAL) is fully priced around the industry and he has a nice matchup against Chris Bassitt. Davis has the highest home run score in our model and Bassitt is due for some regression in this department (3 percent HR/FB rate over 84 IP in his career and the league average usually hovers around 10 percent). The environment won’t help him (Camden Yards, he’s used to pitching at Oakland Coliseum). I’m not sure that forcing Davis in cash games is a necessity but he’s more than worth it for tournaments (second ranked hitter in our model).
Yonder Alonso (SD) – Alonso isn’t a very skilled hitter, even when he has the platoon edge (.320 wOBA, .120 ISO vs. RHP since 2012) but this Padres offense is undergoing a massive park shift (from Petco Park to Coors Field) and Alonso hits second against RHP. This type of lineup spot at Coors Field should generate five PAs, which creates a mathematical edge over the long run. Even if we just single out tonight, five PAs at Coors Field (a few against Jonathan Gray, who projects as an above average pitcher but he struggles with walks; we’re not scared to pick on solid pitchers in this sort of environment and the Rockies own the worst bullpen in baseball) is enough to make Alonso the strongest cash game play at the position relative to the opportunities he will receive in the best hitting environment. Our model believes this as well (Alonso ranks inside our top 20 hitters).
Adam Lind (MIL) – If you decided to go a different route than Alonso in cash games, Lind is the best alternative. He’s at home and he will hit cleanup (that’s a baseline of four PAs with a good shot of three against the starter) against Jerome Williams. Williams’ K rate has dropped from 17 percent last season to 12 percent this season and he’s allowing more hard contact, the aerial kind (1.75 HR/9). On top of that, Williams has given up a .351 wOBA to LHBs since 2012. Lind is a much better hitter than Alonso (.386 wOBA, .209 ISO against RHP in the last three seasons) but the greater expected opportunities gives Alonso an edge (around one more in best hitter’s park in baseball). Like Alonso, Lind is a top 20 hitter this evening and his price point is just as strong around the industry.
Additional first base notes: Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) has accumulated the most Fantasy points at his position and Mike Foltynewicz has allowed a ton of home runs/his ERA is over five. Goldschmidt is fully priced on most sites and even though he’s unnecessary for cash games, he’s worth the investment in tournaments. Miguel Cabrera (DET) is back from a long DL stint and it looks like the Tigers won’t force him into the lineup down the stretch (in an effort to keep him healthy). Collin McHugh has allowed a .320 wOBA, 1.05 HR/9 to RHBs in the last few seasons so Cabrera is tournament worthy (I like Cabrera more on a site like DraftKings, where he’s not fully priced). Ryan Howard (PHI) has a cool matchup (Jimmy Nelson is a solid pitcher but he does struggle with LHBs, particularly with home runs) and he has the benefit of a good environment (Miller Park). He Ks too much and there are stronger options for cash games but Howard is worth a look in tournaments on DraftKings ($3,700).
Jedd Gyorko (SD) – It’s difficult to name any hitter “the play” on a full slate but that’s how Gyorko can be best described this evening. He’s $3,300 on DraftKings and even though he won’t have the platoon edge, he has some pop vs. RHP (.147) and will hit fifth for a Padres offense that has the largest team total on this slate (implied run total between 5 and 5.5 runs). In summary, Gyorko isn’t a very good hitter vs. RHP but he has some power and he gives you cheap exposure to Coors Field/Padres top five at a middle infield position. That should draw tons of attention in a cash games. Gyorko is the only second baseman that ranks inside our top 50 hitters. Yesterday, co-analyst Mike Leone discussed Gyorko’s increase in power indicators recently: “Gyroko is a post-hype sleeper. After a great rookie campaign, he’s been wretched in two straight seasons. The good news is it looks like a switch has been flipped in the power department. After posting hard hit rates of 30/33.3/25 over the season’s first three months, Gyorko’s hard hit rate is over 40 percent in July and August. His GB rate has also dropped off dramatically. To sum up, harder hit balls and more loft equals improved power. Gyorko’s second half ISO so far is at .157, much higher than his first half mark of .099.”
