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August 31 MLB DFS: Snakes on a Field

August 31 MLB DFS: Snakes on a Field
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 31 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Monday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Glossary: See a term you’re unfamiliar with? Check out our glossary page. If there’s something you’d like to see added there, please email us at help@dailyroto.com.

Weather: Will have to watch COL for a delay threat. Does not look like a huge deal right now.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.

Catcher

Top Play:

Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – In 181 PAs at the major league level, Schwarber has accumulated a .383 wOBA/.276 ISO. It’s not surprising to see Schwarber have this much success in his first major league season. The lowest ISO he posted at the minor league level was .259 and his wOBA never dipped below .440. He will K (29 percent K rate) but his raw power is golden in DFS. A matchup against Michael Lorenzen (has surrendered a .440 wOBA/1.83 HR per 9 to 175 LHBs at the major league level) gives him immense amount of upside and diminishes the downside in Ks (Lorenzen’s 16 percent K rate is well below league average). On sites where Schwarber and Welington Castillo are priced similarly, Schwarber makes a bit more sense (he’s a much better hitter than Castillo).

Next in line:

Welington Castillo (ARI) – Castillo is priced correctly around the industry relative to his contextual factors. He won’t have the platoon edge but he will benefit from hitting in the best environment in baseball (Coors Field) and Chad Bettis isn’t any good (particularly against RHBs). Bettis owns a .391 wOBA/1.40 HR per 9 vs. RHBs and the bullpen behind him is the worst in baseball. Castillo is a nice cash game option around the industry, especially on a site like DraftDay where he’s meaningfully discounted relative to the top option (Schwarber).

Value Play:

Evan Gattis (HOU) – Gattis has catcher eligibility on FanDuel and he’s priced as an average hitter on that site. We’ll take advantage of that price point in a matchup against the underwhelming Vidal Nuno (.337 wOBA/1.52 HR per 9 allowed to RHBs in the last few seasons). Gattis isn’t a great hitter (.332 wOBA) but he has tons of power (.223 wOBA) and he doesn’t have wide platoon splits (wOBA/ISO are pretty much the same vs. RHP). He has been hitting in the best spot for DFS production (third), which only enhances his value. That catcher eligibility for Gattis on FanDuel is huge tonight since Castillo is a bit pricey and Schwarber isn’t catcher eligible on that site.

Additional catcher notes: Buster Posey (SFG) is one of the best hitters in baseball when he has the platoon edge and his price tag is depressed around the industry. Unfortunately, the matchup isn’t all that good (Brett Anderson doesn’t allow much power, in large part because he generates so many ground balls). This won’t stop us from using Posey in tournaments and on FanDuel he’s below the average price of a hitter (fine pivot in cash games). Yasmani Grandal (LAD) has been awful as of late (1 hit/11 Ks in his last 28 ABs) but his price now accounts for this (has a punt price on most sites). I view him as a decent secondary option if you need salary relief at the position but I’d rather pay up for the recommendations above.

First Base

Top Play:

Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) – Goldschmidt is the most expensive hitter on this slate yet he also rates as one of the best per dollar values. It’s the perks of going up against a below average pitcher/worst bullpen in baseball at Coors Field (the best hitting environment in baseball and it’s not close). I can assure you that it won’t be the last time you see Chad Bettis‘ name in our analysis today. Bettis is vulnerable to RHBs (.391 wOBA/1.40 HR per 9 allowed to 324 RHBs) and Goldschmidt has historically hit RHP well (.382 wOBA/.218 ISO). In fact, Goldschmidt has improved his skills a bit more vs. RHP this season (.408 wOBA/.231 ISO) and his elite combination of power/speed has translated to an average of double digit Fantasy points on DraftKings. If I’m paying up for one hitter tonight, it’s going to be Goldschmidt.

Next in line:

Anthony Rizzo (CHC) – On a site like FanDuel where Rizzo is meaningfully cheaper than Goldschmidt, he represents the best cash game pivot at the position. We touched on Michael Lorenzen earlier, in particular his struggles vs. LHBs (.440 wOBA/1.83 HR per 9). Rizzo has carried the level of success from last season (.397 wOBA/.240 ISO) into this season (.392 wOBA/.244 ISO) and he’s striking out less (15 percent K rate is a career best). He’s a high upside option in this matchup (and he’s cheaper than both Goldschmidt and David Ortiz on Yahoo) but admittedly, if paying full prices for a hitter, we prefer Goldschmidt (by far the best choice).

