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August 2 MLB DFS: PIRATES

August 2 MLB DFS: PIRATES
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 2 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: The games in CHW and STL run the risk of delays late in the game.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Play:

Buster Posey (SF) – Posey is our top catcher and a top 10 overall hitter on the day. He receives a massive park shift moving from San Francisco to Texas and has been one of the top five hitters in all of baseball against LHP the last several season (148 wRC+, .193 ISO since 2013). Posey has a phenomenal matchup against Martin Perez, who has allowed a .334 wOBA to RHBs. Not only does Perez have a poor platoon split, but he’s been very rusty since returning from TJS, walking more batters than he has struck out and averaging just four innings per start over three starts. While Perez’s low IP totals are a bad thing for Posey on the surface (limits his PAs against a LHP), Perez is backed up by a Rangers bullpen that has the highest ERA and highest HR/9 in all of baseball. My initial roster construction has me saving a little bit of money at catcher in cash games, but Posey is in such a good spot that he deserves strong consideration in both cash and tournament formats.

Value Plays:

Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – There’s not too much to add here that we haven’t covered the past couple of days. Schwarber has outstanding Minor League numbers (think Kris Bryant level) and is off to a scorching start at the MLB level: .426 wOBA and .235 ISO. While it’s a very small sample size to be relying on wOBA and ISO, the early indicators are great: patience (12.8 BB rate), loft (0.85 GB/FB ratio) and quality contact (43.8 hard hit rate). With Schwarber’s price only gradually rising, he’s a steal out of the two hole for the Cubs in good matchups like he has today. He’ll have the platoon edge against Kyle Lohse, who has been struggling all season long, in Milwaukee, which is one of the better hitting environments in play this afternoon. Schwarber’s combination of cap relief and upside leaves him as my top target on the day.

Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – It’s tough to pass up on Schwarber’s power upside (already has more home runs than Lucroy), but at the same price Jonathan Lucroy is a very good alternative option for cash and tournament games. As we’ve talked about before, one year splits can be very misleading and we view Lucroy as a strong option against LHP (solid .349 wOBA and .161 ISO since 2013). Lucroy will be at home and facing Clayton Richard who has faced 228 LHBs over the same time span and been very ineffective against them, allowing a .437 wOBA and whopping 2.45 HR/9 (inflated due to high HR/FB rate but 23.9 hard minus soft hit rate doesn’t help either).

Additional catcher notes: Matt Wieters (BAL) is another cheap option at catcher. I prefer him in tournaments due to his horrendous plate discipline going up against a strikeout pitcher. However, there’s considerable power upside for Wieters given his overall power numbers (.180-plus ISO for fifth straight season), great career splits against southpaws (.356 wOBA) and Daniel Norris‘ skill set in a hitter’s park (.341 wOBA allowed to RHBs, extreme fly ball pitcher who is wild). While I still prefer the written up options, there are a couple of other underpriced catchers deserving of cash game consideration on FanDuel: Victor Martinez (DET) and John Jaso (TB). Some additional tournament options include Salvador Perez (KC) and Brian McCann (NYY).

First Base

Top Play:

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) – Rizzo’s price took a big jump forward on FanDuel but is still too low at just $3,800. He’ll be someone I try to stretch my budget for over there as I’m not enamored with the mid-tier selections. Opposing pitcher Kyle Lohse has poor three year splits against LHBs (.326 wOBA, 1.45 HR/9) and is struggling mightily this season (6.24 ERA, 5.11 FIP). Rizzo will be hitting third or fourth on the road in a favorable park. He continues to sport elite peripherals as his small 12.9 K percentage is phenomenal for a power hitting first baseman.