Additional second base notes: Is it a bit aggressive to name Gyorko “the play” at second base on a full slate? You bet. If that makes you uncomfortable because he’s not that good of a hitter to begin with, here are some site specific cash game options: Yangervis Solarte (SD) will hit leadoff for the Padres on the road at Coors Field. He’s not a good hitter but he’s a switch hitter (good for his value) and the expected opportunities that he will receive thanks to being a leadoff hitter helps his DFS value. I’d consider him for cash games on DraftKings ($4,200). On FanDuel, Brian Dozier (MIN) and Jose Altuve (HOU) have good prices ($3,500) and even though we love to target them against LHP (better skills when they have the platoon edge), they’re still cash game eligible when facing below average RHP. Dozier will face Josh Tomlin (making his first start at the major league level this season and he allowed a ton of home runs at this level in 104 IP last season) and Altuve will face Justin Verlander (not the same pitcher he once was and he allows a healthy amount of power). They’re cash game worthy on that particular site and I’m including them as part of my tournament plans on DraftKings, where they’re priced more appropriately. Scooter Gennett (MIL) is minimum priced on FanDuel and he will have the platoon edge against Jerome Williams at Miller Park. Do I need to say more?
Jose Reyes (COL) – Reyes hasn’t been good in a Colorado uniform but we’re still going to target him where his price is reasonable ($3,500 on FanDuel). Put aside the skills for a moment. Reyes hits second for an offense with an implied run total of 5, pushing 5.5 runs and he has a solid shot of accumulating at least 5 PAs. That alone gives him enough cash game appeal. Reyes is an okay hitter vs. RHP (.331 wOBA) and he’s not the speed threat he once was but still has anywhere from 25-30 SB upside over a full season. We like the matchup against Andrew Cashner (.329 wOBA, 1.10 HR/9 allowed to LHBs
Next in line:
Carlos Correa (HOU) (an argument can be made that Correa is already the top hitting shortstop in baseball and he’s only 20 years old; he’s pricey on most sites but he’s facing Justin Verlander in a good hitting environment so he has appeal in tournaments)
DraftKings Punt Play:
Kike Hernandez (LAD) – Hernandez is only worthy of consideration on DraftKings, where his $2,500 price tag is useful. By punting the shortstop position on DraftKings with Hernandez, you’re able to: 1) pay for one of the tier one starting pitchers and 2) load up with Coors Field hitters. Putting aside what he allows you to do from a macro perspective, Hernandez has actually performed very well vs. LHP. In what should be considered a small sample (100 PAs), Hernandez has accumulated .426 wOBA and .244 ISO against LHP. It’s difficult to gauge the true skill of a hitter in 100 PAs but even if you regress his skills to a league average level, he would still be considered underpriced. He will face David Holmberg, who has a projected rest of season ERA over five (was pretty bad at the minor league level). Hernandez has been hitting second vs. LHP and the Dodgers have a team total of 4.5 runs this evening. Jose Reyes is $5,100 on DraftKings and Correa is pricey as well so punting the shortstop position looks like the best way to approach cash games on that particular site.
Additional shortstop notes: Asdrubal Cabrera (TB) should have a top six spot against Colby Lewis. That alone draws attention on sites where he has a fair price point ($3,600 on DraftKings). Jung Ho Kang (PIT) deserves some consideration since he will have the platoon edge (has been a good hitter vs. LHP) but I would only target him in tournaments (Jon Niese isn’t terrible and the hitting environment isn’t any good). Jed Lowrie (HOU) is priced as an average hitter on most sites and he has a plus matchup this evening (Justin Verlander). He deserves some cash game consideration relative to his skills (decent hitter vs. RHP), price and contextual factors.
Top Play: Kris Bryant (CHC) (not a great matchup against Jose Quintana but he’s ranked inside our top 15 hitters and he’s the only third baseman in the top 35; he’s a cash game target on FanDuel since he remains too cheap on that site)
FanDuel Value Play:
Miguel Sano (MIN) – Sano ranks just outside our top 35 hitters and he’s a strong cash game target on FanDuel ($3,500). Sano tends to K often (33 percent K rate) but the hype behind his name is real (159 wRC+, .263 ISO and 47 percent hard hit rate in 144 PAs this season). Sano will likely regress a tad bit (HR/FB is currently at 28 percent) but he still projects to hit for ton of power. Josh Tomlin doesn’t project to be a good pitcher at the major league level and he allows a hefty amount of power (1.56 HR/9 allowed in 104 IP last season). This is Sano’s biggest strength as a hitter (power) so we’re investing in cash games on sites where his price point is approachable.
DraftKings Value Plays:
Jedd Gyorko (SD) – Gyorko also has third base eligibility on DraftKings and we love him there for the same reasons we stated earlier (will have a top five spot on the road at Coors Field for an offense with an implied run total of 5.3 runs).
