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August 24 MLB DFS: No Sale, on Car-Mart
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Welcome to August 24 MLB DFS action here at DailyRoto. Below you’ll find our Daily Fantasy Baseball Premium podcast for August 24 MLB DFS along with our LIVE Premium Chat and cliff notes. Make sure you’re using our customizable projections tool, you’re actively participating in the live chat, and you’re reviewing the cliff notes to supplement your research and roster construction process. Very best of luck in tonight’s action!

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August 24 MLB DFS Position Timestamps
03:00 Starting Pitcher
11:26 Catcher
13:36 First Base
15:29 Second Base
17:53 Third Base
21:31 Shortstop
22:43 Outfield
26:10 Stacks

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CUSTOMIZABLE PROJECTIONS WITH VALUE RATINGS CLICK HERE

  • In cash games, we recommend focusing on value plays to build your rosters (far right hand column of Projections page linked above). Value plays are those we feel have the highest probability of out-earning their current price tag. By packing value plays into your roster, you’re creating a team with a higher floor.
  • In tournaments, we recommend building a core of the best value plays and then complementing them with players who have a high ceiling. This combination is essentially turning up the variance on a strong foundation and we believe often is the best recipe for tournament success.

August 24 MLB DFS CLIFF NOTES

 Starting Pitcher

For full SP rankings, see our projections: https://dailyroto.com/mlb-customizable-projections

The short evening slate has plenty of high end pitching available with Chris Sale (BOS), Carlos Martinez (STL), Stephen Strasburg (WAS), Jake Arrieta (CHC), and Dallas Keuchel (HOU) all on the hill. Most of the elite starters are facing difficult matchups, priced up, or pitching in a poor environment which makes the lone starter in an elite matchup really pop. Carlos Martinez gets the benefit of facing the hapless, and primarily right-handed, Padres lineup. Martinez has been dominant against RHBs (.247 wOBA, .098 ISO, and 26.5 K Rate since 2016) and routinely the Padres are rolling out six or seven right handed bats to attack lefties. Martinez is expensive on the surface ($12,100 on DK, $9,800 on FD) but the matchup certainly warrants it.  Strasburg, Keuchel, and Arrieta all have matchups and price tags that render them largely irrelevant. This leaves the decision between Sale and Martinez. Sale is even more expensive ($13,700 on DK, $11,000 on FD) and the matchup with a contact-oriented (17.6 percent K Rate against LHP this season is third lowest in the league) Cleveland lineup is a difficult one. Our projections slightly prefer Martinez’s cheaper price tag as the building block in cash games.

Pairing Sale and Martinez together seems unlikely on DraftKings, given the two combine for nearly $26,000 in salary. As a result, we’re left dumpster diving a bit for a secondary starter. We were hoping for a better price tag on Jose Berrios (MIN) who gets a great matchup with the White Sox lineup which is closer in skill level to a AAAA lineup than a Major League one at this point. While the White Sox aren’t great, the lineup can get left-handed which prevents a challenge for Berrios’ more tepid K Rate against LHBs (19.1 percent vs. 23.5 percent). At a reduced price tag, this wouldn’t be an issue; but at $8,600 it’s a squeeze for value. We believe Berrios has the higher ceiling relative to price tag of the few options to consider pairing with a stud, but the best median projection goes to Luis Perdomo (SD) thanks to a softer $5,900 price tag. The Cardinals’ lineups are primarily RH and Perdomo has posted strong peripherals against RHBs (21.7 K Rate, 7.2 BB Rate, 68.1 GB Rate, and 3.31 xFIP). The Cardinals have a hefty implied total and Perdomo’s floor is very low but the cost savings from Berrios when paying for Martinez or Sale really helps you emphasize a few top offensive plays.

The rest of the cheap starters on the slate profile really poorly. Troy Scribner (LAA) a converted reliever who won’t work deep into the game is perhaps the best outside of Perdomo but the Rangers are pretty dangerous against RHP even with the park downgrade. As a result, our SP list is pretty tight on this small slate. We want almost all of our exposure on combinations involving Sale, Martinez, Berrios, and Perdomo. On FanDuel, we’d keep almost all of our exposure between Martinez and Sale.

Catcher

The catcher position is really straight forward on this slate and frankly it just revolves around where Chris Gimenez (MIN) hits in the Twins’ lineup. We’re projecting fifth which would make him the top play at the position in an elite matchup against Derek Holland (.382 wOBA, .228 ISO allowed to RHBs since the start of 2016). The Twins have the highest implied total on the slate (5.7 runs) and Gimenez has shown some power against LHP  (.194 ISO since 2016). He’s cheap on both sites and represents the clear cut play. If Gimenez isn’t in a great lineup spot, Alex Avila (CHC) figures to represent the primary alternative. The Cubs face another below average RHP in Cincinnati and Avila should bump up in the lineup if Kris Bryant remains unavailable. The only other catcher strongly in consideration would be Twins’ prospect Mitch Garver (MIN) who has played some 1B/DH against LHP and remains cheap. His value is tied to his lineup spot.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) is once again the clear cut top option at first base. He’s the second highest projected scorer on the slate (behind Brian Dozier) as he gets another soft matchup against a below average RHP in Great American Ballpark. Rizzo is a quality spend but a difficult one to make given the tighter pricing at SP and the depth of viable first base options on a small slate. This may push you away from Rizzo in cash games and towards cheaper plays at the position even though they’re weaker values. Matt Carpenter (STL), Hanley Ramirez (BOS), and Ryan Zimmerman (WAS) are the three mid-tier alternatives. On DraftKings, you could also consider Alex Avila if playing Gimenez at catcher. Of this group, Carpenter and Avila have the best matchups while on FanDuel Ramirez and Zimmerman have slightly stronger price tags.