Value Play:

Justin Smoak (TOR) – There are certainly more skilled first basemen in action today, but if eschewing a top play (Rizzo, Posey) at the position, I’d rather save some on sites like DraftKings where Smoak is extremely cheap ($2,500). This has to do with a combination of Smoak’s value and difficulty in finding prices I like given the matchups on the other viable first basemen. Smoak’s HR/FB rate is a bit out of whack, but he’s put up solid power numbers this season (.222 ISO) thanks to decent loft and a good hard hit rate. The former prospect is a switch hitter, but he’s been much better, especially in terms of power, against RHP. He usually hits fifth in those matchups, putting him in a phenomenal RBI spot directly behind the vaunted top four (Tulo-Donaldson-Bautista-Encarnacion). He’s got a solid starting matchup today against Edinson Volquez, who is below average against LHBs and is getting a bit lucky (3.21 ERA despite 4.18 xFIP). The Royals do have an amazing bullpen (2.27 ERA is second best and well below league average), but the silver lining for Smoak is that it is heavily right handed.

Additional first base notes: Joey Votto (CIN) isn’t underpriced, but he has a very safe matchup against Charlie Morton. Morton is known for his splits disparity as he’s been awful against LHBs (.346 wOBA), and it’s important to not that the contact oriented pitcher is no longer generating the weak contact that allowed him to be mildly successful (32.0 hard hit rate, 26.5 or below previous five seasons). Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) is a high upside option, but the Royals great bullpen dings his cash game appeal a bit. Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) looks mispriced with CJ Wilson not taking the mound (I’ve seen varying reports on whether it will be Rucinski or Rasmus but either would represent a positive matchup for Gonzalez against a RHP). If Brandon Belt (SF) moves up in the order, he’d be viable despite a L/L matchup. As mentioned above, the combination of park shift, Perez’s early struggles and a bad bullpen that is expected to get a lot of work makes the Giants offense one to target in general. Adam LaRoche (CHW) is a cheap option. I was very close to writing him up, but the production and peripherals have been so disappointing. Still, at very cheap pricing, he may be worth the risk in a great home matchup against Ivan Nova, who is not missing any bats and allowing hard hit contact in his return from TJS. Other guys worth considering include Pedro Alvarez (PIT) (elite tournament option, cash viable if top five to six in order). David Ortiz (BOS) (secondary value) and Ike Davis (OAK) (cheap tournament play).

Second Base

Top Play:

Jose Altuve (HOU) – Altuve has a sub-10 K rate for the second straight year, is posting a career best .122 ISO and has tremendous lifetime splits against LHP: .348 wOBA, .138 ISO (decent for a speedster). Throw in his elite stolen base and runs scored upside, and Altuve is the clear cut top second baseman on the day. Opposing pitcher Robbie Ray has some upside, but overall his low ERA is misleading as his xFIP and hard hit rate indicate some regression in the run prevention department. Against RHBs, Ray has allowed a .337 wOBA and whopping 42.3 hard hit rate. Altuve is fairly priced around the industry and may be attainable in cash games if you go cheap at first base.

Value Play:

Neil Walker (PIT) – While Walker has been hitting sixth for the Pirates, he’s still cash game viable. We try to target the top five hitters, but the real drop off in production and plate appearances happens for the 7-9 hitters. There’s also less risk on the road for a sixth hitter with a guaranteed full ninth inning of at bats. Most importantly, I think you can be more lenient on batting order for teams with high run totals (line isn’t out yet, but I’m expecting around five for the Pirates) in great matchups. The Pirates will be our top stack today as the Reds will be throwing RHP Keyvius Sampson. In three AAA stints the past three seasons (each at least 38 innings), here are Sampson’s ERAs: 7.11/6.68/5.08. To say he’s been wild is an understatement. Sampson has walked right around 5 betters per 9 between AA and AAA this season after walking over 6.5 per 9 his previous two seasons. This one could get ugly in a flash as the Pirates have a solid lineup receiving the most extreme positive park shift of any team in action. Walker is having a little bit of a down year, but most of that is due to lower HR totals, which seem mostly to be bad luck (low 8.2 HR/FB rate despite a solid 34.2 hard hit rate).

