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August 9 MLB DFS: Kluber is Werth it

August 9 MLB DFS: Kluber is Werth it
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Daily Fantasy Rundown – August 9 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis

Welcome to Sunday’s edition of the Daily Fantasy Rundown with “leonem”, “dinkpiece” and “thenumbersguy”. Each day throughout the MLB season our daily MLB scouting reports will highlight the best top, value and cheap plays of the day based on the Daily Fantasy Industry’s pricing for salary cap games. The goal of our analysis is to help you improve consistency and become a better player long-term.

Weather: KC may see a late start or a delay before 3 PM while the CHC game has a ppd risk.

Please see Meteorologist Mark Paquette’s game by game weather forecasts below the Analysis.

If any weather situations shift drastically, we will keep you updated with lineup alerts so make sure to check your email inbox up until roster lock.


Top Play:

Kyle Schwarber (CHC) – Schwarber hasn’t played a full season at the major league level and he already feels like the best hitting catcher in baseball. His .286 ISO in 96 PAs is real based on the loft he’s generating (42 percent FB rate) and how hard he’s squaring the ball (44 percent hard hit rate). He’s going to strike out (26 percent K rate this season, which is also what ZiPS project moving forward) but a catcher with this type of power and overall skills (.449 wOBA at the major league level; never had a wOBA below .420 at the minor league level) is rare. He has a matchup against Jake Peavy today, who continues to be a solid pitcher but doesn’t miss many bats anymore (18 percent K rate). Schwarber is priced aggressively on FanDuel but he’s a strong cash game option on DraftKings ($4,400) relative to his skill set and fine matchup.

Next in line:

Brian McCann (NYY) – McCann is a bit cheaper than Schwarber around the industry and the contextual factors couldn’t be better for him. McCann gets to face Marco Estrada (1.39 HR/9 surrendered to LHBs since 2012) at Yankee Stadium (elevates left-handed power by around 15-17 percent above the league average). Those contextual factors highlight McCann’s biggest strength as a hitter, which is hitting for power (.190 ISO against RHP in the last three seasons). Schwarber has displayed better overall skills but admittedly, McCann’s contextual factors are a bit stronger. McCann is ranked inside our top 30 hitters this afternoon so he’s playable across all formats.

Additional catcher notes: Buster Posey (SFG) has a terrible matchup against Jake Arrieta and he still rates as a top five catcher option in our model. He won’t garner any cash game consideration due to his high price point and bad matchup but he deserves some consideration in multi-entry tournaments due to his plus skills. Wilson Ramos (WSH) isn’t as skilled as the recommended catchers above but he will have the platoon edge against Yohan Flande (has surrendered a .334 wOBA and he’s only striking out 14 percent of RHBs). If you need salary relief at the catcher position, Ramos is an adequate option (minimum priced on FanDuel). John Jaso (TB) is more skilled than Ramos and he will leadoff and have the platoon edge against Bartolo Colon (doesn’t miss bats). He’s cheap around the industry so if you need the relief, he’s another adequate option at the position. Matt Wieters (BAL) is facing Jered Weaver (fastball velocity has decreased from 86 MPH last season to 83 MPH this season). Wieters won’t have the benefit of playing at home (Camden Yards is an elite hitting environment) but he’s a switch hitter that will have a top five spot in the Orioles offense facing a below average pitcher. He’s a tournament worthy option. Stephen Vogt (OAK) is facing Mike Fiers (he’s a good pitcher but he’s allowing a hard hit rate over 38 percent this season) but he’s in a bad hitting environment (Oakland Coliseum). He makes sense for tournaments but I’m not sure that he needs to be forced into cash games (Schwarber and McCann are much better values in a vacuum).