Value Play:

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz is meaningfully discounted to the top plays at the position on DraftKings, where I view him as a great play. While historical perspective will tell you that Ivan Nova has been pretty decent vs. LHBs (doesn’t allow power), this season paints a different picture entirely. Nova isn’t missing any bats (5.66 Ks per 9) and he’s not neutralizing LHBs any longer (.357 wOBA/-0.7 K per BB ratio). There’s a couple of reasons why I remain skeptical here; 1) It’s a pretty small sample relative to his historical data and 2) he’s coming off Tommy John Surgery. However, I can remain skeptical while accepting that currently, Nova simply isn’t the same pitcher. Our model has picked up on this (Ortiz ranks inside our top five hitters) and even though Ortiz got off to a very rocky start this season, he’s back to being the same dominant hitter (.363 wOBA/.251 ISO).

Additional first base notes: If you’re a believer of hot streaks, meet Edwin Encarnacion (TOR). He has hit eight home runs, four doubles and 25 RBIs in his last 10 games. Danny Salazar misses bats at an above normal rate but he struggles with power, particularly vs. RHBs (1.21 HR per 9 allowed to RHBs in the last few seasons). Encarnacion is a fine cash game pivot on sites where his price point is lower than Goldschmidt/Rizzo. His best use is in tournaments. Teammate Justin Smoak isn’t a very good hitter but he can hit for power. He’s a viable tournament target on sites where he’s priced as a punt. Kyle Parker (COL) has first base eligibility on DraftKings and he will likely have a top six spot vs. a LHP at Coors Field. That’s enough to consider him a good salary relief option regardless of his positional eligibility.

Second Base

Top Play

Jose Altuve (HOU) – Altuve is too cheap on FanDuel ($3,600) relative to his skills vs. LHP and a matchup against Vidal Nuno. We touched on Nuno earlier (.337 wOBA/1.52 HR per 9 allowed to RHBs) and Altuve is an elite hitter vs. LHP (.386 wOBA). He’s always a threat to steal (45-50 SB upside over a full season) and FanDuel doesn’t have any negative consequences for caught stealing. I’m not a big fan of spending at middle infield positions on full slates but Altuve’s asking price on FanDuel isn’t prohibitive in cash games and he carries upside thanks to his speed/skills vs. LHP.

Value Play:

Aaron Hill (ARI) – It’s pretty straightforward at second base today; spend on Altuve or use the cheaper option, Aaron Hill. We’re hoping that Hill obtains a top six spot in the Diamondbacks offense today. He’s very cheap on DraftKings and DraftDay (priced close to the minimum on the latter site) and even though he won’t have the platoon edge, Chad Bettis plus Coors Field are enough to make him a viable cash game target. The Diamondbacks have the largest implied run total on this slate (5.4 runs; about a full run more than the second best implied run total). On Fanduel, Hill is priced too closely to Altuve, which makes him a secondary target on that specific site.

Additional second base notes: Chris Coghlan (CHC) is a solid platoon player vs. RHP (.330 wOBA/.160 ISO vs. RHP in almost 1000 PAs) and we’ve already made it clear that Michael Lorenzen represents a strong matchup for the Cubs LHBs. I’d consider him a viable alternative to the written options above on sites where he’s priced at or below the average price of a hitter. Dee Gordon (MIA) is an elite tournament option against Mike Foltynewicz/A.J. Pierzynski behind the plate. Foltynewicz has been awful vs. LHBs (.411 wOBA surrendered to 237 LHBs) and Pierzynski is one of the worse catchers at controlling the run game (-14 rSB over the course of his career). Logan Forsythe (TB) will have the platoon edge against Wei-Yin Chen (home run prone) at Camden Yards. Forsythe is a fine tournament option for his asking price around the industry.

Shortstop

Top Play:

Jose Reyes (COL) (one of the better hitters vs. LHP on the Rockies side; priced fully around the industry but he’s at Coors Field and the Rockies have an implied run total of 5.3 runs, which makes him cash game viable)

Punt Play:

Marwin Gonzalez (HOU) – I probably won’t pay for Jose Reyes in cash games in large part because Gonzalez is close if not minimum priced on every site that I’ve checked. Gonzalez isn’t much of a hitter (.320 wOBA this season) but he has improved his power (.156 ISO this season; .121 ISO over his career). His power has improved because 1) he’s generating a bit more loft 2) he’s hitting the ball a tad harder and 3) his home run totals are a bit inflated (12.3 HR/FB rate; 8.9 HR/FB rate over his career). Whether his improvements in the power department are fluky or not is probably an unnecessary thought process relative to the asking price and lineup spot (usually hits second vs. LHP). Like second base, the most optimal route for success seems to be paying up for the top option or using the lower dollar value.

