Heading into week 19, we have ourselves a tough slate of CFL action. Many of the best players have difficult matchups and prices have continued to climb. Value just isn’t out there like it was early on in the season.
With the playoffs just weeks away, teams are either fighting to avoid an early offseason or they’re potentially going to be resting stars. Calgary is one of those teams who could be resting their stars and if you combine that with high prices from their best players, it’ll be tough to roster them this weekend. With this all being said, let’s get to the Vegas totals for week 19…
EXPECTED TEAM TOTALS
- Winnipeg – 30
- Calgary – 29.5
- Hamilton – 29
- BC – 28
- Edmonton – 27.5
- Ottawa – 25
- Saskatchewan – 25
- Montreal – 20
Henry Burris $10,100 ($ and GPP)
Jonathon Jennings $9,600 (GPP)
Matt Nichols $7,900 ($)
Jeremiah Masoli $7,800 (GPP)
At the quarterback position, Henry Burris is my favorite option to use in all formats. He’s high-priced, but not nearly as high as guys like Mike Reilly and Bo Levi Mitchell. Over his last three games (two starts), he has generated 30, 37 and 20 Fantasy points. It’s hard not to like him in this matchup against the Blue Bombers. He’s got a great history of playing well against them and has gelled well with the receivers even with Chris Williams out. I like him most in tournaments, but he’s definitely cash viable in this slate.
WEEKLY NFL PROJECTIONS | DST | KICKERS | TARGETS | CARRIES | RED ZONE | HISTORICAL | SNAPS | DEFENSE
Jonathon Jennings has the highest upside of anyone at this position, but as we all know, is very inconsistent. He’s trending up, recording 23 Fantasy points or better in three of his last four games. Against Saskatchewan it’s hard not to use him in at least one tournament entry.
Matt Nichols continues to be a value at this position, but even with Darvin Adams back out wide, he’s not a great tournament option. In this slate there is a lack of high priced flex players worth paying up for, so I’ll be using Burris in my tournament entries instead. When it comes to cash games it’s hard not to love his consistent play.
Jeremiah Masoli makes for an interesting tournament option because he is priced so similarly to Nichols that he should see some low ownership levels. He has faced Ottawa the last two weeks throwing for three touchdowns in each of those games. Masoli has nice rushing upside, which gives him potential for a huge game at a low cost. Use him strictly in tournaments due to his propensity to turn the ball over (16 turnovers in limited action). (UPDATE: ZACH COLLAROS IS STARTING FRIDAY INSTEAD OF MASOLI. NEITHER OPTIONS ARE IN PLAY THIS WEEKEND)
John White $8,100 (GPP)
Andrew Harris $8,000 (GPP)
Joe McKnight $5,600 ($)
Mossis Madu $5,500 ($)
As we’ve already seen plenty this season, John White is capable of a big game…[sociallocker] He’s done so in two of his last three games, generating 40.8 and 35.8 Fantasy points in weeks 15 and 16. We’ve also seen White disappear and not come close to hitting value. This Edmonton/Hamilton game should be high scoring and in tournaments White is the perfect way to get a piece of that Eskimos offense.
Andrew Harris is a big part of the Winnipeg offense and will likely play a huge role in their offense putting up big numbers this weekend. Vegas has their implied team total at 30, highest in this slate. He’s been a solid player for the Blue Bombers, but hasn’t been able to find the end zone enough to use him at this price in cash games. Despite his 230 touches this season, he’s only found the end zone five times. Use him in tournaments where you’re hoping for a breakout game against an average Ottawa defense.
Joe McKnight and Mossis Madu head into the weekend with very similar outlooks. They are both consistent runners with good matchups and low prices. Oddly enough, both of their teams have an implied team total of 25. I love both for cash games, but if I had to choose McKnight has more upside between the two. He also carries a little more risk due to his limited action with Saskatchewan this season.
Ernest Jackson $8,200 ($ and GPP)
Andy Fantuz $6,800 ($)
Bryan Burnham $6,000 ($)
Brandon Zylstra $4,000 ($ and GPP)
Emmanuel Arceneaux $9,900 (GPP)
Terrence Toliver $8,100 (GPP)
Darvin Adams $6,600 (GPP)
Joe West $4,700 (GPP)
Ernest Jackson has really flourished since the return of Henry Burris and the departure of Chris Williams due to injury. After recording just two 100-yard games through week 14, Jackson has done so in three of his last four games. Ottawa played Hamilton in back to back weeks most recently and Jackson really shined. He caught 15 passes with three of them finding the end zone. His consistent vibe with Burris has me loving him in cash games.
Andy Fantuz isn’t going to have you jumping for joy this weekend, but he’s a consistent player that should give you a high floor in this matchup against Edmonton. He’s caught eight passes or more in four straight games, but only has five touchdowns this season. With the score likely being very high in this game, it can’t hurt to get a piece of the Tiger-Cats lineup at a moderate price. (UPDATE: Collaros starting at quarterback gives all Hamilton receivers a higher floor because of his talent level being much higher than Masoli)
Bryan Burnham is similar to Fantuz in that he’s not my favorite cash game option, but has shown enough on the field to warrant cash game usage Saturday night. He has more upside than Fantuz, but comes with more risk. With Jonathon Jennings trending up, I like Burngam to play well against Saskatchewan.
Brandon Zylstra is really the only cheap option I like in this slate. He’s become the third option of this Eskimos offense that has played quite well at times. He has only started four games this season, but in every game he has caught four passes or more. Zylstra is a solid value option, but you don’t have to force him into your lineups considering the lack of playable studs in the slate.
Emmanuel Arceneaux is probably the only high-priced receiver worth paying up for in all formats. He can be used in cash games, but I’ll stick to using him in just tournaments. Over his last five games he has produced great every other game with duds in between. The matchup against Saskatchewan is sexy and he has done well against them this season (6/83/0), so I don’t mind paying up to roster him.
Terrence Toliver has had his fair share of big games in 2016 and this is a position where he could do more of the same. Edmonton poses as a great matchup for him, but his quarterback play isn’t the greatest. Even with that being said he has caught six and seven passes over the last two weeks and has fallen just short of 100 receiving yards in each game. Consider Toliver a tournament pivot from Ernest Jackson. (UPDATE: Collaros starting at quarterback gives all Hamilton receivers a higher floor because of his talent level being much higher than Masoli)
Darvin Adams might be the best tournament option on the board this week. He should be returning this week against Ottawa and is a part of the highest implied team total on the board. Adams hasn’t played since week six, but in that game he brought in 10 passes for 121 yards and one touchdown. Adams comes with plenty of risk being that he is coming back from an injury, but he should come with low ownership and high upside.
Joe West has seen limited time this season because of injury, but could be a sneaky play come week 19. With playoffs only weeks away, West could see more action than expected if Calgary decides to sit some of their regulars. The matchup against Montreal is tough, but West possess some upside at a cheap cost.
There is only one defense that excites me this weekend and that is Calgary’s talented group. They have an elite matchup facing dysfunctional Montreal and Vernon Adams. Adams has limited experience in the CFL and throws too many picks not to be excited about the Stampeders in this one.[/sociallocker]