Additional second base notes: Rougned Odor (TEX) is a viable alternative to Walker on sites where they are priced closely. I view them as similar options. Odor has a better lineup and also has good power upside for a middle infielder in a hitter’s park. Ben Zobrist (KC) is a secondary option. He gets a big park shift playing in Toronto and RA Dickey is having a down year as he’s not missing any bats with that knuckleball, making him pretty homer prone. Cesar Hernandez (PHI) is a nice punt play option on DraftKings (leadoff spot, cheap speed, bad platoon splits for Julio Teheran). Jonathan Schoop (BAL) is a nice tournament option who will likely be low owned. He’s got good pop for a second baseman, and he’ll face off against a very home prone Daniel Norris who is backed up by a bad bullpen. Robinson Cano (SEA) is also a good tournament play. Mike Pelfrey is very bad and can’t miss any bats while Cano has seemingly turned his season around. Joe Panik (SF) can be used in tournaments due to lineup spot on a offense we’re high on overall.

Shortstop

Top Plays: Troy Tulowitzki (TOR) and Carlos Correa (HOU) are heads and shoulders above their peers in terms of expected raw production. Each has a site where they are priced friendly enough for cash games – Tulo on DK and Correa on FD. With that said, opportunity cost is a little higher than usual at the shortstop position with some cheap plays in good situations.

Value Play:

Jean Segura (MIL) – Segura is viable across the industry but best utilized on FanDuel where he’s bare minimum salary, which goes along way towards helping you fill out a Jose Fernandez cash game roster. Segura doesn’t have much offensive skill, but he does have elite stolen base upside out of the lead off spot in a prime matchup. He’s at home against Clayton Richard, who can’t get RHBs out as mentioned earlier and overall struggles because he simply doesn’t miss bats (ZiPS projected 4.32 K/9) and doesn’t make up for it by generating weak contact (career 31.5 hard hit rate).

Ketel Marte (SEA) – The best way to get exposure to a Mariners offense facing off against an underwhelming pitcher in Mike Pelfrey who is backed up by a bad bullpen is via Marte on DraftKings. Marte is just minimum priced on DraftKings and has led off both games for the Mariners since being called up. The overall offensive projections for Marte are very poor, but he hit for average in the minors due to a high contact rate, and most importantly, he ran. Marte stole 20 bases in just 65 games at AAA prior to getting called up. It’s not often you can get that type of stolen base upside for a bare minimum price, let alone out of the leadoff spot for a team with an implied run total around 4.5. Leading off on the road ensures four plate appearances with a fifth likely.

Additional shortstop notes: Jung-ho Kang (PIT) is deserving of consideration in all formats as he has solid pop for a shortstop and we’re extremely high on the Pirates offense in general. Jhonny Peralta (STL) is a secondary value as he’s in a great lineup spot (fourth) against a below average LHP. His home park and my thought that Flande, while below average, wouldn’t look so horrid outside of Coors keeps him outside of the primary cash game options. Almost all the Orioles can be used in tournaments due to Norris’ gopheritis and a bad Tigers bullpen, and JJ Hardy (BAL) is no exception.

Third Base

Top Play:

Manny Machado (BAL) – Machado was one of the examples used in Drew Dinkmeyer’s great strategy article on using information correctly. Drew discussed how Machado’s uptick in results this season are fully supported by growth in his indicators: specifically plate discipline (EYE from .29 to .63), loft (FB rate from 30.9 to 40.7) and quality of contact (hard hit rate from 29.3 to 33.6). All these gains have led to a .383 wOBA and .230 ISO for Machado. His matchup is phenomenal today. Derek Norris is wild, homer prone and struggles against RHBs. Meanwhile, the Tigers bullpen has the third highest ERA in the league and just shipped off Joakim Soria to Pittsburgh. He’s not someone I’ve been able to squeeze into cash game lineups, but I’m not opposed to doing so given the large gap between him and his peers today.

Value Plays:

Kris Bryant (CHC) – No, it’s not Drew Dinkmeyer holding a gun to our heads that leads us to recommending Kris Bryant so often. It’s the fact that we see more power coming for the young stud. 14 HRs in 94 games is nice, but his scouting profile, loft (49.1 FB rate) and hard hit rate (37.5) all indicate the HR rate should increase. Throw in a good hitter’s park today, a struggling opposing pitcher and a touch of speed upside, and we’ll continue to utilize Bryant in cash games at investable price points, such as his $3,100 tag on FanDuel.

