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August 26 MLB DFS: Jose, Jose, Jose, Jose
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Welcome to August 26 MLB DFS action here at DailyRoto. Below you’ll find our Daily Fantasy Baseball Premium podcast for August 26 MLB DFS along with our LIVE Premium Chat and cliff notes. Make sure you’re using our customizable projections tool, you’re actively participating in the live chat, and you’re reviewing the cliff notes to supplement your research and roster construction process. Very best of luck in tonight’s action!

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August 26 MLB DFS Position Timestamps
00:39 Starting Pitcher
07:01 Catcher
08:56 First Base
11:52 Second Base
16:46 Third Base
19:17 Shortstop
21:54 Outfield
25:16 Stacks

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CUSTOMIZABLE PROJECTIONS WITH VALUE RATINGS CLICK HERE

  • In cash games, we recommend focusing on value plays to build your rosters (far right hand column of Projections page linked above). Value plays are those we feel have the highest probability of out-earning their current price tag. By packing value plays into your roster, you’re creating a team with a higher floor.
  • In tournaments, we recommend building a core of the best value plays and then complementing them with players who have a high ceiling. This combination is essentially turning up the variance on a strong foundation and we believe often is the best recipe for tournament success.

August 26 MLB DFS CLIFF NOTES

 Starting Pitcher

For full SP rankings, see our projections: https://dailyroto.com/mlb-customizable-projections

What a rough starting pitcher slate. Madison Bumgarner (SF) tops our ranks, but he faces a good Diamondbacks team against LHP, is pitching in hitter friendly Arizona, and his velocity has been pretty meh since returning from the DL. The tag is so cheap on FD that he could be considered over there, but we prefer him for tournaments.

The next in line options are Kyle Hendricks (CHC), Dinelson Lamet (SD), and Carlos Rodon (CHW). For cash games, Hendricks makes the most sense from a floor perspective, even if the upside is limited relative to the tag. He’s a massive -205 favorite with just a 3.5 IRTA, both figures are slate bests. He has struck out 5 or 6 in four straight starts but the xFIPs point towards mediocrity.

Lamet and Rodon are great for tournaments. We prefer Rodon from a skill perspective, and there’s a chance our baselines are low given a nice game log that features some phenomenal GB and K rates here and there. The issue with Rodon is he once again has a poor matchup against a righty heavy Tigers team in his home park that is favorable for hitters. Lamet is not as talented but the K upside is there (29.5 K%), and he gets to pitch in a friendly NL park. Lamet has extreme splits, albeit over a small sample size, so it’ll be interesting to see how many RHBs are in the Marlins lineup.

On DK, the lack of strong values up top means it’s reasonable to use at least one SP spot on a cheaper option. Ross Stripling (LAD) has been pitching in relief, so there’s some uncertainty over how deep he’ll pitch. We’ll try to get clarity and shoot out a note in alerts. If it’s a bullpen game, he’s tough to use. If we can still eke out a full five innings, the price is very cheap against a K prone team in an environment that will depress run scoring.

Mike Clevinger (CLE) is a volatile SP due to his low GB rate and high BB rate. However, he’s too cheap for a 26.6 K% against a Royals offense ranking 22nd in wRC+ against RHP.

Sean Newcomb (ATL) is a GPP option due to a combination of a solid K rate and a Rockies team that is middle of the pack in wRC+ against LHP but Ks a lot in that split.

On FD, Taijuan Walker (ARI) is underpriced at $7,100. We prefer him in tournaments, but he’s actually our top projected per dollar value against a meek Giants team.

Catcher

Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (especially if hitting fifth) and Buster Posey (SF) are clearly the top plays at the catcher position, with Alex Avila (CHC) just behind them in projection. Posey is getting a massive park shift (from the worst hitting environment in all of baseball, to a top five hitting environment) and the price tags are pretty tame on him. We’d prefer if Avila could get closer to the middle of the lineup, but even if he hit sixth that’s fine given the context (platoon edge against a bad pitcher in Philadelphia).

James McCann (DET) (.228 ISO baseline vs. LHP) and Salvador Perez (KC) are other targets at the position with upside that you can consider in tournaments.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) projects as the top scorer in this slate regardless of position. His context is very similar to last night’s – platoon edge against Ben Lively, a pitcher with fly ball tendencies that has generated a 10.3% K rate through eight starts this season with an ugly 5.73 xFIP. Rizzo is once again a strong play in all formats.

Miguel Cabrera (DET) is the top point per dollar value at the position for the second consecutive night. He’s been suspended for seven games but he did appeal. If he’s in the lineup he’ll have the platoon edge in a strong hitting environment and he carries cheap price tags around the industry.