First Base

Top Plays:

Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) – Goldschmidt is averaging the most Fantasy points in baseball out of all positions this season and his current price tag on FanDuel ($3,900) is too cheap relative to his skills. Goldschmidt has accumulated a .336/.450/.576 triple slash line this season, he’s walking a bit more and he’s generating more loft than in previous seasons. Opposing pitcher Anthony DeSclafani struggles more with LHBs but I’ll take Goldschmidt’s R/R matchup on FanDuel since he’s not priced correctly on that site (second ranked hitter in our model).

David Ortiz (BOS) – Ortiz is only $4,200 on DraftKings and he has a matchup against Justin Verlander (run prevention has been awful and his 17 percent K rate is below the league average). Ortiz is back to regular levels of production and that’s good news for DFSers (.407 wOBA, .282 ISO against RHP since 2012). The Red Sox team total is approaching 4.5 runs and Ortiz is their best hitter. Ortiz ranks right behind Goldschmidt in our model (third ranked hitter) and he’s not priced like this around the industry.

Value Plays:

Albert Pujols (LAA) – After seeing Pujols banged up for some years now, the belief was that he wouldn’t be able to return to previous levels of production. That was a fair assessment back then but at age 35, Pujols has proved that he still has plenty left in the tank. His power is back (.259 ISO this season, career .270 ISO) and he’s been very good against RHP (.375 wOBA, .275 ISO) despite not having any luck (.227 BABIP). Opposing pitcher Miguel Gonzalez has a home run problem (1.62 HR/9 allowed to RHBs since 2012), which can help unleash Pujols biggest strength as a hitter right now (power). Pujols seems underpriced around the industry and he’s in play across all formats but I prefer Ortiz and Goldschmidt on sites where they’re priced similarly.

Victor Martinez (DET)/Ryan Zimmerman (WSH) – Martinez and Zimmerman have under-performed this season, mostly because of injuries. They’ve still been able to hit lefties (Martinez has a .388 wOBA and Zimmerman has accumulated a .193 ISO against LHP this season) and their prices are low around the industry. Zimmerman has the better matchup (Yohan Flande has surrendered a .334 wOBA to 244 RHBs at the major league level) but Martinez has been surging as of late (three home runs in the his last three games) and the Tigers have the highest implied run total on this slate (4.7 runs). Both make a bit more sense on FanDuel (Martinez is $2,800 on FanDuel and he has catcher eligibility while Zimmerman is $2,600) but they’re usable values around the industry.

Additional first base notes: Chris Davis (BAL) is a next in line option to the top plays above. He has a matchup against the underwhelming Jered Weaver (has surrendered a .335 wOBA, 1.65 HR/9 to LHBs and his K rate has dipped to 12 percent) and it could help unleash his power upside. We like to target Davis against pitchers that don’t miss bats so this opportunity against a pitcher who can’t throw past 83 MPH any longer is a great one. Davis is in play across all formats on DraftKings ($4,200) but he’s priced too aggressively on FanDuel ($4,500) so he’s only a tournament option on that particular site. Mark Teixeira (NYY), Anthony Rizzo (CHC) and Jose Abreu (CWS) are our favored tournament options at the position this afternoon. Teixeira has a matchup against the homer prone Marco Estrada at Yankee Stadium so he’s our favorite tournament option at first base today. Rizzo has a fine matchup against Jake Peavy (doesn’t miss many bats) and he’s ranked inside our top 15 hitters in our model. Abreu will face Danny Duffy (fly ball tendencies and struggles with RHBs) but he could run into trouble later in the game (Royals have the best bullpen in baseball). I believe Teixeira has the most upside out of the three but they’re all usable in tournaments.

Second Base

Top Plays:

Ian Kinsler (DET)/Robinson Cano (SEA) – Kinsler (.365 wOBA, .158 ISO vs. LHP since 2012) and Cano (.361 wOBA, .174 ISO since he became a member of the Mariners) are productive hitters when they have the platoon edge. Cano rates a bit better in our model (10th ranked hitter) than Kinsler (20th ranked hitter) and he has the better matchup (Colby Lewis has allowed a .356 wOBA and 1.04 HR/9 to LHBs in the last three seasons). Kinsler is surrounded by better hitters and the Tigers have the largest implied run total on this slate (4.7 runs). Both are great options across all formats on DraftKings but they’re better options for tournaments on FanDuel since they’re priced aggressively on that site.