Additional shortstop notes: Troy Tulowitzki (COL) has some appeal in tournaments. As I mentioned earlier, Danny Salazar Ks a ton of hitters and he’s a good pitcher but he does struggle with power. Salazar is facing the best offense in baseball in one of the better hitting environments. At a thin position like shortstop, I don’t mind diversifying some of my tournament lineups with Tulowitzki as part of a Blue Jays stack.

Third Base

Top Play:

Nolan Arenado (COL) – Arenado’s power has taken a leap forward (.269 ISO is a career best) and the improvements are real. Arenado is generating a 45 percent FB rate and he’s entering those power prime years. At 24 years old, the elevated HR/FB rate (16 percent) makes sense. He has historically hit LHP well (.357 wOBA/.205 ISO) and we haven’t touched on his matchup at all in our analysis (that has a lot to do with the fact that the Rockies have an abundance of LHBs and they’re facing a LHP). Opposing pitcher Robbie Ray has figured out how to get Ks at a league average rate but I see three factors that will doom him in this environment; 1) he’s allowing a 37 percent hard hit rate and 2) his FB rate is close to 40 percent 3) his HR/FB rate is sitting at six percent. That HR/FB rate is due for some level of correction (league average is around 10 to 11 percent) and this environment is won’t help him. Arenado is priced nicely on DraftKings and DraftDay, where I view him as a very strong cash game play. He gives you access to a Rockies implied run total of 5.3 runs and he’s the best right-handed threat in this offense.

Next in line:

Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – (will have the platoon edge against the home run prone Eduardo Rodriguez at Fenway Park; he’s priced correctly on most sites but he’s close to the average price of a hitter on FanDuel, where he’s worthy of cash game consideration)

Value Play:

Jacob Lamb (ARI) – Lamb is the best industry wide value play at third base. He will have the platoon edge against Chad Bettis and even though the latter is a bit better vs. LHBs (.339 wOBA/0.91 HR per 9 allowed to LHBs), he’s not a good pitcher in general. Throughout the season we’ve noted that Lamb’s HR/FB rate had room for improvement and we’re going to continue to harp on that. His HR/FB rate is sitting at 8.1 percent (league average is around 10.5 percent) and his ZiPS projections for power remain optimistic, too. Lamb has accumulated a .133 ISO this season but ZiPS believes there’s room for more (ZiPS projected .157 ISO for the remainder of the season). At average prices around the industry, we like Lambs’s prospects as a value play but keep in mind that he’s not priced like this on every site (too expensive for cash on FanDuel).

Evan Longoria (TB) – has been pretty bad as of late (six hits in his last 40 ABs and only two of those hits were for extra bases) but this lack of production is priced in on most sites. At close to the minimum price point on FanDuel, we’ll take Longoria’s historical production vs. LHP (.388 wOBA/.232 ISO) in a matchup that could help him snap out of this recent funk (Wei-Yin Chen has given up a .334 wOBA/1.32 HR per 9 to RHBs since 2012). If you’re using Keuchel in cash games on FanDuel, Longoria’s salary relief at third base is very useful.

Additional third base notes: Kris Bryant (CHC) won’t have the platoon edge vs. Michael Lorenzen but he doesn’t have wide platoon splits and the loft he’s generating (47 percent FB rate) gives him plenty of power upside. ZiPS is projecting a bit more power as well (.233 ISO). On sites where Bryant is priced close to Nolan Arenado, he’s a better target for tournaments (way cheaper than Arenado on FanDuel, which makes him cash game viable). Josh Donaldson (TOR) has MVP type of skills in the best offense in baseball. Salary aside, Donaldson is consistently the top play at third base. A matchup agasint the home run prone Danny Salazar gives him some upside but the asking price is prohibitive in cash games. Use him in tournaments. Todd Frazier (CIN) remains too cheap on FanDuel. If you don’t want to use the slumping Longoria, Frazier is a fine pivot in cash games on that particular site.

