CFB DFS WR GPP Strategy: Using IsoPPP to find upside
by Mike Leone and Chris Kay
Advanced stats are nice. They make us look smart and like we know what we’re talking about. Sometimes, though, I know it must feel as if we’re simply throwing them in there for the sake of it. Admittedly, we can be formulaic at times but never are we arbitrary. You’ll see a lot of usage of advanced stats in the CFB Premium package this year. I wanted to do an early season strategy article taking just one of those advanced stats and showing that when used properly and in the correct context, advanced stats can lead to actionable information.
The exact stat that I’m going to tackle today is IsoPPP. What is IsoPPP? There’s an excellent explanation here, but in general it’s a statistic that tries to separate explosiveness from efficiency. Simply put, we want to find the defenses that are giving up big plays. In football, one play can have a significant impact on Fantasy scoring. If a wide receiver catches an 80 yard TD on DraftKings, that’s worth 15 points (one for the catch, eight for the yardage, six for the TD) and puts you 80 percent of the way towards another three points (bonus at 100 yards receiving). By using IsoPPP and measuring defensive explosiveness, hopefully we can increase the likelihood of finding high upside matchups for WRs. More specifically: