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August 26 MLB DFS: LOST Without Smoak Monster

August 26 MLB DFS: LOST Without Smoak Monster
DAILY FANTASY RUNDOWN
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 26 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: No weather related delays or ppds expected today as the stretch of quiet weather continues.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Cash game targets (in order of preference, salary aside):

1) Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – The catcher position is a good one to fill out last today, as there are several similar per dollar values and it makes sense to simply hone in on the one that fits best after filling out the rest of your roster. Salary aside, Schwarber is the top target. His power (.296 IS) is supported by a whopping 42.7 hard hit rate and a solid fly ball tilt (.81 GB/FB ratio). While the park factor is terrible for him today, it’s also leading to a reduced price tag on sites that take that into account (DraftKings). He’ll gave the platoon edge on Jake Peavy, who has always been fly ball oriented, and that’s becoming more of a problem now that he’s missing less bats as he ages (career low 17.6 K percentage, 7.4 SwStr rate and 89.8 average fastball velocity).

2) Russell Martin/Dioner Navarro (TOR) – If unable to afford Schwarber, I like targeting the Toronto catching situation. It’s a great way to get exposure to a Blue Jays lineup that has a healthy team total approaching five as they take on Colby Lewis (4.46 xFIP) and a bad Rangers bullpen (third highest ERA, seventh highest xFIP) in Texas. Martin has been dealing with a nagging leg injury, so that’s something to be aware of, but both are low cost exposures to this offense with one of them likely hitting top six in the order.

3) Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) – Lucroy has hit three homers over his past two games and eight total hits over his past four games. While a mini-hot streak isn’t reason alone to use Lucroy, it’s nice to see the bat come alive as we’ve been anticipating a rebound at the plate for some time (BABIP, HR/FB rates are normalizing). He’s not in a great matchup today (R/R, negative park shift) but his overall skill set and spot in the order still make him a go to cash play against a pitcher (Cody Anderson (CLE)) that won’t miss any bats.

4) John Jaso (TB) – On FanDuel, Jaso’s on base skills are rewarded more heavily, and he has a bare minimum price tag. He’ll have the platoon edge on rookie Tyler Duffey, who has been a bit wild through three starts. Duffey’s Minor League numbers suggest better overall control and solid ability, but he may simply not be ready yet. Duffey is backed up by a subpar Twins bullpen that has the ninth highest ERA and highest xFIP.

Additional catcher notes: Victor Martinez (DET) is viable on FanDuel where he retains catcher eligibility. Martinez is having a very bad year as both his quality of contact and plate discipline have dropped off dramatically from 2014. The silver lining for Martinez is similar batted ball distribution, and the struggles seem to be having a smaller impact on his production against LHP (he’ll face Hector Santiago). Industry wide tournament options include Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (we’re extremely high on the Dodgers offense facing David Holmberg in Cincinnati) and Yadier Molina (STL) (reduced power keeps him from being a cash game play but he holds the platoon edge in Arizona, which is a significant positive park shift).

First Base

Top Play: Miguel Cabrera (DET) (top play in our model, but only a secondary value due to cost and teams we’re placing a higher emphasis on)

Next in line: In cash games an emphasis on high priced pitching will likely lead me to focusing on low to mid-tier value plays. However, if you can find Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) and Jose Abreu (CHW) available at reduced price tags they are viable in cash and certainly strong tournament options across the industry. As we’ve touched on this month, Encarnacion has rediscovered his power stroke. According to FanGraphs, Encarnacion’s GB rate has dropped from 40.5 to 28.1 over the season’s second half while his hard hit rate has risen from 27.5 percent to 44.9. He faces the homer prone Colby Lewis in Texas. Abreu faces Rick Porcello who has unsuccessfully traded off ground balls and weak contact in an effort to miss more bats. The result has been a career worst 5.81 ERA and 32.3 hard hit rate.

Value Plays:

Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) – After seeing some power decline in 2012 and 2013, Gonzalez is now posting his second straight season with a .200-plus ISO, and it’s the third straight season his BB rate has increased. That makes us feel comfortable from an overall perspective, but it’s sometimes difficult to take a hitter in a L/L matchup. I think those concerns are mitigated for a variety of reasons. For starters, while Gonzalez is certainly worse against LHP, he’s not anemic, posting a .337 wOBA and .162 ISO for his career. Secondly, the park shift is massive; Cincinnati is the best hitter’s park in play tonight. Finally, and most importantly, the Dodgers as a team are primed for success as David Holmberg is terrible. In 13 career appearances (11 starts) at the MLB level, Holmberg has walked more batters than he has struck out and allowed 2.31 HR/9. Both ZiPS and Steamer call for a continuation of his 5-plus ERA and around 1.47 HR/9. It’s a small sample size (68 left-handed batters faced), but Holmberg’s issues have extended to same handed batters. LHBs have a .377 wOBA and 2.03 HR/9 against Holmberg. Again, the sample size is too small to be reliable, but those results in conjunction with Holmberg’s overall skills soothe our concerns over the L/L matchup.

Adam Lind (MIL) – At the same price as Gonzalez, I prefer Gonzalez. However, on some sites Lind is meaningfully cheaper, which makes him a viable cash option. Opposing pitcher Cody Anderson got off to a hot start in 2015 (four straight quality starts), but it was mostly the result of a very fortunate BABIP. In his past four starts, he has given up a combined 20 earned runs. Anderson’s biggest issue is an inability to miss bats, as he’s striking out a very low 10.4 percent of batters. Lind has always flashed strong splits against RHP, posting a career .370 wOBA and .217 ISO. Those numbers have improved the past three seasons.

Justin Smoak (TOR) – Salary aside, Smoak ranks below Lind and Gonzalez, but he’s my primary target for cash games. He just makes a ton of sense from a roster construction standpoint as he individually has a lot of power upside (good park, Lewis has always been homer prone), gives you exposure to the Blue Jays offense (team total approaching five) and has a cheap price tag that meshes well with our emphasis on top tier pitching in cash games.

Additional first base notes: Freddie Freeman (ATL) is another hitter in a L/L matchup that is still viable due to overall skills of the hitter and pitcher as well as a mid-tier price tag. Adam LaRoche (CWS) is the best alternative cheap value play to Justin Smoak if Smoak finds himself out of the lineup. Porcello has always struggled with LHBs, creating a great opportunity for LaRoche. We’re just hesitant to use him frequently due to his poor peripherals this season, which is why Smoak takes precedence.

Second Base

Cheap Play:

Darnell Sweeney (PHI) – Sweeney is not available on FanDuel but is the bare minimum on some sites around the industry, including DraftKings and DraftDay. Leading off at a bare minimum price with the platoon edge on Bartolo Colon (4.24 xFIP against LHBs, 18 percent hard minus soft hit rate) is enough to make a second baseman a very viable punt in cash games. However, Minor League numbers indicate Sweeney has some additional upside beyond simply being cheap and in a good spot. The switch hitting 24 year old rookie has always displayed a decent combination of both power and speed. At AAA this season, he homered nine times while stealing 32 bases in 116 games. The previous year he had 29 combined homers and steals in 132 AA games. Sweeney’s issue is he’ll strike out often, leaving you with some goose egg DFS performances. However, he’ll take a walk and his power/speed upside at this tag fits great into today’s roster construction (spend on pitching).

Additional second base notes: If you don’t trust Sweeney or he’s not available on the site you’re playing at, second base is a perfect position today to take advantage of specific site pricing/eligibility. Not a lot of industry wide values pop, but there are a handful of players you can find cheap and with second base eligibility somewhere. The main targets here are Justin Turner (LAD) (has been hitting third or fourth for the Dodgers, awesome matchup in Cincinnati against David Holmberg), Chris Coghlan (CHC) (hits third for a high upside Cubs offense; bad park but Peavy is having his struggles as mentioned above in Schwarber’s blurb) and Kelly Johnson (NYM) (fifth for the Mets, and we expect Philadelphia RHP Jerad Eickhoff to have a tough time with LHBs). Make sure you pay attention price and eligibility for those three players. Two players who rate as secondary values but are most consistently priced around the industry are Jason Kipnis (CLE) and Scooter Gennett (MIL). Kipnis’ price is as low as hit has been in some time, and he’ll face Milwaukee RHP Jimmy Nelson (.357 wOBA, 1.30 HR/9 allowed to LHBs). Gennett is an acceptable cheap play hitting sixth. He has decent skills against RHP, and Cody Anderson, in addition to his inability to strike hitters out, has allowed a .345 wOBA to LHBs in a small sample size. We’d be much higher on Gennett if he moves back to the leadoff spot. UPDATE: Gennett is leading off.

