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August 17 MLB DFS: Mining For Cole

August 17 MLB DFS: Mining For Cole
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 17 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

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Weather: No weather problems expected tonight.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Brian McCann (NYY) – McCann is more of a luxury than a need tonight (high price, emphasize pitching first), but if you end up able to spend at the catcher position, he’s the top option salary aside. He’ll have the platoon edge with the short porch in right against RHP Kyle Gibson. Gibson has improved (finally starting to miss a few more bats but still below league average), but he still rates a below average pitcher (around a 4.00 ERA guy). He’s backed up by a horrific bullpen (Twins relievers have the highest xFIP in MLB), and the Yankees have a very health implied run total tonight, pushing 5.

Value Plays:

Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Yeah, yeah I know you’re sick of seeing Lucroy’s name here, but he continues to be extremely underpriced across the industry (bare minimum on FanDuel) and is the smartest choice on a short slate. He’s likely the best per dollar value in action at the catcher position, and his low total cost allows you to pay up for the top two starting pitchers on the slate, which is recommended in cash games. Lucroy’s peripherals and projection systems both indicate he’ll almost assuredly have better surface statistics moving forward than what he’s posted to date. His history against LHP is strong, and this matchup is great. Lucroy is at home in hitter friendly Miller Park and facing Marlins LHP Justin Nicolino. Nicolino hasn’t even been able to crack the 5 K/9 marker in the Minor Leagues his past two seasons and has a laughably low 5.9 K percentage through three MLB starts this year. When you factor in that Nicolino is ground ball neutral and has yielded hard contact thus far (39.0 hard hit rate), the Brewers offense has a ton of upside this evening. Lucroy’s my main target in cash games.

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