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August 25 MLB DFS: Fo Shizzo My Rizzo
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Welcome to August 25 MLB DFS action here at DailyRoto. Below you’ll find our Daily Fantasy Baseball Premium podcast for August 25 MLB DFS along with our LIVE Premium Chat and cliff notes. Make sure you’re using our customizable projections tool, you’re actively participating in the live chat, and you’re reviewing the cliff notes to supplement your research and roster construction process. Very best of luck in tonight’s action!

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August 25 MLB DFS Position Timestamps
03:02 Starting Pitcher
11:21 Catcher
13:31 First Base
16:01 Second Base
17:55 Third Base
21:08 Shortstop
23:45 Outfield
28:18 Stacks

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CUSTOMIZABLE PROJECTIONS WITH VALUE RATINGS CLICK HERE

  • In cash games, we recommend focusing on value plays to build your rosters (far right hand column of Projections page linked above). Value plays are those we feel have the highest probability of out-earning their current price tag. By packing value plays into your roster, you’re creating a team with a higher floor.
  • In tournaments, we recommend building a core of the best value plays and then complementing them with players who have a high ceiling. This combination is essentially turning up the variance on a strong foundation and we believe often is the best recipe for tournament success.

August 25 MLB DFS CLIFF NOTES

 Starting Pitcher

For full SP rankings, see our projections: https://dailyroto.com/mlb-customizable-projections

It’s a tight battle up top in terms of raw total projections as Zack Greinke (ARI), Jose Quintana (CHW), Justin Verlander (DET), and Jacob deGrom (NYM) all project with 1 DK point of each other. Pricing on the top pitchers on DK is actually pretty appropriate for a change. You don’t need one of these four for cash games, but if you do spend up here, Quintana is the best combination of price and projection. He’s a heavy -180 favorite against a Phillies team ranking 26th in wRC+ against LHP. Quintana currently boasts a career high 25.3 K%. There’s some concern that isn’t sustainable (plate discipline data has not improved), but the shift to the NL helps to mitigate that.

On FD, you’re probably anchoring your team with one of Quintana or Zack Greinke, who rate as our top two values on that site. The only knock against Greinke is his unfavorable home park, but he’s the largest favorite on the slate at -230 and possesses the lowest IRTA of the top group at 3.6. While the Giants won’t boost opposition K rate, they’ve been terrible as an offense this season ranking second last in wRC+ against RHP.

Both Verlander (K rate on the rise, good matchup) and deGrom (volatile K rate leaves him with one of the higher ceilings, Washington lineup watered down) are GPP plays.

The best industry wide value play is Michael Wacha (STL). He’s a lock on DK, and the clear-cut alternative on FD if you choose not to pay up at the position. Wacha faces a Tampa Bay team that will be without the DH and strikes out a hefty 24.7 percent of the time against RHP. Wacha’s struggled in recent starts, but it’s two road games against three contact oriented offenses. His velocity continues to trend in the correct direction, and the recent batted ball data is fine.

Two mid-tier values you can use alongside Wacha if you want to spend heavily on bats are Rick Porcello (BOS) and JA Happ (TOR). Neither is all that safe from a run prevention standpoint, but we’re pegging both solid favorites with plus K projections. Porcello’s ability to pitch deeper into games, even if it’s not a clean outing, helps his stock as well. Happ is an excellent tournament play at the very least; he’s struck out 8 or more batters in three of his last four starts.

Lagging just behind Porcello and Happ is Adam Conley (MIA). It’s tough to over-adjust Conley after just one strong outing and no discernable trend behind it, but it was a heck of an outing. Conley struck out 11 with a 17.7 SwStr%, and he now has one of the most favorable DFS matchups against the Padres.

Catcher

Once again, Gary Sanchez (NYY) tops our projections at the catcher position in a matchup against a power prone pitcher in Yankee Stadium. He’s expensive, but he’s very much a part of the tournament conversation in this slate.

The cash game conversation at the position surrounds cheap guys like Chris Gimenez (MIN), Salvador Perez (KC), J.T. Realmuto (MIA) (on FD) and Chris Iannetta (ARI) (on FD) if he hit second once again. We prefer the better skilled hitters like Perez or Realmuto, but Gimenez is fine on DK given the projected lineup spot (fifth) at a cheaper price tag.

Alex Avila (CHC) with the platoon edge in a good hitting environment throws him in the tournament conversation as well. If he hit closer to the middle of the lineup (like fifth) he would sneak into the cash game conversation on FD.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) will have the platoon edge in Philadelphia against Jerad Eickhoff, who’s allowed a .353 wOBA and .214 ISO to LHBs since 2015. Rizzo is the top projected scorer regardless of position in this slate and he’s a phenomenal cash game play.

Miguel Cabrera (DET) gives you plenty of salary relief around the industry. He has a strong context (Miguel Gonzalez in Chicago) and his HHR has been on the rise of late. Cabrera was involved in an ugly scuffle with the Yankees last night, so there’s a good chance he’ll be suspended. If he’s in the lineup though he’ll be the best value at the position on both sites.

Kendrys Morales (TOR) (on DK), Hanley Ramirez (BOS) (on FD) are other ways of getting salary relief at the position and still hold some upside. Wil Myers (SD) is really cheap on DK but we prefer him in tournaments given the low IRT for the Padres tonight.

Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) is really expensive, but he’s an excellent pivot from Rizzo in tournaments. Goldy will have the platoon edge against Ty Blach in Chase Field. Justin Smoak (TOR) deserves tournament recognition against Bartolo Colon. His price tag is a little bit more friendly now around the industry.

Second Base

Eduardo Nunez (BOS) edges Brian Dozier (MIN) and Jose Altuve (HOU) in projection in this slate at second base. Dozier and Nunez should only be utilized in tournaments, while Nunez is the cash game option. He’s leading off for a Red Sox team that are back at home with an IRT of 5.6 runs and he gives you event upside out of that leadoff spot. We love him in cash games.

If you’re looking to save salary, Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) (on DK) and Jose Ramirez (CLE) (on FD) are fine alternatives. They both hit in good lineup spots and Ramirez is part of a Cleveland team with a strong IRT of five runs.

Ian Kinsler (DET) can be used in tournaments as a pivot from the expensive options. Kinsler’s HHR is on the rise (24% over the L15) and his context is strong as a road leadoff hitter in good hitting environment.

Third Base

Kris Bryant (CHC) and Josh Donaldson (TOR) are essentially tied in projection and they carry the top projections at third base. A good tie breaker here in cash games is Donaldson’s HHR is up to 37.5% over the L15 and he’s at home (Rogers Centre) facing over the hill Bartolo Colon. Eduardo Nunez (BOS) has 3B eligibility on DK where he’s a fine alternative though we prefer him at second base.

Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) is $2,400 on FD in a road matchup against the underwhelming A.J. Cole. If you’re in need of saving salary in cash games at the position, he’s the best route.

Freddie Freeman (ATL) is in SunTrust Park with the platoon edge. Chad Bettis does have some reverse splits, but Freeman is too good of a hitter to simply ignore him in what’s at worst an average matchup. We like him in tournaments.

There’s a chance that Nicholas Castellanos (DET) can move up the lineup with an impending suspension coming for Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is $3,000 on FD and he would join the cash game conversation should he hit cleanup.

Shortstop

Corey Seager (LAD) and Francisco Lindor (CLE) are the top projected scorers at the shortstop position, but they’re not in our radars in cash games. We prefer them in tournaments.

We’re trying to save salary at the position. Adam Rosales (ARI) would be an obvious route of saving resources should he hit second with the platoon edge, but he did hit eight last time vs. a LHP. Rosales has punt prices around the industry and Ty Blach allows plenty of contact.

Marcus Semien (OAK) is $3,300 on DK, where you might be able to get up to him in cash games over Rosales. He has a matchup vs. A.J. Griffin, who’s very power prone no matter where he pitches.

If we don’t get Rosales in a good lineup spot, it’s fine to pivot to Eduardo Escobar (MIN) on FD where he’s sub $3,000. Xander Bogaerts (BOS) and Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) are fine alternatives on DK.

Outfield

Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) with the platoon edge. Against Travis Wood. In the middle of an absurd stretch (39.4% HHR over the L15). Oh by the way – Stanton has a .418 wOBA, .349 ISO baseline in this split. Do what you will with that information.

Kyle Schwarber (CHC), Starling Marte (PIT), Andrew McCutchen (PIT), Justin Upton (DET), Mookie Betts (BOS) (on FD) and A.J. Pollock (ARI) (nice price tag on FD) represent a big group of mid-tier targets in this slate. They’re our preferred routes in cash games. The contextual factors for this group are very strong. Marte and McCutchen have the biggest park shifts since they’re in Cincinnati tonight and they have a matchup against Robert Stephenson, who’s allowed a massive 26% hard minus soft hit rate this season.

Jose Bautista (TOR) is just $3,400 on DK and he’s at home facing Bartolo Colon. He’s a fine way of saving some salary in your last OF spot. Jon Jay (CHC) (on DK) and Carlos Gonzalez (COL) (on FD) are other cheap routes to consider in this slate.  

Stacks

Tier One

1) Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are our preferred stack and with several teams boasting slightly higher IRTs, we’re hopefully they’re not too chalky. The Cubs will likely roll out a bevy of LHBs against the wide splits of Jerad Eickhoff, who has allowed a .353 wOBA and .214 ISO to LHBs since 2015.

Tier Two

2) Boston Red Sox

3) Arizona Diamondbacks

4) Toronto Blue Jays

5) Pittsburgh Pirates

The Diamondbacks are our favorite stack here. Paul Goldschmidt and AJ Pollock each have massive event upside holding the platoon edge against Ty Blach, who has a pitifully low 11.4 K%. Additionally you’ll get power upside from JD Martinez and probably one cheap option from a scarce position hitting in a good lineup spot (Iannetta or Rosales).

The Pirates could go overlooked because of the lower IRT for this tier (4.6), but they receive a massive park shift. Robert Stephenson is both a bad pitcher (6.45 career FIP despite spending more than half his appearances in relief) who could force the bullpen to pitch more innings than usual (averaging roughly 5 IP per start).

Contrarian Stacks

-Oakland Athletics: It’s a bad hitting environment, but A.J. Griffin (2.25 HR/9 allowed this season, 2.12 last season) as a matchup should benefit an Oakland offense that has plenty of power bats (.195 ISO vs. RHP – third best mark in the league). We don’t believe this stack will have even modest ownership in a full slate of games.

-Houston Astros: With a negative park shift and cold bats, the Astros won’t be high owned. However they lead the league in homers and are seventh in steals, taking on Park Bridwell, who will regress given the large gap between his ERA and xFIP.

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