Shortstop

Top Play: Troy Tulowitzki (TOR) (individual results have been a bit disappointing since joining the Blue Jays, but between position scarcity (he’s the clear cut top shortstop on this slate), leading off for the best offense in the league and a great matchup in terms of park and opposing pitching staff, Tulowitzki should be considered in all formats, particularly in tournaments)

Value Play:

Jimmy Rollins (LAD) – With Rollins back in the leadoff spot for the Dodgers, he’s the most logical cash game play. At a scarce position, he simultaneously gives you cap relief while accessing a leadoff hitter in the best hitter’s park tonight, facing the worst pitcher and in one of the highest projected scoring lineups. Rollins is having a bad overall season, but a lot of his surface stats are negatively affected by a career worst .242 BABIP, despite a hard hit rate in line with his past five seasons. We don’t expect a ton of positive regression for the aging Rollins, but are anticipating the ROS batting average to be higher than his current .225 mark.

Additional shortstop notes: Jung-ho Kang (PIT) has some nice power upside against Marlins LHP Chris Narveson, who is making his first MLB start since 2012 and has logged just 22.2 innings at the MLB level from 2012 to present. For his career, Narveson has a 4.63 ERA and has allowed 1.15 HR/9, but obviously most of that data is old. He struggled at AAA this season, and we’re anticipating RHBs to get the southpaw. In a better park, we’d be higher on the Pirates offense as a whole. Jhonny Peralta (STL) remains incredibly cheap on FanDuel and is a viable alternative to Rollins where priced similarly. He holds the platoon edge and a great lineup spot in hitter friendly Arizona.

Third Base

Value Plays:

The best value plays at the third base position are two hitters I touched on in the second base section, Justin Turner (LAD) and Kelly Johnson (NYM). Turner has mid to low-mid price tag around the industry and will hold the platoon edge in Cincinnati against David Holmberg (.396 wOBA and 2.40 HR/9 allowed to 205 RHBs faced). Turner is having a great season as a career best 24.1 hard minus soft hit rate combined with elevating the ball (36.55 GB rate, 45.9 for his career) has led to a lot of power (.231 ISO).

Johnson, as mentioned earlier, has moved up in the order against RHP with Duda out. He garners a top five lineup spot for a Mets team experiencing a positive park shift on the road in Philadelphia. As noted below in the additional pitcher notes, DailyRoto prospect contributor Mike Diaz believes that Philadlphia pitcher Jerad Eickhoff‘s lack of a quality changeup will lead to problems against LHBs as it did in his debut. That meshes with the pessimistic ZiPS projection for Eickhoff against LHBs: .377 wOBA and .213 ISO.

Additional third base notes: I’m not a fan of spending up at the position today, but the one higher priced third baseman that deserves some cash game consideration is David Wright (NYM). On FanDuel, Todd Frazier (CIN) remains dramatically underpriced. Despite his recent cold streak, he’s tough to fade at home against a contact oriented LHP (Brett Anderson) at just a $2,800 price tag. Additional tournament options include Josh Donaldson (TOR) (great matchup and insane price tag could give you an incredibly high upside player at low ownership), Adrian Beltre (TEX) (faces a great pitcher but still pretty cheap for holding the platoon edge at home), Jake Lamb (ARI) (cheap power upside against RHP and always carries low ownership) and Josh Harrison (PIT) (will go overlooked due to lineup spot).