Second Base

The primary reason that Rizzo is a difficult spend at first base is the emphasis on Brian Dozier (MIN) at second base. The alternatives at second base are much thinner and Dozier is actually projecting ahead of Rizzo thanks to the road leadoff spot, a higher implied total, and Derek Holland‘s propensity to yield power. Dozier is the expensive bat we’re emphasizing most on this slate not only because he leads the slate in projected hitting points but because the alternatives at his position are brutal.

Jose Altuve (HOU) faces Stephen Strasburg. Rougned Odor (TEX) is priced up in LAA and hitting low in the lineup. Scooter Gennett (CIN) gets a tougher matchup with Arrieta and a great Cubs bullpen. Daniel Murphy (WAS) is left on left against Keuchel. It’s difficult to find pivots off Dozier. Our favorite in tournaments is Eduardo Nunez (BOS) who has been leading off and gets a good matchup for SB upside against Trevor Bauer. Nunez doesn’t carry this eligibility on DK where our preferences will turn to whatever Cubs 2B eligible option takes the field (Zobrist or Happ) as the pivot off Dozier.

Third Base

Kris Bryant (CHC) leads the projections by a wide margin at third base but we’re uncertain if he’ll be able to go after missing Wednesday’s game. Tommy La Stella (CHC) filled in nicely for the Cubs and against another soft RHP matchup it’s possible the Cubs give Bryant another day. La Stella is hovering around the bare minimum on FD ($2,200) and could substantially open up spending on the slate. La Stella also carries 2B/3B eligibility on DraftKings which would make him an intriguing play in a good lineup spot. The rest of the third base targets are uninspiring. On DraftKings, Eduardo Escobar (MIN) carries 3B eligibility while it’s Jorge Polanco (MIN) on FanDuel. The Twins have moved their lineup spots around against RHP of late and we’re unsure where they’ll move against Holland. If either one lands in a premium lineup spot, the neutral price tags are OK given the elite matchup. Jedd Gyorko (STL) and Anthony Rendon (WAS) are the most stable alternatives. Neither has an elite matchup, nor an elite price tag, but they hit in the middle of the order and have strong independent skill sets. Adrian Beltre (TEX) and Rafael Devers (BOS) are higher upside tournament targets given their recent form and slightly softer matchups for power upside.

Shortstop

The shortstop position is largely dependent on the lineup the Twins run out. Eduardo Escobar (MIN) is the primary target as he carries SS eligibility on both FanDuel and DraftKings. If Polanco is the one with the good lineup spot, things get dicey on FanDuel. Elvis Andrus (TEX) and Paul DeJong (STL) are the best targets but both feel a little pricey.  On DraftKings, things only get messy if neither Twins SS-eligible player is in a good lineup spot.

For tournaments, the power upside of DeJong, Andrelton Simmons (LAA), and Javier Baez (CHC) are the most intriguing pivots.

Outfield

Mike Trout (LAA) is of course the top projected scorer in the outfield but with spending emphasize at other positions, he’s strictly a tournament target.

Kyle Schwarber (CHC) and Byron Buxton (MIN) are projecting just below Trout with far softer price tags. Both hitters get strong lineup spots, with the platoon advantage, on the road, while hitting in lineups that have the highest implied totals. These are not difficult plays and both represent potential building blocks in the outfield.

The final outfield spot on each site is a bit more site and price-dependent. On FanDuel, Cameron Maybin (LAA) is cheap ($2,600) for a leadoff hitter with the platoon edge against Martin Perez. In that same game, Shin Soo Choo (TEX) is relatively affordable against a below average righty ($3,400). On both sites, the Cubs leadoff hitter Jon Jay (CHC) carries a soft price tag. Jay isn’t a particularly skilled hitter and doesn’t have big upside but his context helps elevate the projection above his skills. On DraftKings, Mookie Betts (BOS) is unusually cheap ($4,400) and even if you can’t afford him for cash games, he’s an exceptional tournament target against Trevor Bauer‘s combination of walks, fly balls, and struggles holding base-runners. On both sites, Ben Zobrist (CHC) would represent more of a secondary target in the outfield given neutral pricing but a relatively solid matchup.

In tournaments, ownership in the outfield should concentrate on Twins and Cubs, which makes pivots more obvious. In general, the outfield plays will correlate more with the stacks section but Texas, Houston, and Boston all have outfielders at accessible pivot price points.

Stacks

Tier One

1) Chicago Cubs

2) Minnesota Twins

The Cubs and Twins represent the clear chalk on this slate as both teams have implied run totals over 5.5, are guaranteed nine innings of plate appearances, and are facing ravaged pitching staffs. The Cubs are a bit more talented lineup but the lack of a DH, the Bryant injury, and the White Sox horrific pen evens things out a bit. In cash games, you’ll want to emphasize these offenses. In tournaments, you’ll need to find spots to differentiate on a small slate.

Tier Two

3) St. Louis Cardinals

4) Texas Rangers

5) Boston Red Sox

Boston looks like the best contrarian target on this slate with slightly reduced price tags on the whole but very few plays standing out as elite plays. Given Bauer’s reliance on strikeouts and the Red Sox strong ability to avoid strikeouts, it’s possible they are able to drive up his pitch count early. With Andrew Miller sidelined, the Cleveland bullpen is a little more vulnerable in the middle innings and the Red Sox should carry modest ownership.

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