Aramis Ramirez (PIT) – Ramirez is an absurd value on DraftKings and strong value on FanDuel. While the 37 year old is well past his prime, he still makes enough contact (13.3 K rate) and hits for enough power (.172 ISO) to be useful in the right situations. It doesn’t get much better than hitting clean up for our top stack in the best hitter’s park in action on the day.

Additional third base notes: Secondary value play options include Kyle Seager (SEA) (platoon edge against Mike Pelfrey) and Evan Longoria (TB) (strong historical splits against LHP, huge park shift in his favor). Adonis Garcia (ATL) is a punt option in all formats on DraftKings. He’s not good but will have a top five lineup spot on the road, in a favorable park and with the platoon edge against Adam Morgan, who we view as a well below average MLB starter. Matt Duffy (SF) is in a great spot hitting third for the Giants, but his price tag is too high for his skills pushing him to tournament status only.

Outfield

Top Plays:

Andrew McCutchen/Starling Marte/Gregoy Polanco (PIT) – We’ve been hitting this trio all weekend as a result of a massive park shift in their favor and facing below average starting pitching. That trend continues today as they face Keyvius Sampson who posted some extremely poor numbers in the minors. With McCutchen/Marte possessing strong HR/SB upside and Polanco a speed threat, the ceiling here is uncapped. I’m forcing exposure to at least one of these outfielders in all of my cash games.

Value Plays:

Carlos Gomez (HOU) – Our expectations for Gomez’s power have been tempered (reduced loft and hard minus soft hit rate), but even with that said we view him as a 15-30 HR-SB player over a full season. With that kind of HR-SB upside, Gomez will fit right in with this Astros team. He should hit second for an Astros team with a high total as they square off against Robbie Ray. He’s getting crushed by RHBs, and his overall ERA is going to regress. Further benefitting Gomez is an umpire in this game that is very beneficial to offensive players.

Khris Davis (MIL) – With Ramirez, Gomez and Parra out of town, Khris Davis holds a top five spot in the lineup and doesn’t have to worry about getting pinch hit for. That gives him plenty of upside in a home matchup against Clayton Richard for a very friendly price across the industry. For his career, Davis has a .337 wOBA and .256 ISO against LHP. He’s a high risk, high reward option today. Teammate Ryan Braun (MIL) also rates very well in our model, but we’d emphasize the Pittsburgh outfielders in cash game first.

Angel Pagan (SF) – Pagan creates a bit of a dilemma for me today. On one hand his skills are well behind the other viable outfield options (.271 wOBA, third straight year below .330, no longer running as much). On the other hand, he couldn’t be in much of a better situation. Leading off on the road, he’s almost guaranteed four PAs and likely five to six given how high we are on the Giants offense. Ultimately, the latter point combined with Pagan’s very low price tag (by far the easiest way to access the Giants offense) makes him a player I’ll try to have some exposure to in cash games but won’t be all in on. Teammate Hunter Pence (SF) is priced out of cash game consideration on DraftKings but a good mid-tier value on FanDuel.

Additional outfield notes: Jose Bautista (TOR) doesn’t have a phenomenal matchup but he’s underpriced for any home game against an average to below average SP, regardless of not holding the platoon edge and facing a quality bullpen. Both Adam Jones/Nolan Reimold (BAL) merit cash game consideration across the industry. It’s a very high upside matchup, and Reimold is particularly valuable given his low price if he’s able to garner a top four lineup spot. Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY) is an elite tournament option. He has a dipping price point and will face Jeff Samardzija (pedestrian against LHBs and strikeout numbers are down this year) in a great hitter’s park. In that same game, Adam Eaton/Melky Cabrera (CHW) are high upside options for a White Sox offense that is suddenly hitting and will face Ivan Nova, who has some red flags surrounding him currently. Randal Grichuk (STL) is too expensive for cash games, but he always carries nice power upside with him, especially in matchups against LHP. With LHP Adam Morgan having a ZiPS projected .362 wOBA and .194 ISO against RHBs, Jonny Gomes (ATL), southpaw hitting specialist, is a really nice tournament option at a near minimum price tag around the industry.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Jose Fernandez (MIA)