Outfield

Top Play:

Andrew McCutchen (PIT) – While there’s an emphasis in today’s content in paying up for starting pitching, there are enough low priced value plays at other positions where it’s possible to pay up at one of your outfield spots without sacrificing pitching. If going that route, McCutchen is the high priced outfielder to target. We talked about Chris Narveson‘s lack of recent track record and subpar results when he did compile MLB stats (mostly 2010 and 2011). The best way to get some exposure to this Pirates offense against Narveson (4.5 team total) without stacking is to lock in on their best hitter. McCutchen has absolutely terrorized southpaws throughout his career, posting a 171 wRC+ and .241 ISO. Teammate Starling Marte (PIT) also carries a boatload of upside, but his price tag is rapidly rising.

Value Plays:

Yasiel Puig/Scott Van Slyke (LAD) – Both Puig and Slyke have top five lineup spots in Cincinnati and very affordable price tags across the industry. I’ve done nothing to hide my affinity for picking on David Holmberg, and this is perhaps the best spot to do it. Puig is too cheap as it is; both ZiPS and Steamer project for meaningful bumps in ISO and BA over the rest of the season. Slyke is a bit of a pinch hit risk, but his low price tag and the significant upside just two or three at bats against Holmberg provides keeps him a primary cash game option.

Cheap Play:

Jonny Gomes (ATL) – Gomes is near minimum salary on most sites, and if he remains the team’s cleanup hitter against LHP he makes for a nice power upside punt play. Gomes has always been a platoon specialist, posting a career wOBA of just .311 against RHP but .373 against LHP. He’ll face LHP Yohan Flande of Colorado tonight. While Flande is outside of Coors Field, his .337 wOBA allowed to RHBs since 2013 (only Holmberg and Verlander have a worse split) and 1.33 HR/9 makes this a great splits play.

Additional outfield notes: While Gomes is a nice cheap option, if you go a more balanced route in the outfield you can eschew him and focus on some other industry wide targets: Curtis Granderson (NYM) (nice power upside for a leadoff hitter, expected struggled for Eickhoff against LHBs, second highest team total), Rajai Davis (DET) (strong career splits against LHP, should lead off, possesses significant speed upside) and Ryan Braun (MIL) (provides similar upside to the elite, high priced outfielders but carries a mid-high price tag. On DraftKings, Jason Bourgeois (CIN) is another cash game option at a punt price. He’ll hold the platoon edge and carries stolen base upside. Some additional option, best for tournament use unless you catch them significantly lower priced on site versus another, are JD Martinez (DET), Jose Bautista (TOR), Adam Eaton/Melky Cabrera (CHW), Mike Trout (LAA), Khris Davis (MIL) and David Peralta/Ender Inciarte (ARI).

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Chris Sale (CHW)

2) Chris Archer (TB)

Tier Two

3) Johnny Cueto (KC)

4) Gio Gonzalez (WAS)

5) David Price (TOR)

Tier Three

6) Kyle Hendricks (CHC)

7) Tyson Ross (SD)

8) Shelby Miller (ATL)

Tier Four

9) Justin Verlander (DET)

10) Jake Peavy (SF)

11) Patrick Corbin (ARI)

12) Jeff Locke (PIT)

13) Bartolo Colon (NYM)

14) Brett Anderson (LAD)

Top Play:

Chris Sale (CHW) – From a matchup perspective, this isn’t a great spot for Sale. He faces a Red Sox team that ranks sixth in wRC+ against LHP and strikes out less than the league average, all while pitching in one of the best hitting environments in baseball. However, some changes to the Red Sox lineup do make the matchup a bit more palatable. Pablo Sandoval (career 87 wRC+ against LHP, has only gotten worse past two seasons) has moved up to second in the order; he’s abandoned switch-hitting and only hitting from the left side. The team also seems intent on leaving rookie Travis Shaw in the five hole. This gives Sale three matchups against LHBs in the first five he faces, and Sale has allowed a minuscule .209 wOBA and monster 33.7 K percentage against LHBs since 2013. It’s still not a good matchup, but the order makes it a bit friendlier than the team stats on the season make it appear. If we’re being honest, though, this recommendation is simply about Sale’s dominance. His 33.6 K percentage is best in MLB, and he’s just one of three qualified starts with a K percentage north of 30.0. The only blemish for Sale appears to be run prevention that’s not quite in line with the league’s best pitchers (3.34 ERA). However, a closer look shows a FIP of 2.38 and xFIP of 2.46. While the park probably explains some of the discrepancy, Sale’s remarkable 0.0 hard minus soft hit rate indicates the ERA should at least be in line with expected ERAs. With awesome K upside, which is bolstered by having the most favorable pitcher ump in all of baseball tonight, and an ERA likely to drop moving forward, Sale is worth his expensive price tag in cash games.