Rizzo and Cabrera are pretty clearly the cash game plays at the position, followed by a cluster of players. Edwin Encarnacion (CLE), Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) (bad matchup on paper but note that Bumgarner hasn’t been his dominant self this season and velo has been down over L3), Jose Abreu (CWS) (HHR up to 37.5% over the L15) and Lucas Duda (TB) (if in the lineup in the NL) all belong in the tournament conversation.

Second Base

Jose Ramirez (CLE) edges Jose Altuve (HOU) for the top honors at second base. Altuve with the platoon edge is always appealing, but an appropriate price tag makes him a better target in tournaments. Ramirez is clearly the cash game play, particularly on FD where he’s priced too affordably ($2,900). He’ll be very chalky, but you’re not avoiding him in cash  games.

On DK, Ian Kinsler (DET) enters the cash game conversation. Kinsler is leading off on the road with the platoon edge (albeit against an SP we don’t want to pick on too much in cash) and he’s $4,000 on that site.

DJ LeMahieu (COL) is on the road but will have the platoon edge and has a good price tag on FD. He’s fine in tournaments on that site. If Yolmer Sanchez (CWS) hits second you can consider him in tournaments given the favorable context.

Third Base

Kris Bryant (CHC) is clearly the top play at third base. The HHR is on the rise and Ben Lively as a matchup is perfect. Lively currently has a 6% HR/FB rate, and we believe that he’s gotten very lucky in that department (40.7% FB rate). Play Bryant in all formats.

The alternative to Bryant is an appropriately priced Nolan Arenado (COL), who’s on the road albeit with the platoon edge. We think of Nolan as purely a GPP pivot in this slate.

If you’re considering going towards cheaper routes then Nicholas Castellanos (DET) (scratched last night) and Yolmer Sanchez (CWS) (if hitting in a good lineup spot – 3B eligibility on DK) are fine alternatives. Jose Ramirez (CLE) has 3B eligibility on DK, where he’s the better pivot. All in all, we prefer playing Bryant over these alternatives in cash games.

Shortstop

Francisco Lindor (CLE) is the top projected scorer at the shortstop position in a good matchup and a good hitting environment, but he’s too expensive. We prefer him in tournaments.

We’re going back to the well with Trevor Story (COL) with the platoon edge at cheap price tags. Story is in the punt territory on FD, where he’s $2,500. At this point, we know what Story is – he’ll swing and miss a bunch, but when he makes contact it’ll go a long way (18 HRs this season, which is a nice total for a SS).

Adam Rosales (ARI) would get the green light as a punt option if he hit in a good lineup spot.

We like Corey Seager (LAD) in tournaments. He won’t come at a discount, but he’s the best hitter in terms of skill at the position and he’ll have the platoon edge tonight vs. Zach Davies (15.3% K rate this season backed up by an ugly 6.9% SwStr%).

Outfield

George Springer (HOU) and Kyle Schwarber (CHC) represent the top projected scorers at the position, followed by the best hitter in all of baseball, Mike Trout (LAA). Schwarber has our attention once again tonight in Philadelphia with the platoon edge (homered last night, draws another strong matchup) but Springer is just $3,700 on FD and he’s a road leadoff hitter with plenty of event upside. The price tag is more appropriate on DK but you might be able to squeeze him in anyways. If you can’t, Jay Bruce (CLE) is a perfect fall back option hitting cleanup with the platoon edge against a power prone pitcher.

Matt Kemp (ATL), Leury Garcia (CWS), A.J. Pollock (ARI) and Jarrett Parker (SF) (on DK) are fine OF3 targets around the industry. Garcia wasn’t in the lineup last night, so you’ll want to double check his availability tonight. Kemp stands out the most on FD thanks to a $2,800 price tag. He’ll have the platoon edge at home where temps remain hotter than most of the environments tonight (Atlanta – mid 80s temps). Nick Delmonico (CWS) was scratched last night, but if he’s in the lineup he can be thrown into the OF3 conversation as well with a good price tag on FD.

Stacks

Tier One

1) Chicago Cubs

Ben Lively has been pitiful missing bats, and his run prevention is currently being saved by an unsustainably low 6.1 HR/FB%.

Tier Two

2) Colorado Rockies

3) Detroit Tigers

4) Cleveland Indians

5) Los Angeles Dodgers

This is a weird tier as we like two of the pitchers these teams are going against in tournaments – Newcomb and Rodon. However, hitter’s parks and pitcher volatility means the offenses of the Rockies and Tigers are in play as well. The Rockies have one of the highest 15-Day Hard percentages on the slate, and Newcomb has high BB and HR rates.

Tier Three

6) Arizona Diamondbacks

7) Chicago White Sox

8) Houston Astros

The White Sox have a much higher IRT relative to where we have them ranked.

The Diamondbacks are our favorite contrarian stack for all the reasons we’re worried about using Bumgarner in cash games.

 

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