Tier Two

2) Sonny Gray (OAK)

3) Noah Syndergaard (NYM)

4) James Shields (SD)

Tier Three

5) Mat Latos (MIA)

6) Jaime Garcia (STL)

7) Jordan Zimmermann (WAS)

8) Trevor Bauer (CLE)

9) Julio Teheran (ATL)

Tier Four

10) Collin McHugh (HOU)

11) Robbie Ray (ARI)

12) Hisashi Iwakuma (SEA)

Top Play:

Jose Fernandez (MIA) – It’s irking me that Fernandez has a very unfriendly umpire today, but he’s so far out in front of our starting pitching model that he’s still our top option and recommended anchor in cash games. Fernandez has dispelled most of the post-TJS concerns. He got a quick hook one game (less than 80 pitches), but has been so efficient that he’s still completed at least six innings in all five starts and seven in two of them. As he continues to show full healthy, the pitch count shouldn’t be a concern. Just as important have been the results. Fernandez has struck out 29.1 percent of batters faced (right in line with pre-TJS numbers), and his BB rate and hard minus soft hit rate are currently better than his pre-TJS numbers. Skill wise, no one in action today touches Fernandez. That’s amplified by a phenomenal matchup. He’s at home in a very pitcher friendly park (1.19 ERA, 2.20 FIP at home for his career) facing a bad Padres team that ranks 23rd in wRC+ against RHP with a high 21.9 K percentage. Fernandez is currently listed as -160 favorite in a game with an extremely low total of 6.

Next in line:

Sonny Gray (OAK) – Gray ranks behind Syndergaard and Shields in our model, but I’ve manually adjusted him upwards as he gets a very favorable home plate umpire while the rest of the top two tier pitchers all have unfavorable umps. The matchup isn’t great (Cleveland is above average in wRC+ against RHP and has a lower than average K percentage), but it isn’t one to avoid either. With Gray at home in a pitcher friendly park, his strong overall skill set trumps the fact that the matchup isn’t perfect. Gray is above average in K and BB rates and dominant when it comes to batted ball data. His 55.0 GB rate and 2.7 hard minus soft hit rate are elite. It’s tough to use Gray with Fernandez commanding so much more upside at not that much higher of a tag. However, if you were to fade Fernandez in a cash game, Gray has the highest floor of the tier two starting pitchers and is the one I’d be most confident in utilizing, assuming somewhat similar pricing.

Value Plays:

James Shields (SD) – While Shields isn’t risk free (same umpire concerns as Fernandez, HR issues have led to volatility), the matchup is simply too strong for him to not be considered a top value play on multi-SP sites like DraftKings or DraftDay where there’s a significant gap in pricing between Gray/Syndegaard and Shields. Here you get top five starting pitcher upside, while simultaneously creating enough cap relief to make locking in Fernandez rather easy. Miami has one of the friendliest ballparks for pitchers, particularly in terms of home runs, which has been Shields’ biggest weakness this season. That weakness is further mitigated by facing a Stanton-less Marlins team that lacks power. They are 29th in MLB in ISO against RHP. Combine that with the third lowest OBP against RHP and this is a phenomenal matchup for Shields.

Mat Latos (LAD) – Latos is a guy we picked on often at the beginning of the season, but he’s slowly turned into a value play to utilize given an improvement in peripherals, buoyed by some renewed velocity. Since returning from the DL on June 13th, Latos has averaged at least 91.3 mph on his fastball in every start. Prior to the DL stint, he hadn’t topped 91 in any start. Over his last four starts, Latos has posted an xFIP of 3.29 or better in each one, leading to four straight quality starts and an average of 5.75 strikeouts per outing. The Angels are seventh in wRC+ against RHP so the matchup isn’t great, but they’ll also be forced to play without the DH in an NL park.

Julio Teheran (ATL) – Shields is cheap where I’ll try to utilize him as my second starting pitcher on multi-SP sites, but Teheran is an alternative if you feel the need to save even more money. I hate to overweight the umpire stuff, but he, Latos and Gray all have favorable ones while the rest of our 12 ranked starting pitchers all have unfavorable umpires. That’s a definite plus in Teheran’s corner, especially combined with Philadelphia’s overall offensive ineptitude (29th in wRC+ against RHP). The big issue with Teheran are his own skills. A combination of expected regression in the luck stats along with increased wildness (9.3 BB percentage) has led to a very disappointing season overall (4.71 ERA).