Next in line:

Chris Archer (TB) – Archer, along with Sale, is one of the three qualified starting pitchers with a K percentage north of 30 percent. The huge jump in K rate for Archer is supported by a similarly huge jump in SwStr rate, from 9.3 percent last season to 13.6 this season. What’s most amazing to me about Archer’s increased dominance, is that it hasn’t had any ill affect on his control. In fact, his 6.3 BB rate is a career best and his GB rate has held steady. As a result of these skills and a favorable home matchup in a pitcher’s park, Archer ranks similarly to Sale in our model. The Twins are 26th in wRC+ against RHP and strike out a league average amount. The two are priced pretty closely together on most sites. In those cases, my lean is towards Archer’s skills. However, if you prefer a safer matchup or there is a meaningful price discount between Sale and Archer (DraftDay), Archer can definitely be used over Sale. Note that while both our expensive, on sites with wider salary spreads it’s still possible to play Sale and Archer together.

Value Play:

Gio Gonzalez (WAS) – If you want to go the value route on one starting pitcher sites (I advise locking in Sale or Archer) or more likely need cap relief out of a second pitcher on multi-SP sites, Gonzalez is your guy. While the Padres are better suited against LHP (best hitters are RHBs such as Kemp, Upton, Norris), they still rank just 26th in wRC+ against southpaws. Perhaps most importantly, they are striking out 23.8 percent of the time against LHP, the second highest mark in MLB. As a result, Gonzalez has the third highest projected K rate in our model for today, trailing only Sale and Archer. Gonzalez himself hasn’t had a very strong year. His K rate is down a bit, and his ERA is his highest since 2009. However, there’s reason for optimism. Gonzalez’s K rate is still above league average, and his league average hard minus soft hit rate indicates that his ERA (3.98) should probably lay somewhere between his FIP (3.15) and xFIP (3.60). With some expected correction there and the strong matchup, Gonzalez is a very viable second starting pitcher.

Tournament Play:

Justin Verlander (DET) – Similar to Nathan Eovaldi the other night, I’m not ready to use Justin Verlander in cash games (especially given an unfavorable umpire and high opportunity cost at the position), but there are signs in his recent game log that suggest he may have figured things out. When Verlander was initially activated off of the DL, he was someone we were actively picking on thanks to very low K rate and high hard hit rate. Things have certainly changed since then. Verlander failed to exceed a K percentage of 10 in his first three starts. In his last five starts he has four games with a K percentage of 26.9 or higher. Verlander also yielded hard hit rates of 37.5, 22.2 and 40.0 in his first three starts. Over his last five starts, he has held opponents to a hard hit rate of 19.2 percent or lower in four of them. The dramatic turnaround along with the innings pitched upside he’s shown recently, makes Verlander a viable tournament option.

Additional starting pitcher notes: An unfavorable umpire and lower K rate has Johnny Cueto (KC) a clear tier below Sale/Archer, but if you want to spend a bit more on hitting, the savings Cueto provides relative to Sale/Archer on DraftKings makes him a similar value. I’ll personally do the best I can to get in the upside of Sale. David Price‘s (TOR) skills (can throw a complete game or double digit strikeouts almost any time out) keeps him as a nice contrarian play, but a bad matchup/park and less K upside than Sale/Archer makes him a tournament option only at his price tag. Kyle Hendricks (CHC) is the best alternative value play option around Gonzalez’s price point. Hendricks allows less hard hit contact than the league average for his career, but has really taken a step forward this season (despite what the ERAs tell you) thanks to a bump in his K rate from 14.6 percent to 20.8. He’s pitching in the best pitcher’s park today. Tyson Ross (SD) and Shelby Miller (STL) are both high upside mid-tier options, but they’re simply too expensive to be considered values given their rankings relative to other options (Gonzalez, Hendricks are cheaper). Jake Peavy (SF) looks like age has caught up to him, but given the massive park and a team that will swing and miss, he’s tournament viable. Jeff Locke (PIT) is relatively safe for his price point on DraftKings and can be considered a secondary value there. On that site, Tyler Duffey (MIN) is playable in tournaments. Our prospect guy has some notes on Duffey and rookie Jerad Eickhoff (PHI):