Outfield

Top Play:

Mike Trout (LAA) (too cheap of a price tag around the industry for what most consider to be the best hitter in baseball and he’s starting to turn it around as of late; Felix Doubront represents a good matchup for Trout, which makes him an elite cash game play)

A.J. Pollock (ARI) (he’s more expensive than Goldschmidt on some sites; top five hitter in our model and the power/speed upside at Coors Field gives him plenty of tournament appeal)

Value Plays:

Ender Inciarte/David Peralta (ARI) – Inciarte and Peralta are priced close to the average price of a hitter on most sites, which is not a correct price point given their contextual factors. Inciarte (.331 wOBA/.109 ISO) and Peralta (.380 wOBA/.217 ISO) can hit RHP (Peralta is the better hitter of the two) and they’re at Coors Field in a matchup against Chad Bettis. Inciarte doesn’t hit for power but keep in mind that the spacious gaps at Coors Field should help and he’s the leadoff hitter for the offense that has the largest implied run total on this slate (5.4 runs). He should see at least five PAs, which makes him a bit more appealing for cash games on sites where he’s cheaper/priced similarly to Peralta. They’re both phenomenal options and I consider them staples of cash games on DraftKings and DraftDay.

Carlos Gomez (HOU) – Gomez, Inciarte and Peralta are ranked inside our top 10 hitters. There’s an incoming gap after these three (our next best outfield value is Dexter Fowler, who’s our 25th ranked hitter). Gomez hasn’t performed as expected this season (power/speed has taken a step back) but he’s starting to turn it around. In his last 22 ABs, Gomez has accumulated seven hits (two doubles, one home run) and he’s been running more in August (six stolen bases this month). We’re not sure if a back injury was affecting his performance earlier this season but it looks like he’s over that injury now. In a matchup against the home run prone Vidal Nuno, Gomez is a very strong value around the industry for his asking price (he’s priced as a below average hitter on almost every site that I’ve checked). The Astros have a healthy implied run total of 4.5 runs.

Dexter Fowler (CHC) – Fowler checks in behind the recommendations above (25th ranked hitter) but the Cubs are an offense we’re targeting today outside of Coors Field (Cubs and Astros have the highest implied run totals after those teams in Coors). Fowler leads off for this Cubs offense (implied run total of 4.8 runs) and he has some of those multi-dimensional skills that we look for in a hitter (17 SBs/14 HRs/24 doubles). Michael Lorenzen is susceptible to LHBs and if Brayan Pena is behind the plate for the Reds, that elevates Fowler’s speed upside (Pena has a -10 rSB over the course of his career; one of the worst marks in baseball). Gomez is cheaper than Fowler around the industry but his lineup spot isn’t as favorable (fifth compared to leadoff).

Additional outfield notes: Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez (COL) should be utilized in tournaments. We’re aware that they’re facing a LHP and they’re not very good hitters vs. southpaws (this takes them away from cash game consideration at full price points). However, this should create a low ownership situation in tournaments and they’re at Coors Field. Bryce Harper (WSH) has been the best hitter in baseball this season and this is likely just the beginning of what’s ahead (he’s about to turn 23 years old). He’s not even the most expensive hitter on the board this evening. Use him in tournaments. Chris Young (NYY) is always in play vs. a LHP and he’s at Fenway Park facing a home run prone pitcher. As long as he’s in a top six role, Young is going to be a nice value on sites where he’s meaningfully discounted over the recommendations above ($2,900 on DraftKings and close to the minimum on DraftDay). If you’re starting Dallas Keuchel in cash games on FanDuel, you’re going to need lower dollar values in the outfield. Jay Bruce (CIN), Jonny Gomes (ATL) and Brandon Guyer (TB) are your best options at around the minimum price. Of those options, Bruce rates as the strongest one (after adjusting for his lineup spot; he should be hitting second).