Additional starting pitcher notes: We’re a bit scared off of Noah Syndergaard (NYM) due to a combination of his rising price point, a healthy Nationals team and a horrendous umpire. However, he ranks second in our model, prior to being manually adjusted for the umpire, and he’s definitely a worthy tournament target. Syndergaard brings in a 26 K percentage and sub-3 expected ERAs. Jaime Garcia (STL) is a very high floor option as he’ll face a Rockies team that struggles on the road and no longer has Troy Tulowitzki in its lineup against LHP. A combination of an aggressive price tag and mediocre K upside has Garcia off of our cash game radar, but I’d consider him a high floor option given the matchup, park and his skills (67.8 GB rate is absurdly good, low 26.6 hard hit rate). Jordan Zimmermann (WAS), like Garcia, has a matchup that seemingly gives him a high floor but an atrocious umpire and reduced K upside keep him as a secondary option only. Collin McHugh (HOU) and Robbie Ray (ARI) are both dangerous from a run prevention standpoint, but both have the requisite K upside to make them GPP worthy. While Daniel Norris (DET) is extremely risky and does not crack our SP rankings, he has the K upside to be used in tournaments on DraftKings where he’s extremely cheap ($4,900).

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Pittsburgh Pirates (This is the team I’m most cognizant about forcing exposure to in cash games)

2) San Franciso Giants (Discussed pretty heavily throughout analysis, only issue here for me in cash games is the pricing on the top five to six hitters, which means I won’t force exposure in cash if it doesn’t fit)

3) Baltimore Orioles (To recap, HR prone starting pitcher with an atrocious bullpen behind him)

4) Chicago Cubs (A little more risk than the top three stacks but easier to spot individual values keeps them a great team to target in cash games)

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Chicago White Sox (Nova’s high hard hit rate and more walks than strikeouts point towards a potential disaster start)

2) Milwaukee Brewers (Lineup watered down due to trades, but this also creates value among the top five hitters)

3) Houston Astros (Combination of Ray hard hit rate, tough umpire for pitchers, good home park and as always the incredible HR/SB upside throughout this lineup)

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

KC at TOR 1:07: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low 80s. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southwest 7-14 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is a 6.

PIT at CIN 1:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

SD at MIA 1:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed.

DET at BLT 1:35: Dry. Temps in the upper 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

TB at BOS 1:35: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind south-southwest 9-18 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is an 8.

ATL at PHL 1:35: Dry. Temps in the upper 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 8-146 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

NYY at CHW 2:10:  Rather potent thunderstorms will move into the city around 4 PM. There is a chance that there will be a delay (30-40%) around the mentioned time late in the game. There is very little chance of any delays before this time. Temps in the upper 80s. Air density is a 9. Wind southwest 15-25 mph with higher gusts past 30 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5.

CHC at MIL 2:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to the threat of thunderstorms.

SEA at MIN 2:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind northwest 10-20 mph with gusts past 25 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 9.

AZ at HOU 2:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the mid 90s. Air density is a 9 if the roof is open. Wind southeast 6-12 mph which blows out to left if the roof is open. The wind is a 6.

COL at STL 2:15: Thunderstorms around the city this morning should sink to the south and east just before game time. So the game looks to start dry but more thunderstorms are currently forecast to move in around 4 PM. Thus, there is a risk of a delay late in the game (30-40%). Temps near 90. Air density is a 9. Wind southwest 8-16 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7.

SF at TEX 3:05: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 90s. Air density is a 9. Wind southeast 5-10 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.

CLE at OAK 4:05: Dry. Temps near 70. Air density is a 6. Wind west 8-16 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is an 8.

LAA at LAD 4:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-southwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8.

WSH at NYM 8:00: Dry. Temps in the lower 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southwest 4-8 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

MLB Daily Analysis

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