Value Play:

Anthony Rendon (WSH) – Despite devoting a large portion of time in the DL this season (he’s only played in 30 games this season), some of Rendon’s peripherals remain intact. For instance, his contact rate is the same (15 percent K rate, in line with his career) and he’s walking more (12 percent BB rate, nine percent in his career). He’s generating the same amount of loft (39 percent FB rate this season, which is line with his career level) yet he’s not hitting for any power (.090 ISO). So what has gone wrong for Rendon? He’s been hurt, which has likely contributed to a career low 28 percent hard hit rate (had never posted a hard hit rate below 37 percent). Most importantly, he hasn’t been very lucky when it comes to home runs. His 2.7 HR/FB rate is a career low (league average is 10-12 percent and previously he had posted HR/FB rates of 7.2 and 10.4) and that indicates that some sort of correction will likely happen moving forward (he’s generating the same amount of loft). He’s been leading off as of late, which is great for his DFS value (maximizes PAs) and he will face Yohan Flande (underwhelming southpaw) today. Rendon rates as a very strong value around the industry and he’s discounted since he hasn’t been performing well this season. Invest while the HR/FB rate hasn’t corrected and reap the profits.

Additional second base notes: Kolten Wong (STL) has a matchup against Jimmy Nelson (.347 wOBA, 1.14 HR/9 allowed to LHBs in the last few seasons) at Miller Park. That’s enough to give him cash game consideration around the industry but the Cardinals have an implied run total of 3.8 runs and the recommended options above are playing for offenses with implied run totals over 4.2 runs. Therefore, Wong rates better as a secondary option. Jose Altuve (HOU) is always a threat to steal multiple bases and he’s priced correctly for a R/R matchup (better hitter against LHP). We’ll give him a chance to show off his upside in tournaments but he lags a bit behind Kinsler, Cano and Rendon in our model, which is the reason why he doesn’t rate as a cash game value today.


The Play:

Ian Desmond (WSH) – After a dreadful first half of the season, Desmond’s power is coming back (ISO is up to .150). His plate discipline has never been good but he’s striking out a bit more now and walking less. He’s also not hitting the ball as hard (27 percent hard hit rate this season, 32 percent in his last three seasons), which are main reasons why his overall skills haven’t been very good (.278 wOBA). In the last three seasons, Desmond has accumulated a .337 wOBA and .185 ISO against LHP and he’s facing the below average Yohan Flande this afternoon. Desmond hasn’t been very good this season and his indicators don’t point towards a ton of improvement moving forward but he will hit somewhere in the top six, have the platoon edge and his price point is low around the industry. He’s my favorite shortstop value relative to his price/matchup and our model supports this (ranked inside our top 10 hitters, no other shortstop is ranked inside the top 25).

Additional shortstop notes: Troy Tulowtizki (TOR) has a tough matchup with Masahiro Tanaka but he’s only $3,900 on DraftKings. The shortstop position doesn’t carry much opportunity cost today so even in a bad matchup, Tulowitzki still rates as a cash game value (30th ranked hitter in our model). Hanley Ramirez (BOS) has shortstop eligibility on DraftKings and he’s $3,900 on that site. He has a matchup against Justin Verlander (struggles with home runs and not striking out hitters at a league average rate). He rates a bit behind Tulowitzki in our model (45th ranked hitter but he deserves cash game consideration. Jung Ho Kang (PIT) doesn’t have a good matchup against Alex Wood but he has hit LHP very well in his first major league season. He’s a good tournament option today but I’m staying away in cash games (PNC Park is a terrible hitting environment and the matchup isn’t friendly). If you need salary relief at the position on FanDuel, Jose Iglesias (DET) is almost minimum priced ($2,400) and he will hit second and hold the platoon edge against Henry Owens (struggled with walks at the minor league level).