Jerad Eickhoff (PHI)
Eickhoff is coming off a strong debut (6 IP 0R 1BB 5K) against a below average Miami Marlins offense. However, the numbers show that he was not as dominant as his overall line would indicate- SIERA (4.01), a xFIP (4.13), and only 4 swings and misses (75 pitches). Early indications show that Eickhoff will have trouble with lefties (9 ABs: 1K and 5 batters made hard contact). With his lack of a quality change-up, I could see this trend continuing. Eickhoff did show the ability to neutralize RH hitters (1-14 with 4Ks). Eickhoff is a fly ball pitcher who appears to be susceptible to LH hitters.
Tyler Duffey (MIN)
Since his MLB debut against the hard hitting Jays, Duffey has been much more effective in his last two starts. Duffey is less about stuff and more about command and keeping hitters off balance. He primarily is a FB/CB guy although he will show a quality change-up on occasion. When he is effective, Duffey is a ground ball pitcher that has some swing and miss potential (CB). So far his splits are not overly skewed (wOBA: vs LH- 363, vs RH-.306). Like most pitchers who lack big power stuff, Duffey needs to command the fastball well to set up his secondary pitches.

 

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Los Angeles Dodgers (prefer the Jays stack from a raw total standpoint but when taking into account salaries, the Dodgers stack possesses more value)

2) Toronto Blue Jays

3) New York Mets

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Pittsburgh Pirates

2) Chicago White Sox

3) Milwaukee Brewers (will be low owned due to team total, but they’re a road stack facing an extremely contact oriented pitcher and also get a lineup boost from being able to use a DH)

4) Arizona Diamondbacks (a team we haven’t touched on much at all in the analysis, but solid home hitting park and an opposing pitcher who is not pitching nearly as well as his ERA indicates (2.99 ERA, 3.99 xFIP) give this team solid upside at likely low ownership levels.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

SD at WSH 7:05: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind northwest 8-16 mph which blows from left to right or in from left at times. The wind is a 4 or a 5.

NYM at PHL 7:05: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind west-northwest 6-12 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

LAA at DET 7:08: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west-northwest 4-8 mph becoming nearly calm. The wind blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

MIL at CLE 7:10: Dry. Temps in the upper 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind northwest 5-10 mph lessening to 3-6 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.

COL at ATL 7:10: Dry. Temps near 80 falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind north 7-14 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.

LAD at CIN 7:10: Dry. Temps near 70 falling to near 60. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind north 3-6 mph becoming nearly calm. The wind blows out to right early. The wind is a 6 becoming a 5.

PIT at MIA 7:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed.

MIN at TB 7:10: Dome.

TOR at TEX 8:05: Dry. Temps in the low 90s falling into the low 80s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind southeast 5-10 mph lessening to 3-6 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.

BOS at CHW 8:10: Dry. Temps near 70 falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind east 5-10 mph which blows in from left-center. The wind is a 4.

BLT at KC 8:10: Dry. Temps near 80 falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind southeast 6-12 mph which blows from right to left or out to left at times. The wind is a 5 or a 6.

STL at AZ 9:40: Retractable roof. A 10-20% chance of a thunderstorm. Temps in the low 100s falling into the mid 90s. Air density is a 9. Wind west-southwest 6-12 mph which blows out to right or from left to right at times. The wind is a 5 or a 6.

CHC at SF 10:00: Dry. Temps in the low 70s falling into the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5. Wind west-northwest 12-25 mph lessening to 10-20 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is a 9 becoming an 8.

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