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Dallas Keuchel (HOU)

2) David Price (TOR)

3) Chris Archer (TB)

Tier Two

4) Tyson Ross (SD)

5) Gio Gonzalez (WSH)

6) Hector Santiago (LAA)

7) John Lackey (STL)

Tier Three

8) Danny Salazar (CLE)

9) Bartolo Colon (NYM)

Tier Four

10) Wei-Yin Chen (BAL)

11) Jerad Eickhoff (PHI)

Top Play:

Dallas Keuchel (HOU) – If you’re paying up for a tier one starting pitcher in cash games (a route that I recommend on multiple starting pitcher sites), Keuchel represents your top choice at the position. Keuchel is better than just a ground ball specialist who’s run prevention is elite. He’s now a strikeout pitcher, too. Last season, Keuchel’s K rate was only 18 percent (9 percent SwStr rate). This season, Keuchel has generated an above average K rate (22 percent K rate) while marginally improving his SwStr rate to 10 percent. His safety lies in the ability to go deep into games (averages 7 IP per start) and when hitters make contact, it’s likely a soft (negative four percent hard minus soft hard rate) ground ball (63 percent GB rate). However, he has more upside now that he’s generating more Ks. To top it off, Keuchel is the largest favorite this evening (-225) and the Mariners offense (league average vs. LHP) has a run total of three runs (lowest on this slate). Keuchel is much cheaper than Price/Archer on Yahoo.

Next in line:

David Price (TOR)/Chris Archer (TB) – I believe Dallas Keuchel has the best combination of a high floor/upside at the starting pitcher position, hence why he’s the top play. Price represents a fine pivot to Keuchel in cash games. He has a matchup with a league average offense and his ability to go deep into games (averages 7 IP per start) while striking out around a batter per inning makes him a nice option. Unfortunately, the environment (Rogers Centre) can lead to problems for pitchers (one of the best hitting venues in baseball). Price is the second largest favorite on this slate (-220).

If you’re searching for upside, Archer has tons of it. His strike out rate is sitting at 31 percent (improved his SwStr rate from nine percent to 14 percent this season) and the Orioles are K happy (striking out 23 percent of the time against RHP). Like Price, Archer is pitching in an awful environment (Camden Yards) and even though the Orioles are prone to striking out, when they make contact it goes a long way (fourth best ISO in baseball vs. RHP). Archer has the highest upside at the position but he also carries the most risk. He’s my favorite tournament option on this slate.

Value Plays:

Gio Gonzalez (WSH)/Bartolo Colon (NYM) – Gonzalez is a better pitcher than Colon and I view him as the superior option on multiple starting pitcher sites. Gonzalez has traded some Ks (25 percent K rate last season compared to 21 percent K rate this season) for more ground balls (45 percent GB rate last season compared to 54 percent GB rate this season). As a result, his luck has changed. Gonzalez’s BABIP this season (.350) is much higher than his career BABIP (.295). That bad luck has derailed his run prevention (4.11 ERA this season) but his FIP (3.20) and xFIP (3.62) gives us a different story. With a bit more luck on his side, Gonzalez should be better moving forward. This is a good matchup for him to get it going (Cardinals are ranked 22nd in wRC+ and are striking out 23 percent of the time against LHP). On a site like DraftKings where Gonzalez and Colon are priced similarly, Gonzalez is the better option.

Colon is certainly not as skilled as Gonzalez and that’s probably not fair for him (he’s 42 years old/playing in his 18th MLB season). Colon is more of a contact pitcher (18 percent K rate is below the league average) but he neutralizes batters fairly well thanks to a 15 percent K-BB ratio (league average is 13 percent). What we love the most about Colon tonight is a matchup against a Phillies offense that’s ranked 29th in wRC+ and are striking out 20 percent of the time vs. RHP. Recent history tells us that Colon likes this matchup too. In three starts against the Phillies this season, Colon accumulated three quality starts (3.50 ERA), 20 Ks (in 19 IP) and won all three games (27 percent of his pitcher wins have come against the Phillies this season). We don’t usually make anything of small samples (like three starts) but Vegas agrees. Colon is a -200 favorite and the Phillies have a run total of three runs (tied for the lowest on this slate). On sites like FanDuel where it’s almost impossible to start Keuchel and have Coors Field exposure (pricing is inflated for Coors Field players), Colon gives you a high probability for a W at a low cost while giving you financial flexibility on the hitters side. I’d even consider Colon on DraftDay ($11,250 is a nice price on that site since salaries are a bit spread out due to the large salary cap; allows you to stack Coors and a W is worth 10 points on that site).

