This season, I will be doing a weekly article for DailyRoto and my focus will be in 50/50 games. In this series I will be on monitoring the cash line for the 50/50 contests each week and strategies to adjust to the scoring.
In my previous articles, I mentioned that the target score in the large 50/50 contests should be between 150-160. Below is a chart displaying the cash line for each of those contest on a week to week basis.
|Week||$25 Massive Double Up Cash Line||$5 Massive Double Up Cash Line|
My Lineup for Week 8
- Derek Carr – 39.82 FPs
- Deontae Booker – 18.4 FPs
- Spencer Ware– 6.7 FPs
- Davante Adams – 19.4 FPs
- Michael Crabtree– 21.8 FPs
- Mike Evans – 11 FPs
- C.J. Fiedorowicz – 15.3 FPS
- David Johnson– 17.8 FPs
- Cardinals Defense – 3 FPs
- Total Points – 153.22
Once again there were several affordable quarterbacks in good spots. Jameis Winston was a very popular choice, but I felt more comfortable with Derek Carr in as good as spot and with I thought was a less volatile play. I also thought that Carr was way underpriced and presented excellent value. He ended up having a far better game than I expected and scored 39.82 fantasy points after throwing for over 500 yards and four touchdowns.
WEEK 9 PROJECTIONS | DST | KICKERS | TARGETS | CARRIES | RED ZONE | HISTORICAL | SNAPS | DEFENSE
Devontae Booker was a free square this past week and his over 90 percent ownership in each of the 50/50’s was a testament to that. He was $3,700, in a good matchup, and was expected to get the bulk of the carries. This was a no brainer and he ended up paying off his salary and some. Spencer Ware was also in a great spot after Jamaal Charles was ruled out, the issue here was the Ware got hurt and scored fewer than seven fantasy points. On the bright side, he was very highly owned, so the lack of production did not impact my lineup. Lastly, I decided to go with David Johnson in the flex because he has proven week after week that regardless of matchup, he will be efficient and productive. He essentially hit his floor and scored just 17.8 fantasy points, but it is very possible that a lot of that had to do with the team falling behind several scores early on. So long as he remains under $8,000, I think he needs to be strongly considered in cash, due to the safe floor and upside he offers.
Mike Evans was the chalk and although I had my reservations about him, in cash I felt he was almost a must play and I figured that a subpar performance from him would not affect me as much due to the high ownership. Truth be told, this was very good matchup and all the number suggested that he was an excellent play, so I trusted the numbers. He underperformed, but was over 50 percent owned so it did not harm my lineup. I paired up Michael Crabtree with Carr because of how steady he has been and how often he gets looked at in the red zone. Not to mention, the matchup and price were also ideal. He did just about what I expected and paid off his salary. I initially had Ty Montgomery as my third receiver, but once he was ruled out and just pivoted for Davante Adams. He was reasonably priced and with no Montgomery or Randall Cobb, I felt the floor was safe for him, especially considering the game script for this contest. He provided a solid return on investment.
At tight end I rolled out C.J. Fiedorowicz in what I felt was the only play in cash considering his recent usage, matchup, and absolutely low price. He ended up exceeding value and reaching near 6X.
What we want to focus on for running backs is volume…