Third Base

Top Play:

Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – (a matchup against Marco Estrada at Yankee Stadium gives him a ton of upside; the value plays at the position have better price points around the industry so despite Rodriguez’s upside in this matchup, he’s a better option for tournaments when you adjust for his price)

Value Plays:

Todd Frazier (CIN) – Frazier hasn’t been performing well as of late but it’s difficult to not go back to the well based on his current price point on FanDuel ($3,100). He will have the platoon edge against Patrick Corbin (has allowed a .319 wOBA, 1.16 HR/9 to RHBs since 2012) and he has destroyed LHP (.393 wOBA, .383 ISO vs. LHP this season). Frazier is generating more loft (48 percent FB rate this season) and it has made him more powerful (career high .266 ISO). He’s not an average hitter and his price point on FanDuel suggests that he is.

Kris Bryant (CHC) – Much like Frazier, Bryant is generating a ton of loft (48 percent FB rate). He’s been powerful (.193 ISO) but more power is coming based on the loft he’s generating (ZiPS projects a .226 ISO moving forward). Bryant is also priced as an average hitter around the industry and that price point doesn’t accurately reflect the type of hitter that Bryant already is. Jake Peavy is a solid pitcher but we don’t mind picking on him (he’s not missing many bats any longer), especially with a skilled hitter like Bryant. On sites where the gap in price between Bryant and Frazier is a bit larger (DraftKings), Bryant is a slightly better value (since he’s cheaper).

Kyle Seager (SEA) – Seager is a bit less skilled than Bryant and Frazier (.350 wOBA, .181 ISO against RHP since 2012 and he doesn’t generate as much loft) but he probably has the best matchup (Colby Lewis has allowed a .356 wOBA, 1.04 HR/9 to LHBs in the last three seasons). At similar price points I’m taking Bryant and Frazier but our model believes that this a decision you’ll have to make (Seager is ranked inside the top 25, Frazier and Bryant are ranked in the top 40).

Additional third base notes: Jake Lamb (ARI) is your go-to option if you need salary relief in cash games. He’s only $2,500 on FandDuel and he will have the platoon edge against Anthony DeSclafani (.351 wOBA, 1.36 HR/9 allowed to 353 LHBs at the major league level). Lamb’s HR/FB rate has corrected itself a bit as expected (was too low) and even though he’s not the same hitter as the written options above, he’s solid vs. RHP and he’s cheap. Matt Carpenter (STL) and Manny Machado (BAL) are my preferred tournament options at the position. Carpenter has performed very well as of late (he’s now leading off) and he has a matchup against Jimmy Nelson (1.14 HR/9 allowed to LHBs) at Miller Park. Machado has a matchup against the subpar Jered Weaver, a pitcher who’s clearly not the same (fastball velocity has topped off at 83 MPH and he’s allowing a ton of HRs).


Top Play:

Mike Trout (LAA) – (Trout is the top hitter on this slate and he has an elite matchup against a pitcher that struggles with home runs; he’s obviously in play across all formats but if you’re starting two top tier pitchers in cash games, playing Trout will be difficult)

Value Plays:

Detroit Tigers outfield- J.D. Martinez (.360 wOBA, .224 ISO against LHP this season; he’s generating more loft) and Rajai Davis (.365 wOBA, .173 ISO against LHP since 2012) are ranked inside our top 15 hitters (Martinez is our fourth ranked hitter) this afternoon. Opposing LHP Henry Owens projects to be a good pitcher in the future but this isn’t a good spot for him (Tigers are ranked second in wRC+ against LHP) and he does struggle with walks (11.2 BB rate at the minor league level this season). The Tigers have the largest implied run total on this slate (4.7 runs) so getting exposure to this offense is a logical decision in cahs games. Davis is the better value when you adjust for pricing ($2,400 on FanDuel) and not only is he a good hitter vs. LHP, he has speed upside (54 SBs in 555 PAs against LHP since 2012, or one stolen base every 10 PAs). He feels like a core play around the industry relative to his skills and low price point.