Carlos Santana (CLE) – Santana ranks inside our top 25 hitters this evening and he’s priced as an average hitter on DraftKings. Santana isn’t a great hitter vs. RHP (.347 wOBA) but he does have power (.196 ISO in the last three seasons) and Tyler Duffey projects to be a bad pitcher at this level (ZiPS projected ERA over six for the remainder of this season). It’s a bit difficult to take advantage of the Indians solid total (4.5 runs) in cash games with a game in Coors Field but Santana allows you to tap into that total at a reasonable price point.
Additional third base notes: Manny Machado (BAL) and Nolan Arenado (COL) are good tournament targets relative to their skills/environments (Coors Field and Camden Yards) but their individual matchups aren’t particularly appealing (Chris Bassitt and Andrew Cashner are tough on RHBs). Evan Longoria (TB) is a much better hitter when he has the platoon edge but Colby Lewis isn’t any good, even against RHBs (1.69 HR/9 allowed to RHBs since 2012). Longoria is priced fairly around the industry so he has some appeal for cash games (still ranks behind our site specific value plays).
Charlie Blackmon/Carlos Gonzalez – Both are priced more reasonably relative to their skills but their worth the investment this evening. They’re elite vs. RHP for different reasons. Gonzalez is a stud hitter (.401 wOBA, .278 ISO against RHP since 2012) and even though Blackmon isn’t as good of a hitter (.355 wOBA/.161 ISO) he leads off for this offense at Coors Field and he’s a much bigger speed threat than Gonzalez (on pace for around 40 SBs this season). Throw in a matchup against Andrew Cashner (.329 wOBA/1.10 HR/9 allowed to LHBs since 2012) and these two hitters rate as our top outfielders (top 10 hitters in our model, Gonzalez is our top overall hitter).
Next in line:
Justin Upton/Matt Kemp (SD) (both are better hitters vs. LHP but they’re still ranked inside the top 10 hitters in our model; Jon Gray isn’t as bad as the rest of the Rockies pitching staff but there will be good opportunities later in the game since the Rockies bullpen is so bad)
Ryan Braun (MIL) (like Upton and Kemp, Braun is a better hitter vs. LHP but a matchup against Jerome Williams keeps him inside our top 10 hitters; he’s cash game viable but I’ll probably end up having exposure to him in tournaments since Coors Field takes priority)
Yasiel Puig (LAD) – Puig ranks inside our top three hitters this evening. We’re not thrilled with the lineup spot he’s been given of late (sixth) but he will have the platoon edge against David Holmberg (ZiPS projected ERA over five this season and he struggled with home runs at the minor league level). Puig has accumulated a .371 wOBA/.173 ISO against LHP in the last few seasons and his matchup couldn’t be better. If investing outside of Coors Field, Puig makes a lot of sense in cash games around the industry (priced below the average price of an outfielder on most sites).
Ben Paulsen (COL) – Paulsen has outfield eligibility on DraftKings and he’s $3,500 on that site. At that price point, Paulsen rates as a very strong cash game value on that particular site. He has been a good hitter when he has the platoon advantage (.365 wOBA/.198 ISO vs. RHP in 280 PAs) and he’s facing Andrew Cashner (home run prone vs. LHBs) at Coors Field. He’s one of the cheapest ways to access Coors Field and he will hit no worse than sixth.
Carlos Gomez (HOU) – Justin Verlander is clearly not the same pitcher he once was (K rate has fallen precipitously in the last two seasons and he’s allowed 1.43 HR/9 through 10 starts this season). Enter Gomez, who has been a better than league average hitter vs. RHP. Since 2012, Gomez has accumulated a .346 wOBA and .185 ISO against RHP. Gomez ranks just behind Puig in our model so we don’t mind investing here in cash games. Keep in mind that our main focus remains in Coors Field for cash games so we won’t have both Puig and Gomez in our cash games but having exposure to at least one of these outfielders is fine.
Khris Davis (BAL) – Davis isn’t as strong of a hitter as the written recommendations above (.347 wOBA) but he does have power (.222 ISO vs. RHP in the last few seasons). We love his matchup for this exact reason (Jerome Williams is allowing 1.75 HR/9 this season). Davis ranks inside our top 30 hitters and he’s priced affordably on most sites. Like Puig and Gomez, I don’t mind stepping away from Coors Field and investing in a powerful hitter like Davis in cash games.