Additional starting pitcher notes: Hector Santiago (LAA) has a friendly matchup against an Athletics offense that doesn’t hit for any power vs. LHP. The environment (Oakland Coliseum) can help his fly ball prone ways and he’s priced around Bartolo Colon. He doesn’t have the same probability of a W but he’s a decent secondary target relative to his matchup and fine skills. Tyson Ross (SD) can K hitters (25 percent K rate), which is always a plus in DFS. He also generates a ton of ground balls (63 percent GB rate). Unfortunately, Ross gets himself into trouble (11 percent BB rate; league average is 7.5 percent). He’s a fine target in cash games around the industry but we believe that the best route in that format is paying for a tier one pitcher and/or using a lower dollar value like Gio Gonzalez/Bartolo Colon. Jerad Eickhoff (PHI) has pitched well in two starts this season. That’s a very small sample and we remain skeptical about his run prevention but it’s not surprising to see him have success from a Ks standpoint (22 percent K rate at the minor league level). He’s so cheap around the industry that it’s hard not to consider him in multi-entry tournaments.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback (help@dailyroto.com) if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Coors Field (The Diamondbacks and Rockies have implied run totals over five runs, which are the highest on this slate; these teams carry the most upside thanks to the best hitting environment in baseball)

2) Chicago Cubs (third highest implied run total on this slate, 4.8 runs; For tournaments, I’m targeting Schwarber, Rizzo and Bryant as a mini-stack)

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Houston Astros

There’s a ton to love here. The Astros lead the league in home runs and they’re facing a home run pitcher who doesn’t miss many bats. That puts the emphasis on their best hitting tool (power) while limiting their risk (strikeouts). A mini-stack of Carlos Gomez, Jose Altuve and Evan Gattis looks promising. I wouldn’t mind throwing Marwin Gonzalez in an Astros stack (he’s our main punt play for cash games at shortstop.

2) Fenway Park

The Yankees and Red Sox game has a total of nine runs and Fenway Park helps RHBs. The Yankees are facing a LHP, which should help hitters like Alex Rodriguez, Carlos Beltran and Chris Young. They’re a fun mini-stack in tournaments. The Red Sox face Ivan Nova (has struggled this season; not missing bats is hurting). We like some of the LHBs from the Red Sox side, particularly David Ortiz (Travis Shaw and Jackie Bradley Jr. are fine as part of a Red Sox stack).

3) Toronto Blue Jays

They’re the best offense in baseball. Danny Salazar is a good pitcher but he struggles with power and this hitting environment won’t help him (Rogers Centre). I’m throwing some Blue Jays (mini-stacks like Edwin Encarnacion–Josh Donaldson or Jose Bautista–Troy Tulowitzki–Justin Smoak) in tournaments.

4) Tampa Bay Rays

Wei-Yin Chen doesn’t allow much hard contact but he’s a fly ball pitcher and the Rays are a good offense vs. LHP. A Brandon Guyer–Evan Longoria–Logan Forsythe mini-stack is fine for tournaments.

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

In the scales below, a 10 strongly favors the batter, a 1 strongly favors the pitcher and a 5 has no impact on the game.

NYY at BOS 7:00: Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west-northwest 9-18 mph lessening to 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8 becoming a 6.
TB at BLT 7:05: Widely scattered thunderstorms. Around a 10% chance or even less of a delay. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 3-6 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.
CLE at TOR 7:07: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west 5-10 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.MIA at ATL 7:10: An extremely small chance of a delay due to a widely scattered thunderstorm, less than 10% chance. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5.PHL at NYM 7:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7. Wind west-southwest 4-8 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.CIN at CHC 8:05: Dry. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind south 5-10 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6.SEA at HOU 8:10: Retractable roof. A few scattered thunderstorms around. Temps in the mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8. Wind southeast 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

WSH at STL 8:15: A small chance of a delay to a widely scattered thunderstorm, ~10% or less. Temps in the mid to upper 80s falling to near 80. Air density is a 9 becoming an 8. Wind south 6-12 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

AZ at COL 8:40: A delay possibility here as a disturbance causes widespread showers and thunderstorms in the mountains that tries to drift into the city. I would put the delay threat at 20% while the ppd is low, about 10% or less. Temps in the upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 10. Wind northwest 7-14 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4.

LAA at OAK 10:05: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s falling into the mid to upper 60s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 10-20 mph lessening to 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8 becoming a 7.

SF at LAD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7. Wind west-southwest 8-16 mph lessening to 6-12 mph which blows out to right. the wind is a 7 becoming a 6.

TEX at SD 10:10: Dry. Temps in the mid 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind west-southwest 6-12 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5.

 

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