New York Yankees outfield – Jacoby Ellsbury (.333 wOBA against RHP in the last three seasons) and Brett Gardner (.343 wOBA, .160 ISO against RHP since 2012) are above average hitters when they have the platoon edge and they will face Marco Estrada (struggles with the long ball) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have the second highest implied run total on this slate (4.6 runs) and both of these hitters are atop the lineup (Ellsbury leads off, Gardner hits second). Ellsbury hasn’t stolen a base since coming off the DL but he still has anywhere from 30-35 SB upside over a full season. They’re both priced favorably on FanDuel ($3,400) and that site has no negative repercussions for caught stealing. Gardner is more powerful and he’s performed better than Ellsbury this season so I view him as the slightly better option but both are basically tied in our model (both are ranked inside our top 15 hitters).

Jayson Werth (WSH) – Like some of his teammates, Werth has had a difficult season (has only played 38 games and has accumulated a .234 wOBA this season). His 29 percent hard hit rate is probably correlated with the fact that he’s been hurt for most of the season. However, like teammate Anthony Rendon, Werth’s peripherals are pretty consistent with his career. His plate discipline is largely the same while he’s generating the same amount of loft (39 percent FB rate). He’s not producing any power because his HR/FB rate is currently sitting at a career low 4.7 percent (he has averaged 14 percent HR/FB rate over his career). If he is indeed healthy, Werth’s power will likely see some level of correction moving forward. He’s in a great spot today, facing the below average LHP Yohan Flande. Werth has accumulated a .412 wOBA, .201 ISO against LHP since 2012 and even if you regress those numbers a bit to reflect some of the skill erosion this season, Werth is too big of a bargain on both DraftKings ($2,900) and FanDuel ($2,200). I won’t name him a core play since he hasn’t been quite the same but if there was ever a spot to play him in cash games, this feels like the right spot (platoon edge, he has historically hit LHP well and his price won’t be lower than it currently is).

Additional outfield notes: Ender Inciarte, David Peralta (ARI) and Marlon Byrd (CIN) are next in line options to the value plays above. Their price points are discounted relative to their skills/matchup and I view them as primary targets for cash games. Nelson Cruz (SEA) has a great matchup for his power stroke against Colby Lewis (struggles with home runs). He’s priced fully on most sites so our interest is mainly on tournaments here. Bryce Harper (WSH) has a L/L matchup and we’re not interested to target that type of matchup in cash games at full price points. However, Harper has become an elite hitter against LHP too so we want to invest in tournaments where he’s priced fairly ($4,500 on FanDuel). Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte (PIT) are elite hitters vs. LHP but their matchup against Alex Wood isn’t very good (doesn’t allow much power). I’m targeting both in tournaments around the industry but I view Marte as a viable cash game option on FanDuel ($2,900). Jose Bautista (TOR) is priced ahead of his matchup against Masahiro Tanaka on DraftKings ($4,600). This matchup won’t be easy and the Yankees bullpen looms, Bautista’s price point is too low on that site (he’s at least tournament worthy). Adam Jones and Gerardo Parra (BAL) are good tournament targets against the below average Jered Weaver. They’re not playing in a great environment but Weaver has fly ball tendencies and his fastball velocity is topping at 83 MPH. Kole Calhoun (LAA) is facing Miguel Gonzalez (struggles with home runs). His price point is fair on most sites but if I was to invest in him it’ll likely be in tournament formats. Jason Heyward (STL) and Carlos Gomez (HOU) are two above average hitters that rate well in our model (ranked inside the top 30). Both rate better as secondary values based on their current price points around the industry.