Additional outfielder notes: Andrew McCutchen (PIT) and Bryce Harper (WSH) are two of the best hitters in baseball when they have the platoon advantage. They’re hitting in bad environments for power and their matchups aren’t that great but I’d still invest in tournaments for a chance at low ownership. Adam Jones and Gerardo Parra (BAL) rate just behind Khris Davis in our model. They’re ranked so closely that I’d let price points dictate decisions. If Preston Tucker (HOU) hits second for the Astros he would emerge as a fine cash game target on DraftKings ($3,000). If you need some salary relief on FanDuel, Josh Reddick (OAK) is touching minimum price levels ($2,300) and he will have the platoon edge against the home run prone Miguel Gonzalez at Camden Yards. J.D. Martinez (DET) has been an offensive force in the last two seasons and he continues to improve (generating more loft this season, which has led to more power). Collin McHugh struggles with home runs vs. RHBs and Martinez is priced affordably on most sites. He’s a good tournament option this evening. Ender Inciarte and David Peralta (ARI) aren’t necessary for cash games but opposing pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has struggled mightily with LHBs. I’d give them both a look in tournaments. Scott Van Slyke (LAD) is an elite hitter against LHP but he’s a pinch-hit risk late in games. He’s cheap around the industry but I’d rather invest in tournaments where I don’t mind taking on these sort of risks. Will Venable (SD) will have the platoon edge and a top six spot at Coors Field. He has some power vs. RHP but he’s priced a bit out of reach on most sites. He’s cash game worthy due to his contextual factors but that depends on the site (better on DraftKings, where he’s $4,100).
Rankings (price not considered):
1) Johnny Cueto (KC)
2) Jake Arrieta (CHC)
3) Chris Archer (TB)
4) Patrick Corbin (ARI)
5) Jose Quintana (CWS)
6) John Lackey (STL)
7) Jimmy Nelson (MIL)
8) Gio Gonzalez (WSH)
9) Justin Verlander (DET)
10) Brett Anderson (LAD)
11) Jake Peavy (SFG)
12) Chris Bassitt (OAK)
13) Brad Hand (MIA)
Johnny Cueto (KC) – Cueto and Jake Arrieta are very close in our model but I’ve placed Cueto just ahead for a few reasons. He goes deeper into games (averaging seven IP this season) and his 23 percent K rate could improve moving forward (11 percent SwStr rate, 65 percent F-Strike rate and 36 percent chase rate; all three are well above the league norm). His matchup isn’t as friendly as Arrieta’s (Angels are ranked inside the top 10 in wRC+) but he’s playing in an elite environment for pitchers (Kauffman stadium) and he has the best defense/bullpen behind him. Since the skills are similar (K-BB%, K peripherals, run prevention), these small differentiators (Cueto is at home in a much better park, defense/bullpen are elite) give Cueto the top play moniker.
Next in line:
Jake Arrieta (CWS) – Despite Cueto ranking ahead of Arrieta in our model, the gap is small. Arrieta has a better matchup (White Sox are ranked 20th in wRC+ and they’re striking out 21 percent of the time against RHP) and currently holds a higher K rate (26 percent K rate compared to 23 percent K rate). The small gap in K rate and a better overall matchup gives Arrieta enough to be considered the top play but when adjusting for the environment (U.S. Cellular Field is one of the best hitting environments in baseball), he drops just below Cueto. With a game in Coors Field, I’d rather just fit one of these starting pitchers on multiple starting pitcher sites in cash games and I don’t mind letting prices dictate my decisions here (Arrieta is $500 cheaper than Cueto on FanDuel and Cueto is $800 cheaper than Arrieta on DraftKings).
Patrick Corbin (ARI) – We’re expecting Corbin’s owernship to be somewhat high in cash games this evening. He has one one of the best matchups out of any starting pitcher on this slate (Braves are ranked 27th in wRC+ and are striking out 21 percent of the time against LHP). Through seven starts this season, Corbin has improved his GB rate (51 percent, had never posted a GB percentage over 46 percent), K-BB% (18 percent, his K-BB% for his career is 15 percent) and his run prevention should be better (4.08 ERA/3.26 xFIP/3.21 SIERA). His xFIP and SIERA are close to a full run lower than his ERA because they’re regressing his home runs to a league average rate (his HR/FB rate is currently at 19 percent, his career average is 12 and league average is anywhere from 10 to 12 percent). It’s a good matchup for this sort of regression to take place (The Braves don’t hit for any power) and the environment could help as well (Turner Field is a neutral environment, Chase Field is a hitter’s park). Corbin is my favorite complement to Cueto/Arrieta on multiple starting pitcher sites and I also view him as a strong play on FanDuel ($6,700 on that site and he allows you to load up on Coors Field).
