Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 2 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.
Weather: The games in CHW and STL run the risk of delays late in the game.
Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.
If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.
Buster Posey (SF) – Posey is our top catcher and a top 10 overall hitter on the day. He receives a massive park shift moving from San Francisco to Texas and has been one of the top five hitters in all of baseball against LHP the last several season (148 wRC+, .193 ISO since 2013). Posey has a phenomenal matchup against Martin Perez, who has allowed a .334 wOBA to RHBs. Not only does Perez have a poor platoon split, but he’s been very rusty since returning from TJS, walking more batters than he has struck out and averaging just four innings per start over three starts. While Perez’s low IP totals are a bad thing for Posey on the surface (limits his PAs against a LHP), Perez is backed up by a Rangers bullpen that has the highest ERA and highest HR/9 in all of baseball. My initial roster construction has me saving a little bit of money at catcher in cash games, but Posey is in such a good spot that he deserves strong consideration in both cash and tournament formats.
Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – There’s not too much to add here that we haven’t covered the past couple of days. Schwarber has outstanding Minor League numbers (think Kris Bryant level) and is off to a scorching start at the MLB level: .426 wOBA and .235 ISO. While it’s a very small sample size to be relying on wOBA and ISO, the early indicators are great: patience (12.8 BB rate), loft (0.85 GB/FB ratio) and quality contact (43.8 hard hit rate). With Schwarber’s price only gradually rising, he’s a steal out of the two hole for the Cubs in good matchups like he has today. He’ll have the platoon edge against Kyle Lohse, who has been struggling all season long, in Milwaukee, which is one of the better hitting environments in play this afternoon. Schwarber’s combination of cap relief and upside leaves him as my top target on the day.