Starting Pitcher

Rankings (price not considered):

Tier One

1) Max Scherzer (WSH)

2) Chris Archer (TB)

3) Corey Kluber (CLE)

Tier Two

4) Felix Hernandez (SEA)

5) Jake Arrieta (CHC) – weather risk

Tier Three

6) Mike Fiers (HOU)

7) Shelby Miller (ATL)

9) Masahiro Tanaka (NYY)

Tier Four

10) John Lackey (STL)

11) Andrew Cashner (SD)

Tier Five

12) Alex Wood (LAD)

13) Jimmy Nelson (MIL)

14) Justin Verlander (DET)

15) Bartolo Colon (NYM)

Top Plays:

Max Scherzer (WSH)/Chris Archer (TB) – Scherzer and Archer are the top pitchers on this slate according to our model but the gap isn’t severe since Corey Kluber and Felix Hernandez are also available. Both Scherzer and Archer have K rates over 30 percent and their run prevention is elite (ERA/FIP below 2.60, which is the main reason why they rate slightly ahead over Kluber/Hernandez). The Rockies are missing Corey Dickerson and Troy Tulowitzki (traded to the Blue Jays) from their lineup and they’re away from Coors Field so I’ll give a slight edge to Scherzer over Archer. Both are cash game eligible but they rate better as tournament plays since it’s easier to build a more balanced lineup with Kluber/Hernandez (the cheaper options) in cash games. On sites where Archer is priced right in line with Kluber/Hernandez (FanDuel), I view him as the superior cash game option.

Next in line:

Corey Kluber (CLE)/Felix Hernandez (SEA) – Kluber ($10,600) and Hernandez ($10,500) are out preferred cash game options on DraftKings. Their price points are much more accessible than Scherzer/Archer and they allow you to access the top offensive situations on this slate without sacrificing those valuable pitcher points. Kluber (27 percent K rate, 64 percent F-Strike rate, 13 percent SwStr rate) collects a bit more Ks than Hernandez (24 percent K rate, 62 percent F-Strike rate, 11 percent SwStr rate) and he also has a better matchup. Kluber is facing the Twins (ranked 28th in wRC+ against RHP) and Hernandez is facing the Rangers (ranked 12th in wRC+ against RHP). On a site like FanDuel where you can only start one pitcher and their prices are the same, Kluber is a slightly better option than Hernandez for cash games.

Value Play:

Mike Fiers (HOU) – Fiers doesn’t belong in the same tier as any of the top pitchers above but he does deserve to be the top option of tier three. His run prevention should be better (4.17 ERA/3.86 FIP/3.96 xFIP) but I’m not sure that it can improve all that much based on the hard contact he allows (20 percent hard minus soft hit rate). I do think that this particular matchup could help (Athletics are a neutral offense against RHP, they don’t hit for much power and Oakland Coliseum is an elite environment for pitchers). However, the main reason we like Fiers today is because there’s safety in strikeouts and he’s striking out over a batter per inning (9.29 Ks per nine), which is right in line with his career average (9.22 Ks per nine over the course of his career). At his current price point on DraftKings ($7,900), a site that rewards two points per each strikeout, he rates as the strongest value relative to the other starting pitchers around his price.

Additional starting pitcher notes: Jake Arrieta (CHC) has ascended as one of the top starting pitchers in baseball. He’s striking out over a batter per inning and his run prevention is up there with the elite pitchers. Unfortunately, his matchup against the Giants (best offense against RHP) takes him away from cash game consideration (no need to force him in cash games with the depth of elite pitchers on this slate in better matchups). In addition, there are weather concerns. Andrew Cashner (SD) is very cheap on DraftKings ($6,700) and he will face the Phillies (ranked 29th in wRC+ against RHP) at home. Those factors are enough to consider him for cash games but opportunity cost is high at starting pitching. Shelby Miller (ATL) doesn’t K many guys but his run prevention is good and the matchup couldn’t be better (Marlins are ranked dead last in wRC+ against RHP). I won’t play him in cash games but he deserves tournament consideration. Jimmy Nelson (MIL) and Justin Verlander (DET) are two starting pitchers that carry some risk in their respective matchups. Quite frankly, Verlander hasn’t been the same starting pitcher in years but some of the strikeout peripherals provide a little hope (getting ahead of batters and creating swings and misses at a league average rate) and he’s very cheap on DraftKings ($6,300). His matchup against the Red Sox in a game with a total approaching nine and a half runs will keep DFSers away and for good reason. Nelson has been good as of late and he’s striking out batters at a league average rate but his matchup against the Cardinals at Miller Park isn’t good. I won’t touch these pitchers in single entry tournaments but I don’t mind them on large field, multi entry tournaments.