Additional starting pitcher notes: it’s a 13 game slate so there are plenty of starting pitcher options. However, the recommendations above are the strongest cash games plays. Other options that I would consider for cash games on multiple starting pitcher sites are: Jose Quintana (CWS) (Cubs are a neutral offense vs. LHP and they strike out often), John Lackey (STL) (great matchup against the Marlins, who rank dead last in wRC+ against RHP) and Brett Anderson (LAD) (highest favorite on this slate, he’s at home and even though he doesn’t offer much K upside, he has a pretty decent floor since he generates a ton of GBs/run prevention is good). My favorite tournament play on this slate is Chris Archer (TB). He owns the highest K rate on this slate (31 percent) and it’s fueled by elite K peripherals. He doesn’t have a great matchup against the Rangers (tons of LHBs) and he’s in a bad environment (Texas) but his skills (particularly his K rate) are at the very least tournament worthy. Jimmy Nelson (MIL) is another starting pitcher option that has tournament appeal. He’s skilled when it comes to Ks (7.68 Ks per nine, supported by league average K peripherals) and even though he struggles with LHBs, the Phillies don’t have many LHBs that could hurt him and they’re ranked 29th in wRC+ against RHP. Chris Bassitt (OAK) is due for some level of regression and he’s in a bad environment (Camden Yards) but he’s $6,400 on DraftKings, he’s averaging six IP and he owns a 20 percent K rate. The Orioles are ranked inside the top 10 in wRC+ against RHP but they’re striking out 22 percent of the time. Bassitt has some upside in tournaments but I would only consider him on multiple starting pitcher sites. The same goes for Justin Verlander (DET), who’s generating a league average SwStr rate and has a matchup against the K happy Astros. Brad Hand (MIA) is $4,300 on DraftKings and he faces the Cardinals (ranked 23rd in wRC+ against LHP). He’s not very skilled but that sort of price point for a starting pitcher in a good matchup makes him a tournament worthy option.
Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:
This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (email@example.com) if you have suggestions.
Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:
1) Coors Field
1) Milwaukee Brewers (Jerome Williams is giving an abnormal amount of home runs, which gives the Brewers a ton of upside for tournaments)
2) Houston Astros (Justin Verlander isn’t missing many bats and he’s allowing more home runs this season; the Astros lead the league in home runs)
3) Los Angeles Dodgers (facing David Holmberg, who struggled at the minor league level, at home)
4) Minnesota Twins/Cleveland Indians (Josh Tomlin and Tyler Duffey project to be pretty bad, which has led a nine run total in this game).
5) Arizona Diamondbacks (hitting away from Chase Field but their matchup against Mike Foltynewicz, who has allowed 1.74 HR/9 this season, should help)
MLB Game Weather Forecasts
OAK at BLT 7:05: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind south-southwest 3-6 mph becoming nearly calm. The wind blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6.
CHC at CHW 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind south-southwest 5-10 mph which blows in from right or from right to left at times. The wind is a 4.
LAA at KC 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the mid to upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southeast 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.
PHL at MIL 7:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southeast 4-8 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.
CLE at MIN 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 80s falling to near 80. Air density is an 8. Wind south 9-18 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 4.
AZ at ATL 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind east-northeast 5-10 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4.
DET at HOU 7:10: Retractable roof. A few, widely scattered thunderstorms around. Temps near 90 falling into the low 80s. Air density is a 9. Wind southeast 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.
PIT at NYM 7:10: Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind southwest 3-6 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.
MIA at STL 7:15: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southeast 5-10 mph lessening to 3-6 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.
TB at TEX 8:05: Dry. Temps in the low to mid 90s falling into the low to mid 80s. Air density is a 9 becoming an 8. Wind east-northeast 5-10 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.
SD at COL 8:10: A similar weather setup to yesterday so let’s call it a small chance of a thunderstorm with only a 10 to maybe 20% chance of a delay. Temps in the upper 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is a 10. Wind northwest 7-14 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.
CIN at LAD 9:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind southwest 9-18 mph lessening to 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.
WSH at SF 10:05: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind west-northwest 10-20 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is an 8.