Macro Thinking, Stacks, and Tournament Notes:

This is a new section we’ve created to try and offer more dedicated macro thinking to our analysis and hopefully add more value to those playing tournaments. The format is a bit of a work in progress and we welcome feedback ( if you have suggestions.

Top Tournament Stacks/Cash Game Mini Stacks:

1) Detroit Tigers

2) New York Yankees

3) Washington Nationals

4) Boston Red Sox

Contrarian/Secondary Stacks:

1) Chase Field – The Reds and Diamondbacks are facing pitchers that can serve up the long ball when hitters hold the platoon edge against them. They’re next in line options to the offenses above (in both cash games and tournaments).

2) St. Louis Cardinals – The Cardinals are ranked inside the top 10 in wRC+ against RHP and Miller Park is a much better hitting environment than Busch Stadium. Jimmy Nelson struggles with LHBs and the Cardinals have a few that can give trouble.

3) Baltimore Orioles – Jered Weaver has fly ball tendencies, he’s allowing a bunch of home runs and his fastball velocity won’t go above 83 MPH.

4) Los Angeles Angels – Miguel Gonzalez struggles with home runs (particularly with RHBs) and the Angels have two RHBs that can cause a lot of problems (Albert Pujols and Mike Trout).

MLB Game Weather Forecasts

TOR at NYY 1:05: Dry. Temps near 80. Air density is a 7. Wind east-northeast 5-10 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.

BOS at DET 1:08: Dry. Temps in the upper 70s. Air density is a 7. Wind southeast 5-10 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.

MIN at CLE 1:10: Dry. Temps near 80. Air density is a 7. Wind northeast 7-14 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4.

NYM at TB 1:10: Dome.

COL at WSH 1:35: A 10% chance of a stray shower. Temps in the mid 80s. Air density is a 7. Wind south-southeast 5-10 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

CHW at KC 2:10: Thunderstorms will be in the process of moving south right about the start of the game. Could see (30%) a delayed start to the game or a delay up to 3 PM then the weather is good to go. Temps in the mid to upper 80s. Air density is a 9, almost a 10 (very humid). Wind west becoming north 5-10 mph which blows first out to right and then in from left. The wind is a 6 becoming a 4.

STL at MIL 2:10: Retractable roof. A 20% chance of some rain at times. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind southeast 5-10 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 4.

SF at CHC 2:20: Rain at times, starting off light but steady, becoming heavier and remaining steady during the afternoon. Ppd risk (30-40%) and certainly a delay risk (40-60%). Temps near 70. Air density is a 6. Wind southeast 5-10 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6.

BLT at LAA 3:37: Dry. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7.

HOU at OAK 4:05: Dry. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind west 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8.

TEX at SEA 4:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the mid 70s. Air density is a 6 or a 7. Wind southwest 4-8 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

PHL at SD 4:10: Dry. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 6. Wind west-southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right at times and from left to right at times. The wind is a 5 or a 6.

CIN at AZ 4:10: Retractable roof. Dry. Temps in the low 100s. Air density is a 9, almost a 10. Wind southwest 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6.

MIN at ATL 5:05: Dry. Temps near 90 falling into the mid 80s. Air density is an 8. Wind southwest 4-8 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6.

LAD at PIT 8:00: Dry. Temps near 80 falling into the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6. Wind northwest 5-10 mph becoming nearly calm. The wind blows out to center early in the game and is a 6 on the wind scale becoming a 5.

MLB Daily Analysis